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4007 193rd St #2
C- Composite 50.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$176,500

4007 193rd St #2 · Country Club Hills, IL 60478
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,527 sqft · Townhouse · 35 Days on market
Built 1990 Good condition 1,875 sqft lot Est $165k · 7% over $330/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse located in the quiet community of Country Club Estates, offering convenient access to shopping, transportation, hospitals, and schools. This spacious home features a 1-car garage and an open-concept living area with soaring ceilings that create a bright and airy atmosphere. Just off the primary bedroom is a unique lofted space overlooking the living room, perfect for a home office, guest area, or flex bedroom. The loft also includes double closets and a private full bathroom, adding versatility and comfort. The primary bedroom features a generous walk-in closet for ample storage. This all-electric home has been thoughtfully updated through the ComEd E

Key facts

  • $330 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 1990

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of a 4-unit building; Living area source: estimated; Parcel number available
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $330; HOA fee covers insurance, exterior maintenance, lawn care, trash (scavenger) and snow removal; Pets allowed (cats and dogs) with a 25 lb size limit

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached single-family townhouse (2-story); Entry level is on the first floor; Fee simple ownership with homeowners association
  • Construction: Frame construction; Estimated age 31–40 years; Built before 1978: No
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 75

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (master and second-floor bedroom); Master bedroom on second level with full bath; Second bedroom on second level
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Some photos virtually staged
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $176k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $176k).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $171,205 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.89%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,916
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4176 193 Ct 0.24mi 2/2.5 1,500 (-2%) 15mo $153,000 $102 73
4169 194th Pl 0.23mi 2/2.5 1,460 (-4%) 13mo $155,000 $106 71
4003 193rd St 0.03mi 2/2.5 1,320 (-14%) 7mo $169,000 $128 70
19437 Chestnut Dr 0.21mi 2/1.5 1,400 (-8%) 4mo $165,000 $118 69
4105 195th St Unit 70D 0.22mi 2/2.5 1,320 (-14%) 7mo $155,000 $117 61
4130 195th St Unit 73A 0.22mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,428 (-6%) 20mo $154,000 $108 58
4161 192nd Pl #195 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (-12%) 19mo $149,900 $111 49
4148 193rd St #4148 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (-12%) 17mo $142,000 $105 42
19205 Pine Dr #207 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-15%) 18mo $130,000 $100 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-12,918
Equity at exit
$26,317
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$9,603
Equity at exit
$15,260

Cash invested: $49,420 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60478

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,269 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$926
Tax est. 1.5%
$221 /mo · $2,648/yr
Insurance
$74
HOA
$330
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,962
Max offer price $176,500
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,125
Closing costs
$5,295
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4453 Provincetown Dr Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 2.5 1300 $2,500 $1.92 1d 1 0.99mi
1153 Williamsburg Rd Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.5 1216 $1,900 $1.56 1d 1 1.11mi
2256 Windsor Ln Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.0 1212 $2,250 $1.86 1d 1 1.11mi
4962 Bennett St Matteson, IL 2.0–3.0 2.5 1341 $2,400 $1.79 1d 7 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$330 · $3,960/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $176,500 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $176,500 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $176,500 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $183,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $183,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $183,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $183,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $183,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $183,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $183,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $183,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $183,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $183,000 Active 17 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,224
− Mortgage interest
−$9,887
− Property taxes
−$2,648
− Insurance
−$882
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,178
− Management
−$2,178
− HOA
−$3,960
− Depreciation
−$5,135
Taxable income
$357
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$86
After-tax cash flow
$2,824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained townhouse in Country Club Estates offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. Upgrades to the exterior and kitchen can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Both Replace outdated kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental appeal by adding modern conveniences.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Both Replace outdated kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental appeal by adding modern conveniences.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Country Club Hills

Score
75/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#3963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Country Club Hills, IL
City population
16,549
Population (ZIP)
16,549

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.73%
Current HPI
212.3917
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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