4813 Angleton St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special in a Rapidly Growing Area! Discover the potential of this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in a high-demand neighborhood filled with new construction. Whether you're looking to remodel, rebuild, or hold as a long-term investment, this property offers endless possibilities. Situated on a spacious lot with easy access to major highways, downtown Houston, and the Medical Center. Don’t miss this opportunity to get into a thriving area with strong upside potential!
Key facts
- Medical center
- New construction
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Attached carport (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (entry level: first floor)
- Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1952; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the first floor) — approximately 10x10, 11x10, and 12x11
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: 3 total rooms; First-floor layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,799/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.87%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,905
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- -10.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5007 Northridge Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,069 (+4%) | 2mo | $163,900 | $153 | 68 |
| 4522 Larkspur St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (+2%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $149 | 63 |
| 4629 Larkspur St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 892 (-13%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $84 | 59 |
| 4637 Carmen St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,084 (+6%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $125 | 56 |
| 5306 Kenilwood Dr | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,038 (+1%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $77 | 55 |
| 8130 Rockford Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 945 (-8%) | 9mo | $169,999 | $180 | 53 |
| 4929 Paula St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 989 (-4%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $177 | 51 |
| 4637 Mallow St | 0.46mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+9%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $183 | 49 |
| 5414 Lyndhurst Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+7%) | 12mo | $174,900 | $159 | 48 |
| 8426 Rockford Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 875 (-15%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $114 | 43 |
| 4917 Higgins St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-12%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $83 | 37 |
| 5602 Beldart St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,173 (+14%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $136 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $4,509
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $54,670
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,799 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,394/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $378
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4723 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,775 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,295 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8521 Dosia St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,665 | $1.62 | 12d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5036 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1472 | $2,050 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1375 | $3,500 | $2.55 | 11d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,500 | $2.69 | 12d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 12d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,185 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4410 Bellfort Ave Unit 4404 8 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $999 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,650 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,149 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5407 Thrush Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1407 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4326 Larkspur St Unit 3 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4207 Phlox St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $962 | $1.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4205 Phlox St Unit 2 BEDROOM 6 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $860 | $1.17 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4117 Shelby Cir Unit 1230900P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $5,355 | $3.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5767 Belcrest St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,790 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4205 Grassmere St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 824 | $900 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 9414 Heno St Unit 13 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 824 | $900 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4112 Grassmere St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $700 | $0.98 | 10d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 20d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4942 Bataan Rd Unit 77033 Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1600 Jester St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,395 | $1.97 | 2d | 4 | 1.27mi |
| 7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,250 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 8010 Livingston St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-05-11$149,000 Active 485-char remark
-
2025-12-30$149,000 Active
-
2025-12-30historical
-
2025-10-26$150,000 Active
-
2025-10-26historical
-
2025-08-25$150,000 Active
-
2025-08-25historical
-
2025-07-02$150,000 Active
-
2025-07-02historical
-
2025-04-21$150,000 Active
-
2025-03-06historical
-
2025-03-01status Active
-
2025-02-28historical
-
2025-02-17price $135,000
-
2024-12-02$155,000 Active
-
2024-09-13soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,394 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,727 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- +$333/yr (+$28/mo · 13.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$2,394
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,727
- − Management
- −$1,727
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $2,311
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$555
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-3.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-12-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-12-30 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
- 2025-10-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-26 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
- 2025-07-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-07-02 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-21 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-06 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-03-01 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-02-28 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-02-17 Price Changed $135,000 HARMLS
- 2024-12-02 Listed $155,000 HARMLS
- 2024-09-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,394 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…