4007 193rd St #2 · Country Club Hills, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$176,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse located in the quiet community of Country Club Estates, offering convenient access to shopping, transportation, hospitals, and schools. This spacious home features a 1-car garage and an open-concept living area with soaring ceilings that create a bright and airy atmosphere. Just off the primary bedroom is a unique lofted space overlooking the living room, perfect for a home office, guest area, or flex bedroom. The loft also includes double closets and a private full bathroom, adding versatility and comfort. The primary bedroom features a generous walk-in closet for ample storage. This all-electric home has been thoughtfully updated through the ComEd E
Key facts
- $330 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1990
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a 4-unit building; Living area source: estimated; Parcel number available
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $330; HOA fee covers insurance, exterior maintenance, lawn care, trash (scavenger) and snow removal; Pets allowed (cats and dogs) with a 25 lb size limit
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single-family townhouse (2-story); Entry level is on the first floor; Fee simple ownership with homeowners association
- Construction: Frame construction; Estimated age 31–40 years; Built before 1978: No
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 75
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (master and second-floor bedroom); Master bedroom on second level with full bath; Second bedroom on second level
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Some photos virtually staged
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $176k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $176k).
- Recommended offer: $171k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.89%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,916
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4176 193 Ct | 0.24mi | 2/2.5 | 1,500 (-2%) | 15mo | $153,000 | $102 | 73 |
| 4169 194th Pl | 0.23mi | 2/2.5 | 1,460 (-4%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $106 | 71 |
| 4003 193rd St | 0.03mi | 2/2.5 | 1,320 (-14%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 19437 Chestnut Dr | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 | 1,400 (-8%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $118 | 69 |
| 4105 195th St Unit 70D | 0.22mi | 2/2.5 | 1,320 (-14%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $117 | 61 |
| 4130 195th St Unit 73A | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,428 (-6%) | 20mo | $154,000 | $108 | 58 |
| 4161 192nd Pl #195 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-12%) | 19mo | $149,900 | $111 | 49 |
| 4148 193rd St #4148 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-12%) | 17mo | $142,000 | $105 | 42 |
| 19205 Pine Dr #207 | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-15%) | 18mo | $130,000 | $100 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-12,918
- Equity at exit
- $26,317
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $9,603
- Equity at exit
- $15,260
Cash invested: $49,420 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60478
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,269 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$926
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$221 /mo · $2,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$330
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,125
- Closing costs
- $5,295
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4453 Provincetown Dr Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1153 Williamsburg Rd Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1216 | $1,900 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2256 Windsor Ln Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $2,250 | $1.86 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4962 Bennett St Matteson, IL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1341 | $2,400 | $1.79 | 1d | 7 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $330 · $3,960/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $176,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $176,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $176,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $183,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $183,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $183,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $183,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $183,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $183,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $183,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $183,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $183,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $183,000 Active 17 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,887
- − Property taxes
- −$2,648
- − Insurance
- −$882
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,178
- − Management
- −$2,178
- − HOA
- −$3,960
- − Depreciation
- −$5,135
- Taxable income
- $357
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$86
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained townhouse in Country Club Estates offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. Upgrades to the exterior and kitchen can significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
- Both Replace outdated kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can improve both resale and rental value.
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental appeal by adding modern conveniences.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
- Both Replace outdated kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can improve both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental appeal by adding modern conveniences. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Country Club Hills
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #3963
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Country Club Hills, IL
- City population
- 16,549
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,549
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.73%
- Current HPI
- 212.3917
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…