405 E Main St · Bishop, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 405 E. Main Street in Bishop, TX where space and opportunity meet. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,376 square feet of functional living space on an expansive lot just under half an acre. Enjoy the freedom of a large yard while being centrally located in town. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, a rental property, or an investment opportunity, this home provides flexibility to fit your goals.
Key facts
- Expansive lot
- Centrally located
- Large yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#189 in TX, #4,857 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Bishop CISD (town): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #486 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.16%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,902
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -25.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Hickory Ct | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (+1%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $130 | 81 |
| 502 East Main | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (+7%) | 13mo | $218,800 | $149 | 74 |
| 106 W 6th St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,338 (-3%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $82 | 64 |
| 112 E 6th St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,545 (+12%) | 7mo | $199,900 | $129 | 60 |
| 620 E Ninth | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (-8%) | 6mo | $199,950 | $158 | 56 |
| 607 E Tubbs St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,524 (+11%) | 12mo | $115,000 | $75 | 49 |
| 1003 E Henderson St | 0.58mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,478 (+7%) | 8mo | $185,500 | $126 | 47 |
| 309 Lime St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (-6%) | 20mo | $269,000 | $208 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $43,948
- Equity at exit
- $67,833
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.88×
- Total profit
- $119,290
- Equity at exit
- $121,942
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78343
- Home prices YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,323 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$214 /mo · $2,566/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 160 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $109,900 Active 159 DOM
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2026-02-02price $109,900 428-char remark
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
Welcome to 405 E. Main Street in Bishop, TX where space and opportunity meet. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,376 square feet of functional living space on an expansive lot just under half an acre. Enjoy the freedom of a large yard while being centrally located in town. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, a rental property, or an investment opportunity, this home provides flexibility to fit your goals.
-
2025-12-22$129,900 Active 428-char remark
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
Welcome to 405 E. Main Street in Bishop, TX where space and opportunity meet. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,376 square feet of functional living space on an expansive lot just under half an acre. Enjoy the freedom of a large yard while being centrally located in town. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, a rental property, or an investment opportunity, this home provides flexibility to fit your goals.
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2025-07-29historical
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2025-07-08price $85,000
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2025-05-27price $100,000
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2025-05-07price $114,000
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2025-04-18price $124,000
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2025-04-03$129,000 Active
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2023-08-24price $120,000
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2023-08-09price $125,000
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2023-07-21price $130,000
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2023-07-01$135,000 Active
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2016-02-10soldstatus
-
2007-11-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,566 · $214/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,566 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,878
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,566
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,270
- − Management
- −$1,270
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $868
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$208
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,303/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bishop CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4810260
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,296
- Composite
- 31.2/100
- National rank
- #6044
- State rank
- #486 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bishop
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #4857
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bishop, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,565
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 28% White 22% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 66%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 40%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.82%
- Current HPI
- 111.5556
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-18.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $109,900 CBMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $129,900 CBMLS
- 2025-07-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $85,000 HARMLS
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $100,000 HARMLS
- 2025-05-07 Price Changed $114,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-18 Price Changed $124,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-03 Listed $129,000 HARMLS
- 2023-08-24 Price Changed $120,000 CBMLS
- 2023-08-09 Price Changed $125,000 CBMLS
- 2023-07-21 Price Changed $130,000 CBMLS
- 2023-07-01 Listed $135,000 CBMLS
- 2016-02-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,566 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…