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77 Lee Road 2044
C- Composite 50.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

77 Lee Road 2044 · Opelika, AL 36804
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,016 sqft · Manufactured public records · 11 Days on market
Built 2000 0.55 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3 Bed, 2 Bath Double Wide in Beauregard – Fully Updated! This beautifully updated home in the heart of Beauregard offers peaceful country living with modern style and space. Featuring new LVP flooring and fresh paint throughout, this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is move-in ready. Step into a large living room with vaulted ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and tons of windows that flood the space with natural light. The kitchen includes a center island, desk nook, new countertops, built-ins, and a brand-new stove (coming soon!). The versatile layout includes a formal dining room that could easily be used as a second living space, and a breakfast nook tucked into a sunny bay windo

Key facts

  • Tons of windows
  • Fresh paint
  • Large living room

Tags

NEW LVP FLOORINGFRESH PAINTLARGE LIVING ROOMCOZY FIREPLACETONS OF WINDOWSCENTER ISLAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.8% in Opelika — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#188 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Lee County (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #40 of 129 in AL (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Beauregard Elementary School (math 32% / reading 61%, grade D-, #159 of 627 statewide, top 26%, 769 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 48% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 395 active listings in the ZIP; 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $190k implies a 475% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,530 (7.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.18%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-13,418
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$10,395
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36804

Home prices YoY
-19.0%
Active inventory
395
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,755 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $453/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,408
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-03-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-13
    listed $189,900 Active
  3. 2025-10-09
    price $188,900
  4. 2025-09-15
    price $189,000
  5. 2022-05-03
    soldstatus $33,010

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$453 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$779 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$326/yr (+$27/mo · 72.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,064
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$453
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,685
− Management
−$1,685
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$130
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$31
After-tax cash flow
$3,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee County
NCES district ID
0102070
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$47,786
Composite
30.04/100
National rank
#6355
State rank
#40 of 129 in AL

Livability — Opelika

Score
63/100
State rank
#188
US rank
#15556

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lee County · 144,175 people
City population
45,973
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
Population (ZIP)
20,535
Household income
$61,880
Rent vs Own
22.0% rent · 78.0% own
Severe rent burden
399.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
196,440 people
By 2030
217,417 · +10.7%
By 2040
259,467 · +32.1%
By 2050
301,557 · +53.5%
By 2075
402,186 · +104.7%
By 2100
474,503 · +141.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.83%
Current HPI
212.8718
Rent YoY
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+475.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Pending LCMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $189,900 LCMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $188,900 LCMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $189,000 LCMLS
  • 2022-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $33,010 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $453 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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