2427 Iverson Street # 2427 · Hillcrest Heights, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TOTALLY REMODELLED. EVERYTHING IS NEW. WASHER AND DRYER IN UNIT.
Key facts
- $459 HOA
- Built 1975
- Listed 62 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($131/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.4% in Hillcrest Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#79 in MD, #2,942 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $119k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.39%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,480
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -21.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2540 Iverson St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $111 | 96 |
| 3902 25th Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $169 | 95 |
| 4003 25th Ave | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+3%) | 1mo | $93,000 | $117 | 94 |
| 2551 Colebrooke Dr | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $182 | 93 |
| 3879 26th Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $167 | 92 |
| 3802 26th Ave #16 | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 762 (-1%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $125 | 88 |
| 2588 Iverson St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $189 | 88 |
| 3811 28th Ave #15 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $202 | 86 |
| 3855 28th Ave #37 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 3mo | $128,000 | $167 | 84 |
| 3815 28th Ave #17 | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 8mo | $141,000 | $184 | 81 |
| 3840 26th Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 710 (-8%) | 6mo | $97,500 | $137 | 74 |
| 2627 Colebrooke Dr #31 | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (-7%) | 7mo | $86,000 | $120 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-23,155
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- -32.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-36,857
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20748
- Rents YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,669 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,102/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$459
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $11
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3909 25th Ave Hillcrest Heights, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,500 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3903 25th Ave Hillcrest Heights, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,500 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 4003 25th Ave Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,795 | $2.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2528 Iverson St Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,675 | $2.18 | 11d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3861 26th Ave Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,700 | $2.21 | 5d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3861 26th Ave Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,700 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3846 26th Ave Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 710 | $1,875 | $2.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3840 26th Ave Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,700 | $2.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4129 Atmore Pl Temple Hills, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,500 | $2.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3827 28th Ave #23 Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,695 | $2.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2816 Keating St #164 Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,500 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4301 23rd Pkwy Temple Hills, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,785 | $2.10 | 2d | 18 | 0.41mi |
| 2900 Saint Clair Dr Temple Hills, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,425 | $1.86 | 18d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4513 23rd Pkwy Temple Hills, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 824 | $1,880 | $2.28 | 3d | 8 | 0.52mi |
| 4431 23rd Pkwy Temple Hills, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,600 | $2.06 | 4d | 12 | 0.53mi |
| 2309 Olson St #203 Temple Hills, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,695 | $1.79 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4221 28th Ave Marlow Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 698 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4503 Raleigh Rd Temple Hills, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,895 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3843 St Barnabas Rd Apt 104 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4637 Dallas Pl Temple Hills, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,506 | $1.80 | 1d | 27 | 0.72mi |
| 3827 Saint Barnabas Rd Unit T103 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,800 | $1.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3807 St Barnabas Rd #104 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,999 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3825 Saint Barnabas Rd Unit T-202 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,800 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3851 St Barnabas Rd Apt 201 Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,295 | $2.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3827 St Barnabas Rd Unit T Suitland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,600 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3103 Good Hope Ave Hillcrest Heights, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $2,303 | $2.71 | 2d | 12 | 0.85mi |
| 3416 Curtis Dr Suitland, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 779 | $1,628 | $2.09 | 2d | 25 | 0.85mi |
| 3613 Silver Park Dr Suitland, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $1,895 | $1.74 | 3d | 10 | 0.96mi |
| 2603 Southern Ave SE Hillcrest Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $1,375 | $2.13 | 1d | 7 | 1.01mi |
| 3501 Terrace Dr Hillcrest Heights, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,678 | $2.10 | 2d | 15 | 1.08mi |
| 3506 Silver Park Dr Suitland, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,954 | $1.96 | 2d | 10 | 1.09mi |
| 3009 Southern Ave SE Temple Hills, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,650 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3158 Buena Vista Ter SE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,900 | $3.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3130 Buena Vista Ter SE Unit 6 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,980 | $2.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3111 Naylor Rd SE #301 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3216 28th St SE #2 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,204 | $3.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3001 Branch Ave Temple Hills, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 769 | $2,043 | $2.66 | 1d | 43 | 1.20mi |
| 3109 Naylor Rd SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $1,904 | $2.91 | 7d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3035 30th St SE Unit 2M Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3212 28th St SE Unit D Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $2,100 | $2.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $459 · $5,508/yr
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $119,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $119,000 Pending 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-04-03$139,999 Active 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
TOTALLY REMODELLED. EVERYTHING IS NEW. WASHER AND DRYER IN UNIT.
-
2016-12-01soldstatus $40,000
-
2016-10-25historical
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2016-06-29status Contract
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2016-06-24historical Withdrawn
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2016-06-15status Active
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2016-06-01status Contract
-
2016-05-20historical Contingent (Kick Out)
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2016-05-06status Active
-
2016-02-17status Contract
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2016-02-08Active
-
2016-02-08$42,000
-
2003-03-24soldstatus $75,000
-
2001-05-10soldstatus $50,000
-
2001-01-31soldstatus $70,000
-
2001-01-21historical
-
2001-01-04soldstatus $28,000
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2000-12-28$70,000
-
2000-12-27soldstatus $28,000
-
2000-09-08historical
-
2000-08-04$30,000
-
1996-11-08soldstatus $53,500
-
1989-08-08soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,102 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,102 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,031
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$2,102
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − HOA
- −$5,508
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$1,506
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$362
- After-tax cash flow
- $493/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — Hillcrest Heights
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #2942
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hillcrest Heights, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- City population
- 40,338
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,338
- Household income
- $83,162
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1929.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% White 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -215.06%
- Current HPI
- 307.2658
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.87%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+154.5% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $139,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-29 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-06-24 Delisted — MRIS
- 2016-06-15 Relisted — MRIS
- 2016-06-01 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-05-20 Contingent — MRIS
- 2016-05-06 Relisted — MRIS
- 2016-02-17 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-02-08 Listed — MRIS
- 2016-02-08 Listed $42,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2001-01-31 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MRIS
- 2001-01-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 2001-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2000-12-28 Listed $70,000 MRIS
- 2000-12-27 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MRIS
- 2000-09-08 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-08-04 Listed $30,000 MRIS
- 1996-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
- 1989-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,102 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…