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12538 S Honore St
B+ Composite 77.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

12538 S Honore St · Calumet Park, IL 60827
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,398 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1898 2,976 sqft lot Est $225k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investors & rehabbers welcome! Sellers are looking for a quick, smooth closing. Preferably cash buyer. Buyer will have to comply with the Calumet Park inspection. Seller will NOT provide a survey or termite. Property does need rehab but is in livable condition. The upper level bedrooms can be accessed from the rear door off the porch. Property my qualify for a rehab loan.

Key facts

  • 2,976 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1898

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $655 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 6.7% in Calumet Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#308 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,061/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1868% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $113,275 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
13.13%
Cash-on-cash
24.41%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$225,078
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12211 Irving Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,397 (-0%) 1mo $269,900 $193 68
12411 S Lincoln St 0.17mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,295 (-7%) 6mo $232,000 $179 68
12815 Lincoln St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,271 (-9%) 1mo $150,000 $118 64
2212 123rd Pl 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,350 (-3%) 5mo $205,000 $152 62
12726 S Justine St 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,224 (-12%) 2mo $165,000 $135 54
2239 123rd St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,255 (-10%) 2mo $290,000 $231 54
12638 Irving Ave 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,519 (+9%) 4mo $244,330 $161 54
2346 Vernon St 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (+7%) 4mo $179,000 $119 50
12806 S Laflin St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-14%) 1mo $279,000 $233 45
12816 S Laflin St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-14%) 2mo $135,000 $113 45
12509 S Throop St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,216 (-13%) 2mo $141,270 $116 39
2423 Collins St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,602 (+15%) 9mo $280,000 $175 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$33,708
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
5.07×
Total profit
$131,166
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60827

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Rents YoY
7.8%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,061 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$322 /mo · $3,864/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$433
Net cashflow
$655

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,232
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1923 Vermont St Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 1087 $1,550 $1.43 24d 1 0.63mi
12111 S Justine St Chicago, IL 3.0 1.5 1800 $2,400 $1.33 15d 1 0.70mi
12105 S Justine St Chicago, IL 2.0 2.0 1800 $2,700 $1.50 2d 1 0.71mi
2336 122nd St Unit 2 Blue Island, IL 3.0 1.0 1340 $1,900 $1.42 20d 1 0.81mi
12710 Elm St Unit 2B Blue Island, IL 3.0 2.0 900 $1,850 $2.06 1d 1 1.03mi
12827 S Morgan St Unit 1546010P Chicago, IL 4.0 2.0 1022 $4,677 $4.58 12d 1 1.14mi
2640 Vermont St Unit 1 Blue Island, IL 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,200 $1.47 1d 1 1.20mi
2119 135th Pl Unit 4 Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 8d 1 1.21mi
2119 135th Pl Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 4d 1 1.21mi
13308 Old Western Ave Unit 2 Blue Island, IL 3.0 1.5 1350 $2,200 $1.63 12d 1 1.21mi
13308 Old Western Ave Unit 2 Blue Island, IL 3.0 1.5 1350 $2,200 $1.63 22d 1 1.21mi
12415 Meadow Ln #5 Blue Island, IL 2.0 2.5 1800 $2,200 $1.22 1d 1 1.22mi
11549 S Church St Chicago, IL 4.0 4.5 1800 $3,200 $1.78 1d 1 1.27mi
843 W 123rd St Unit V5 Calumet Park, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 13d 1 1.28mi
11547 S Ashland Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 1.5 1000 $2,700 $2.70 3d 1 1.31mi
11706 S Artesian Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 2.5 1299 $3,400 $2.62 1d 1 1.34mi
13443 Greenwood Ave Unit 2E Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 1d 1 1.39mi
12106 S Emerald Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,550 $1.96 1d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-20
    listed $115,000 Active
  15. 2026-02-06
    historical
  16. 2026-01-21
    price
  17. 2026-01-12
    price
  18. 2026-01-02
    listed Active
  19. 2023-01-21
    historical
  20. 2022-12-09
    price
  21. 2022-11-09
    price
  22. 2022-11-02
    price
  23. 2022-10-24
    price
  24. 2022-10-13
    price
  25. 2022-09-26
    price
  26. 2022-09-09
    listed Active
  27. 2022-08-29
    historical
  28. 2022-08-01
    price
  29. 2022-08-01
    listed Active
  30. 2022-06-07
    historical
  31. 2022-05-13
    listed Active
  32. 2022-02-22
    historical
  33. 2020-11-04
    historical
  34. 2020-08-13
    listed New
  35. 2007-07-25
    historical
  36. 2007-05-03
    listed
  37. 2006-11-27
    soldstatus $120,000
  38. 1998-08-28
    soldstatus $76,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,864 · $322/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,864 · $322/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,730
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$3,864
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,978
− Management
−$1,978
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$6,547
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,571
After-tax cash flow
$6,290/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chsd 218
NCES district ID
1706540
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$57,166
Composite
16.09/100
National rank
#9235
State rank
#454 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet Park

Score
72/100
State rank
#308
US rank
#6048

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet Park, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
24,713
Household income
$37,217
Rent vs Own
59.8% rent · 40.2% own
Severe rent burden
1868.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.39%
Current HPI
163.7725
Rent YoY
▲ 7.82%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+51.3% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-02 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-09 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-09 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-02 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-24 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-13 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-26 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-09 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-29 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-01 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-01 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-07 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-13 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-22 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-11-04 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-13 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-25 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-05-03 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 1998-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,864 · +74.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…