77 Lee Road 2044 · Opelika, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 Bed, 2 Bath Double Wide in Beauregard – Fully Updated! This beautifully updated home in the heart of Beauregard offers peaceful country living with modern style and space. Featuring new LVP flooring and fresh paint throughout, this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is move-in ready. Step into a large living room with vaulted ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and tons of windows that flood the space with natural light. The kitchen includes a center island, desk nook, new countertops, built-ins, and a brand-new stove (coming soon!). The versatile layout includes a formal dining room that could easily be used as a second living space, and a breakfast nook tucked into a sunny bay windo
Key facts
- Tons of windows
- Fresh paint
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (7.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.8% in Opelika — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#188 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Lee County (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #40 of 129 in AL (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Beauregard Elementary School (math 32% / reading 61%, grade D-, #159 of 627 statewide, top 26%, 769 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 48% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 395 active listings in the ZIP; 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $190k implies a 475% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.18%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-13,418
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $10,395
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36804
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Active inventory
- 395
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,755 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $453/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2026-03-13$189,900 Active
-
2025-10-09price $188,900
-
2025-09-15price $189,000
-
2022-05-03soldstatus $33,010
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $453 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $779 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$326/yr (+$27/mo · 72.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$453
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,685
- − Management
- −$1,685
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $130
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$31
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,257/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee County
- NCES district ID
- 0102070
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,786
- Composite
- 30.04/100
- National rank
- #6355
- State rank
- #40 of 129 in AL
Livability — Opelika
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #15556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lee County · 144,175 people
- City population
- 45,973
- Metro
- Auburn-Opelika, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,535
- Household income
- $61,880
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 399.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 196,440 people
- By 2030
- 217,417 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 259,467 · +32.1%
- By 2050
- 301,557 · +53.5%
- By 2075
- 402,186 · +104.7%
- By 2100
- 474,503 · +141.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.83%
- Current HPI
- 212.8718
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Auburn-Opelika, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+475.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Pending — LCMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $189,900 LCMLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $188,900 LCMLS
- 2025-09-15 Price Changed $189,000 LCMLS
- 2022-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $33,010 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $453 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…