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631 NW 215th Ave
B+ Composite 77.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

631 NW 215th Ave · Pembroke Pines, FL 33029
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · Manufactured public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1984 3,876 sqft lot Est $324k · 26% under $110/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The property is decent move in ready condition. it's sold at a hefty discount for a buyer who prefers to make his own design and renovation choices. nice little back yard and front patio.

Key facts

  • Back yard
  • Front patio
  • Move in ready

Tags

MOVE IN READYBACK YARDFRONT PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
  • HOA & community: Community pool; HOA dues $110 monthly (includes common areas)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Carport with 1 covered space (2 total parking spaces)
  • Security: Security features present
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Mobile home; One story; Entry level: 1; Faces west; Resale condition
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Kitchen island
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $240k).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.0% in Pembroke Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#54 in FL, #933 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living D+.
  • Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Chapel Trail Elementary School (math 53% / reading 67%, grade B-, #680 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 739 students, 38% FRL); Silver Trail Middle School (math 66% / reading 67%, grade A-, #84 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,269 students, 40% FRL); West Broward High School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade C, #125 of 667 statewide, top 19%, 2,586 students, 33% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Broward average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($146k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $49k; list at $240k implies a 393% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
11.89%
Cash-on-cash
19.98%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$324,480
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21661 NW 8th Ct 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-8%) 4mo $299,000 $240 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$21,703
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$69,489
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33029

Home prices YoY
-18.3%
Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,683 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$322 /mo · $3,865/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$110
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$773
Net cashflow
$1,119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,267
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21821 S Heritage Cir #1 Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 3.0 1475 $2,550 $1.73 24d 1 0.32mi
21821 S Heritage Cir #1 Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 3.0 1475 $2,550 $1.73 4d 1 0.32mi
20975 NW 1st Ct Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.5 1692 $3,600 $2.13 24d 1 0.35mi
20957 NW 1st Ct Unit 20957 Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.5 1749 $2,900 $1.66 24d 1 0.37mi
20875 NW 4th St Pembroke Pines, FL 2.0 2.5 1361 $2,500 $1.84 24d 1 0.38mi
20861 NW 4th St Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.5 1361 $4,000 $2.94 24d 1 0.41mi
20919 NW 1st Dr Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.5 1749 $3,600 $2.06 11d 1 0.41mi
20919 NW 1st Dr Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.5 1749 $3,600 $2.06 24d 1 0.41mi
20901 NW 1st Dr Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.5 1692 $3,300 $1.95 24d 1 0.42mi
20901 NW 1st Dr Unit 1 Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.5 1692 $3,200 $1.89 24d 1 0.42mi
117 NW 209th Trl Pembroke Pines, FL 4.0 3.0 1617 $3,600 $2.23 24d 1 0.43mi
20908 NW 1st Dr Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.5 1692 $3,500 $2.07 24d 1 0.43mi
20930 NW 1st St Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 3.0 1617 $3,600 $2.23 7d 1 0.45mi
20841 NW 1st St Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.0 1225 $3,500 $2.86 24d 1 0.54mi
20807 NW 1st St #20807 Pembroke Pines, FL 2.0 2.5 1361 $2,650 $1.95 16d 1 0.61mi
210 NW 207th Way Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.0 1620 $3,450 $2.13 2d 1 0.63mi
20541 SW 2nd St Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 3.0 1694 $5,500 $3.25 1d 1 0.95mi
387 SW 206th Ave Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $3,500 $2.41 11d 1 0.99mi
387 SW 206th Ave Pembroke Pines, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $3,500 $2.41 16d 1 0.99mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$110 · $1,320/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-04
    price $240,000
  3. 2026-04-30
    listed $235,000 Active
  4. 1995-08-28
    soldstatus $48,700
  5. 1983-08-01
    soldstatus $11,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,865 · $322/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,865 · $322/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,193
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$3,865
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,535
− Management
−$3,535
− HOA
−$1,320
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable income
$10,311
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,475
After-tax cash flow
$10,949/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Broward
NCES district ID
1200180
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,139
Composite
40.88/100
National rank
#3621
State rank
#46 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pembroke Pines

Score
83/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#933

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A- Cost of living D+ Crime A- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pembroke Pines, FL
County
Broward County · 1,963,430 people
City population
180,224
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
44,070
Household income
$146,237
Rent vs Own
10.2% rent · 89.8% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,207,033 people
By 2030
2,360,704 · +7.0%
By 2040
2,661,208 · +20.6%
By 2050
2,946,698 · +33.5%
By 2075
3,602,273 · +63.2%
By 2100
3,970,984 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 29% White 27% Black 20% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 14% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Russian 1% Estonian 1%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Broward

2024 margin
D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
2008→2024 swing
-17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.68%
Current HPI
373.7752
Rent YoY
▼ -1.17%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1916.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $240,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $235,000 Beaches MLS
  • 1995-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $48,700 Public Records
  • 1983-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,865 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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