120 E Center Ave · McGregor, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
What a great home at a great price in a great location on a corner lot. One level living with a large kitchen, living room with a fireplace. Attached garage and the large yard are just an added bonus.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Large yard
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage (approx. 20 x 24; 7' high door, 16' wide opening)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Frame construction; Built on a slab; Foundation dimensions ~30 x 45
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approximately 0.287 acres (dimensions ~105 x 115)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
- Interior features: One-level living; Slab foundation; Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($43/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#429 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Mcgregor Public School District (rural): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #243 of 301 in MN (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Aitkin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Aitkin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.14%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $59,678
- Equity at exit
- $98,196
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.76×
- Total profit
- $175,727
- Equity at exit
- $211,763
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55760
- Home prices YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,096 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,946/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $65 | -5% $34 | +0% $4 | +5% $-27 | +10% $-58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-83 | -5% $-40 | +0% $4 | +5% $47 | +10% $90 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $59 | -0.5pp $31 | base $4 | +0.5pp $-25 | +1.0pp $-53 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $109,000 Pending 36 DOM
-
2026-05-04historical Contingent - Third Party Approval 200-char remark
-
2026-04-24$109,000 Active 200-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,946 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,946 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$2,946
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,053
- − Management
- −$1,053
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$1,716
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$412
- After-tax cash flow
- $455/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcgregor Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2719170
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,225
- Composite
- 31.35/100
- National rank
- #5996
- State rank
- #243 of 301 in MN
Livability — McGregor
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #429
- US rank
- #10140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McGregor, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,831
Population outlook (Aitkin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,340 people
- By 2030
- 13,514 · -5.8%
- By 2040
- 11,928 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 10,804 · -24.7%
- By 2075
- 9,555 · -33.4%
- By 2100
- 8,380 · -41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Native American 5% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 15% Lithuanian 6% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Aitkin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.8% · R 64.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+25.9 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.76%
- Current HPI
- 231.677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed $109,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,946 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…