2825 New London Rd · New London, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Cash flow +3.0/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this beautiful home sitting on 1.13 acres, hard surface road, built in 2018! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with a full basement- ready to be finished! This open floor plan, makes eating, dining and entertaining easy! It has a large 2.5 car detached garage, and a large yard for all the extra activities! Schedule your showing today, before it's gone!
Key facts
- 1.13 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2018
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-874 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (57.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (56.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (57.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#188 in IA, #3,417 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- New London Community School District (rural): math 63% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #194 of 289 in IA (top 67%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
- Henry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 57% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.44% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.88%
- DSCR
- 0.38
- GRM
- 19.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $345,400
- List price
- $270,000
- Delta
- -21.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-30,790
- Equity at exit
- $113,296
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-21,867
- Equity at exit
- $168,543
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52645
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 19.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,186 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$283 /mo · $3,394/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $-874
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-721 | -5% $-798 | +0% $-874 | +5% $-951 | +10% $-1,027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-968 | -5% $-921 | +0% $-874 | +5% $-827 | +10% $-780 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-738 | -0.5pp $-806 | base $-874 | +0.5pp $-944 | +1.0pp $-1,015 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $270,000 Pending 75 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active Under Contract 74 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active Under Contract 73 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active Under Contract 72 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $270,000 Active Under Contract 70 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $270,000 Active Under Contract 68 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $270,000 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $270,000 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $270,000 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $270,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
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2026-05-09historical Active Under Contract 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Check out this beautiful home sitting on 1.13 acres, hard surface road, built in 2018! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with a full basement- ready to be finished! This open floor plan, makes eating, dining and entertaining easy! It has a large 2.5 car detached garage, and a large yard for all the extra activities! Schedule your showing today, before it's gone!
-
2026-04-30price $270,000 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Check out this beautiful home sitting on 1.13 acres, hard surface road, built in 2018! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with a full basement- ready to be finished! This open floor plan, makes eating, dining and entertaining easy! It has a large 2.5 car detached garage, and a large yard for all the extra activities! Schedule your showing today, before it's gone!
-
2026-04-20price $294,900 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Check out this beautiful home sitting on 1.13 acres, hard surface road, built in 2018! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with a full basement- ready to be finished! This open floor plan, makes eating, dining and entertaining easy! It has a large 2.5 car detached garage, and a large yard for all the extra activities! Schedule your showing today, before it's gone!
-
2026-04-05price $309,000 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Check out this beautiful home sitting on 1.13 acres, hard surface road, built in 2018! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with a full basement- ready to be finished! This open floor plan, makes eating, dining and entertaining easy! It has a large 2.5 car detached garage, and a large yard for all the extra activities! Schedule your showing today, before it's gone!
-
2026-03-27$329,000 Active 379-char remark
Show marketing remark (379 chars)
Check out this beautiful home sitting on 1.13 acres, hard surface road, built in 2018! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with a full basement- ready to be finished! This open floor plan, makes eating, dining and entertaining easy! It has a large 2.5 car detached garage, and a large yard for all the extra activities! Schedule your showing today, before it's gone!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,394 · $283/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,816 · $318/mo
- Expected delta
- +$422/yr (+$35/mo · 12.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,234
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$3,394
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$15,767
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,784
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,706/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New London Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1920460
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,710
- Composite
- 55.31/100
- National rank
- #1260
- State rank
- #194 of 289 in IA
Livability — New London
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #3417
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,472
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,583 people
- By 2030
- 19,271 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 18,505 · -5.5%
- By 2050
- 17,796 · -9.1%
- By 2075
- 16,821 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 15,549 · -20.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.3% · R 67.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.9pp toward R · 2008: -5.0pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+30.9 2012: R+6.0 2008: R+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.46%
- Current HPI
- 197.8445
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-17.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — IAR
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $270,000 IAR
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $294,900 IAR
- 2026-04-05 Price Changed $309,000 IAR
- 2026-03-27 Listed $329,000 IAR
Property tax history
+149.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,394 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…