1320 Poland St · South Bend, IN
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home offers main level washer & drier, 2 spacious bedrooms, and has all the important items updated. Roof, Siding, windows, Mechanicals 4 years old. Seller is also offering $5,000 concessions to finish the attic space for an additional room. Come check out the home it is a great starter home that you can make your own.
Key facts
- Updated siding
- Attic space
- Updated windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.21%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $71,136
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 Kosciuszko St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+1%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $49 | 73 |
| 1530 Fisher St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 984 (+8%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $107 | 71 |
| 453 S Walnut St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 908 (-0%) | 17mo | $42,000 | $46 | 70 |
| 427 Kosciuszko St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 928 (+2%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $65 | 68 |
| 512 Pulaski St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+5%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $42 | 62 |
| 811 Pulaski St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,032 (+13%) | 7mo | $52,525 | $51 | 57 |
| 827 S Brookfield St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+10%) | 2mo | $79,999 | $80 | 56 |
| 1315 W Sample St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-13%) | 24mo | $72,000 | $91 | 51 |
| 1117 W Indiana Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (0%) | 15mo | $28,500 | $31 | 50 |
| 1402 W Washington St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 988 (+8%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $96 | 44 |
| 421 S Carlisle St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,023 (+12%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $78 | 43 |
| 1413 W Indiana Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,030 (+13%) | 5mo | $115,500 | $112 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,129
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $20,289
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46619
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,232 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,157/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $260
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $321 | -5% $291 | +0% $260 | +5% $229 | +10% $198 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $162 | -5% $211 | +0% $260 | +5% $308 | +10% $357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $315 | -0.5pp $287 | base $260 | +0.5pp $231 | +1.0pp $203 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1317 Poland St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1909 Swygart Ave South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1612 S Carlisle St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,000 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1928 S Walnut St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 453 S Kaley St Unit 1 South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1920 S Scott St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,000 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 211 W Washington St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1162 | $5,399 | $4.64 | 21d | 19 | 1.08mi |
| 208 S Bendix Dr South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2102 S Scott St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2417 Linden Ave South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 533 Columbia St Unit C South Bend, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $700 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 736 Lawndale Ave Unit 1 South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3220 Vermont Pl South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 604 E South St South Bend, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 717 Huey St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,050 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 125 W Marion St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,350 | $2.01 | 14d | 5 | 1.39mi |
| 307 E Lasalle Ave South Bend, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,670 | $1.80 | 14d | 22 | 1.39mi |
| 729 N Elmer St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,100 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 910 Allen St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 300 E Lasalle Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1013 | $2,409 | $2.38 | 14d | 31 | 1.41mi |
| 202 E Calvert St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $999 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 421 S Lake St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 578-char remark
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $109,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-16$115,000 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
This home offers main level washer & drier, 2 spacious bedrooms, and has all the important items updated. Roof, Siding, windows, Mechanicals 4 years old. Seller is also offering $5,000 concessions to finish the attic space for an additional room. Come check out the home it is a great starter home that you can make your own.
-
2026-03-12price $115,000
-
2026-02-19$130,000 Active
-
2022-08-02soldstatus $80,000 Closed
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,157 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,157 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,157
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $1,438
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$345
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,771/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — South Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #13730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bend, IN
- City population
- 99,767
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,179
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 37% Black 19% Two or more races 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% English 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 30% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.16%
- Current HPI
- 223.6464
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+43.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $115,000 IRMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $115,000 IRMLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $130,000 IRMLS
- 2022-08-02 Sold (MLS) $80,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2023): $1,157 · +204.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…