799 Fuller Ave · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$286,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step inside this charming and well-maintained home in St. Paul’s Summit-University neighborhood. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home blends timeless character with thoughtful updates, featuring partial hardwood floors, sun-filled living spaces, and beautiful original architectural details throughout. The spacious primary suite includes a private en-suite bathroom, offering added comfort and privacy. Enjoy relaxing on the spacious screened front porch, entertaining in the bright kitchen and dining area, and the convenience of a fenced-in yard, detached 1-car garage, plus additional concrete parking. The backyard offers a great patio space perfect for summer gatherings and outdoor ente
Key facts
- Screened front porch
- Newer roof
- Great patio space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached/attached concrete parking area; 1-car garage (dimensions approximately 21 x 12)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One story (main living on one level); Main level primary bedroom
- Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt roof (age 8 years or less)
- Exterior features: Front porch and patio; Stone and vinyl exterior; Chain link fencing; Screened porch (7 x 15)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with breakfast area; Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one primary on the main level); Bedroom sizes include 23 x 10 (main), 16 x 10 (main), 10 x 25
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; Primary bathroom is a 3/4 bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Tile floors; Skylight; Kitchen window; Main floor primary bedroom; Patio and porch access; Walk-up attic
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer hookups; Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $286k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-203 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (12.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (24.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $286k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.04%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-60,374
- Equity at exit
- $42,644
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-73,662
- Equity at exit
- $24,728
Cash invested: $80,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55104
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,174 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,500
- Tax from tax record
- −$302 /mo · $3,620/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $-203
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-41 | -5% $-122 | +0% $-203 | +5% $-284 | +10% $-365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-375 | -5% $-289 | +0% $-203 | +5% $-117 | +10% $-31 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-59 | -0.5pp $-130 | base $-203 | +0.5pp $-277 | +1.0pp $-353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,500
- Closing costs
- $8,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 Western Ave N Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $3,700 | $3.53 | 3d | 23 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $286,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $286,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $286,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $286,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $286,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $286,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $286,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $286,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $286,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $286,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $286,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $286,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $286,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-05-31$286,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,620 · $302/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,620 · $302/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,088
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,020
- − Property taxes
- −$3,620
- − Insurance
- −$1,430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,087
- − Management
- −$2,087
- − Depreciation
- −$8,320
- Taxable loss
- −$7,476
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,794
- After-tax cash flow
- $-644/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,762
- Household income
- $75,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2116.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -532.26%
- Current HPI
- 245.6146
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+346.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $286,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-23 Listed $275,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-02 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-02 Listed $275,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-09-04 Listed $205,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-12-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-13 Listed $219,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-01 Sold (MLS) $65,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-03-21 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-02-16 Listed $64,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,620 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…