115 Anthem Ave · Broad Creek, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$395,715
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRE SALE NO SHOWINGS! The single-story Mason is a classic addition to JC Jackson's Carolina Series. With three bedrooms and two bathrooms this split bedroom home features a study just inside the front door, a great room open to the kitchen and dining area that includes a corner pantry, and grand center eat at island. The owner's bedroom is separate from the secondary bedrooms, overlooks the backyard, and features a sizable walk-in closet and owner's bathroom. Brought to you by the sought after JC Jackson Homes!
Key facts
- Study
- Single-story
- Corner pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $396k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($85k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $396k).
- Cap rate 27.7% vs local median 22.6% in Broad Creek — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#340 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Newport Elementary (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #542 of 1,410 statewide, top 39%, 645 students, 100% FRL); Newport Middle (math 39% / reading 56%, grade C-, #140 of 475 statewide, top 30%, 378 students, 98% FRL); West Carteret High (math 82% / reading 71%, grade A-, #89 of 535 statewide, top 16%, 1,146 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 39% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,433/mo this rent would consume 212% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.47%
- DSCR
- 4.40
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $477,318
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 Junius Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,898 (-6%) | 14mo | $449,000 | $237 | 75 |
| 153 Radford Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 2,115 (+5%) | 8mo | $555,000 | $262 | 73 |
| 180 Avis Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,772 (-12%) | 11mo | $410,000 | $231 | 62 |
| 515 Blue Heron Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,889 (-6%) | 5mo | $1,080,000 | $572 | 58 |
| 556 Pearson Cir | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 2,108 (+5%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $183 | 57 |
| 107 Creek Bluff Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 2,097 (+4%) | 6mo | $419,900 | $200 | 57 |
| 600 Pearson Cir | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,879 (-7%) | 10mo | $400,000 | $213 | 54 |
| 102 Creek Bluff Rd | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,097 (+4%) | 12mo | $439,900 | $210 | 49 |
| 133 Pearson Cir | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 2,082 (+3%) | 15mo | $600,000 | $288 | 48 |
| 114 Creek Bluff Rd | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,859 (-8%) | 5mo | $394,900 | $212 | 46 |
| 207 Bogue Carrier Ct | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 | 2,172 (+8%) | 9mo | $605,000 | $279 | 44 |
| 654 Fishermans Pt | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,201 (+9%) | 15mo | $705,000 | $320 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.48×
- Total profit
- $385,785
- Equity at exit
- $59,002
- IRR
- 80.1%
- Equity multiple
- 9.27×
- Total profit
- $915,829
- Equity at exit
- $34,214
Cash invested: $110,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28570
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,433 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,075
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$495 /mo · $5,936/yr
- Insurance
- −$165
- HOA
- −$27
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,611
- Net cashflow
- $7,061
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $7,334 | -5% $7,197 | +0% $7,061 | +5% $6,924 | +10% $6,787 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $6,079 | -5% $6,570 | +0% $7,061 | +5% $7,552 | +10% $8,043 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $7,260 | -0.5pp $7,161 | base $7,061 | +0.5pp $6,958 | +1.0pp $6,854 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,929
- Closing costs
- $11,871
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $27 · $324/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-04-10$395,715 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $149,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,166
- − Property taxes
- −$5,936
- − Insurance
- −$1,979
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,936
- − Management
- −$11,936
- − HOA
- −$324
- − Depreciation
- −$11,512
- Taxable income
- $83,413
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$20,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $64,710/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
The home appears to be in good condition with no major repairs needed. A fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Trim bushes — Improves landscaping and enhances curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Trim bushes — Improves landscaping and enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carteret County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700630
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,330
- Composite
- 50.92/100
- National rank
- #1786
- State rank
- #31 of 178 in NC
Livability — Broad Creek
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #340
- US rank
- #13718
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carteret County · 52,389 people
- Metro
- Morehead City, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,197
- Household income
- $70,229
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 461.0
Population outlook (Carteret County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,443 people
- By 2030
- 75,344 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 78,142 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 80,091 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 86,120 · +17.3%
- By 2100
- 89,408 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carteret
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.0% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: -34.7pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.54%
- Current HPI
- 276.6589
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Morehead City, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $395,715 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…