210 Holiday Park Vlg · Jamestown, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for an updated home? With 3 bedrooms and a fenced yard, this home is perfect for your growing family! All new flooring and paint throughout this spacious property.
Key facts
- Water heater
- Updated flooring
- Skylight
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage facing front; 1 garage space; Additional parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured (double wide) home; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Double wide manufactured construction
- Exterior features: No additional exterior features listed; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Skylights
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 3.2% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#35 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Jamestown 1 (town): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #14 of 53 in ND (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jamestown High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #33 of 144 statewide, top 32%, 777 students, 21% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Stutsman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stutsman County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.10%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $27,643
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 51.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.18×
- Total profit
- $72,379
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58401
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,136 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $797/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $548
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $577 | -5% $563 | +0% $548 | +5% $534 | +10% $520 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $459 | -5% $504 | +0% $548 | +5% $593 | +10% $638 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $574 | -0.5pp $561 | base $548 | +0.5pp $535 | +1.0pp $522 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-19days on market $49,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-09price $49,900 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $52,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $52,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $52,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $52,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $52,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $52,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $52,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $52,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-04-21price $52,000
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2026-03-17$54,500 Active
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2023-02-28soldstatus 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Looking for an updated home? With 3 bedrooms and a fenced yard, this home is perfect for your growing family! All new flooring and paint throughout this spacious property.
-
2023-01-09$69,900 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Looking for an updated home? With 3 bedrooms and a fenced yard, this home is perfect for your growing family! All new flooring and paint throughout this spacious property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $797 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $797 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$797
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,090
- − Management
- −$1,090
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $6,155
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,477
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamestown 1
- NCES district ID
- 3800021
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,557
- Composite
- 41.38/100
- National rank
- #3487
- State rank
- #14 of 53 in ND
Livability — Jamestown
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #35
- US rank
- #5212
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jamestown, ND
- County
- Stutsman County · 17,189 people
- City population
- 17,189
- Metro
- Jamestown, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,189
- Household income
- $60,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 964.0
Population outlook (Stutsman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,104 people
- By 2030
- 21,292 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 21,485 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 21,960 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 25,753 · +22.0%
- By 2100
- 29,779 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 17% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stutsman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.6) · D 26.7% · R 71.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -44.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.6 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.65%
- Current HPI
- 123.841
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.68%
- Metro
- Jamestown, ND
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
-25.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $52,000 GNMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $54,500 GNMLS
- 2023-02-28 Sold (MLS) — GNMLS
- 2023-01-09 Listed $69,900 GNMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $797 · +134.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…