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405 E Main St
B Composite 73.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,900

405 E Main St · Bishop, TX 78343
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,376 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1980 0.47 ac lot $80/sqft · 25% below area Est $147k · 25% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 405 E. Main Street in Bishop, TX where space and opportunity meet. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,376 square feet of functional living space on an expansive lot just under half an acre. Enjoy the freedom of a large yard while being centrally located in town. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, a rental property, or an investment opportunity, this home provides flexibility to fit your goals.

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • Centrally located
  • Large yard

Tags

LARGE YARDEXPANSIVE LOTCENTRALLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#189 in TX, #4,857 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Bishop CISD (town): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #486 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.58%
Cash-on-cash
8.16%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,902
List price
$109,900
Delta
-25.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
305 Hickory Ct 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,388 (+1%) 4mo $180,000 $130 81
502 East Main 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,470 (+7%) 13mo $218,800 $149 74
106 W 6th St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,338 (-3%) 6mo $110,000 $82 64
112 E 6th St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,545 (+12%) 7mo $199,900 $129 60
620 E Ninth 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,264 (-8%) 6mo $199,950 $158 56
607 E Tubbs St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,524 (+11%) 12mo $115,000 $75 49
1003 E Henderson St 0.58mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,478 (+7%) 8mo $185,500 $126 47
309 Lime St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,294 (-6%) 20mo $269,000 $208 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$43,948
Equity at exit
$67,833
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
4.88×
Total profit
$119,290
Equity at exit
$121,942

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78343

Home prices YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,323 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$214 /mo · $2,566/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,058
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,900 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-02-02
    price $109,900 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (428 chars)

    Welcome to 405 E. Main Street in Bishop, TX where space and opportunity meet. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,376 square feet of functional living space on an expansive lot just under half an acre. Enjoy the freedom of a large yard while being centrally located in town. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, a rental property, or an investment opportunity, this home provides flexibility to fit your goals.

  4. 2025-12-22
    listed $129,900 Active 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (428 chars)

    Welcome to 405 E. Main Street in Bishop, TX where space and opportunity meet. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,376 square feet of functional living space on an expansive lot just under half an acre. Enjoy the freedom of a large yard while being centrally located in town. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, a rental property, or an investment opportunity, this home provides flexibility to fit your goals.

  5. 2025-07-29
    historical
  6. 2025-07-08
    price $85,000
  7. 2025-05-27
    price $100,000
  8. 2025-05-07
    price $114,000
  9. 2025-04-18
    price $124,000
  10. 2025-04-03
    listed $129,000 Active
  11. 2023-08-24
    price $120,000
  12. 2023-08-09
    price $125,000
  13. 2023-07-21
    price $130,000
  14. 2023-07-01
    listed $135,000 Active
  15. 2016-02-10
    soldstatus
  16. 2007-11-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,566 · $214/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,566 · $214/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,878
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$2,566
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,270
− Management
−$1,270
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$868
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$208
After-tax cash flow
$2,303/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bishop CISD
NCES district ID
4810260
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,296
Composite
31.2/100
National rank
#6044
State rank
#486 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bishop

Score
74/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#4857

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bishop, TX
Population (ZIP)
4,565

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 28% White 22% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 66%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 40%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.82%
Current HPI
111.5556
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $109,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $129,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-07-08 Price Changed $85,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-27 Price Changed $100,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-07 Price Changed $114,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-18 Price Changed $124,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-03 Listed $129,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-08-24 Price Changed $120,000 CBMLS
  • 2023-08-09 Price Changed $125,000 CBMLS
  • 2023-07-21 Price Changed $130,000 CBMLS
  • 2023-07-01 Listed $135,000 CBMLS
  • 2016-02-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-11-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,566 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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