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3010 Neptune St
B+ Composite 79.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$59,000

3010 Neptune St · San Antonio, TX 78226
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1962 5,941 sqft lot Est $117k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention investors, flippers, and handy buyers! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers tremendous potential for those looking to add value through renovations and updates. With solid bones and plenty of opportunity to customize, this property is perfect for a fix-and-flip project, rental investment, or long-term hold strategy. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and major transportation routes, the property's location adds to its investment appeal. Property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 5,941 sq ft lot
  • Built 1962
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story (first-level living)
  • Construction: Built in 1962; Cement siding; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first level (each approx. 10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: Two total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($998 rent vs $59k).
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: George E Kelly El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 227 students, 94% FRL); Harris Middle (math 11% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,520 of 1,662 statewide, top 92%, 762 students, 94% FRL, charter); Burbank H S (math 9% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,522 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,319 students, 90% FRL, charter).
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.3%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
11.75%
Cash-on-cash
19.47%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,928
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3102 Neptune 0.05mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 1mo $69,000 $103 96
3111 Mars 0.04mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 5mo $150,000 $223 94
2263 19th 0.39mi 2/1.0 720 (+7%) 6mo $50,000 $69 66
834 Jennings 0.31mi 2/1.0 756 (+12%) 8mo $125,000 $165 58
553 Barrett 0.64mi 2/1.0 660 (-2%) 13mo $138,900 $210 57
557 Barrett 0.63mi 2/1.0 748 (+11%) 8mo $129,900 $174 45
439 Walton Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 720 (+7%) 22mo $149,000 $207 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$9,434
Equity at exit
$10,749
10-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$32,159
Equity at exit
$8,518

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78226

Home prices YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$998 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,239/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$268

Break-even live

Break-even rent $659
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
515 Humble Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $810 $1.16 43d 1 0.43mi
350 Barrett Pl San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 616 $1,225 $1.99 4d 1 0.94mi
2003 S Zarzamora St San Antonio, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $1,120 $1.09 23d 1 0.94mi
330 Barrett Pl San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 400 $900 $2.25 12d 1 0.98mi
1938 S Zarzamora St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 744 $915 $1.23 3d 1 0.99mi
1202 Division Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 550 $1,100 $2.00 23d 1 1.33mi
815 Ripford St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 728 $1,300 $1.79 4d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    price $59,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 496-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $62,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,239 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,239 · $187/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,980
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$2,239
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$958
− Management
−$958
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$2,508
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$602
After-tax cash flow
$2,615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
City population
1,806,925
Population (ZIP)
6,907

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 87% Two or more races 27% White 8% Black 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 73%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 50%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.26%
Current HPI
244.9905
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $62,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-08-14 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2024-06-12 Relisted LERA
  • 2024-05-29 Pending LERA
  • 2024-04-27 Contingent LERA
  • 2024-04-23 Listed $85,000 LERA
  • 2016-02-23 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2016-02-03 Relisted LERA
  • 2016-01-22 Pending LERA
  • 2015-12-22 Contingent LERA
  • 2015-12-17 Relisted LERA
  • 2015-10-10 Pending LERA
  • 2015-09-29 Contingent LERA
  • 2015-08-26 Price Changed $39,900 LERA
  • 2015-08-11 Listed $45,000 LERA
  • 2015-05-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,239 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…