408 Jennings Ave SE · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,055
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Vacant.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 217 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.14%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,197
- List price
- $132,055
- Delta
- -5.81%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 419 Highland Ave SE | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 719 (-8%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $125 | 82 |
| 422 Albemarle Ave SE | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 734 (-6%) | 8mo | $149,900 | $204 | 78 |
| 670 Morrill Ave SE | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 774 (-1%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $141 | 75 |
| 636 Montrose Ave SE | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 788 (+1%) | 13mo | $117,166 | $149 | 73 |
| 428 Albemarle Ave SE | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 719 (-8%) | 23mo | $142,500 | $198 | 62 |
| 1412 9th St SE | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 892 (+14%) | 9mo | $75,100 | $84 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-13,298
- Equity at exit
- $19,690
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,233
- Equity at exit
- $11,418
Cash invested: $36,975 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24013
- Home prices YoY
- -18.0%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$693
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,036/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,014
- Closing costs
- $3,962
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 439 Cedar Bluff Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $2,350 | $3.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 601 Highland Ave SE Apt B Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $975 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 420 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $975 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 217 Mountain Ave SW Unit 217-2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $945 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 806 Stewart Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $875 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 520 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 110 Campbell Ave SW Unit 205 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 110 Campbell Ave SW Unit 203 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,045 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 110 Campbell Ave SW Ste 206 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 110 Campbell Ave SW Unit 303 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,350 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1119 Franklin Rd SW Unit BensonFranklin 05 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,297 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 355 Highland Ave SW Apt 1 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 635 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,250 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 703 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 113 Norfolk Ave SW Unit 12 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 113 Norfolk Ave SW Unit 10 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 356 Walnut Ave SW Unit F Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 324 Salem Ave SW Apt 203 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.5 | 770 | $1,750 | $2.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 922 12th St SE Unit A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $899 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1015 12th St SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $923 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 420 Allison Ave SW Apt 3 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $950 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 950 Morgan Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 869 | $1,550 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 357 Salem Ave SW Apt 405 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $955 | $1.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 400 Salem Ave SW Unit 2A Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,400 | $1.88 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 501 Allison Ave SW Apt 07 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $895 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1513 Morningside St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 505 6th St SW Unit 229 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,275 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 605 Calvary St SW Apt A Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $2,100 | $2.51 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 605 Calvary St SW Apt A Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $2,100 | $2.51 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1016 15th St SE #2 Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1084 | $995 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 631 Campbell Ave SW Unit 111 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $1,035 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1605 Church Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,200 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 401 Rutherford Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 802 Rorer Ave SW Apt A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $895 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2202 Broadway Ave SW Unit C Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1331 Main St SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,023 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 813 Gilmer Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,322 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 711 Suburban Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 910 | $1,050 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1905 Wise Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,123 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1816 Bennington St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $1,023 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $132,055 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $132,055 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $132,055 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $132,055 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $132,055 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $132,055 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $132,055 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $132,055 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $132,055 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $132,055 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $132,055 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $132,055 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,055 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,055 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $132,055 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-02-05price $132,055 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
-
2026-01-05price $134,750 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
-
2025-11-13$137,500 Active 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
-
2020-11-23soldstatus $3,113,580
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2017-10-17soldstatus $325,000
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2017-05-01soldstatus $45,000
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2017-04-26soldstatus $22,500 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Full views of Mill Mountain Star and city fireworks shows! This tiny house is convenient to DT and VTC innovation corridor. Great opportunity for first-time investor, long-term tenants in place and pay utilities and maintain lawn service. All appliances pass AS IS.
-
2017-03-03$30,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Full views of Mill Mountain Star and city fireworks shows! This tiny house is convenient to DT and VTC innovation corridor. Great opportunity for first-time investor, long-term tenants in place and pay utilities and maintain lawn service. All appliances pass AS IS.
-
2016-07-14historical
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2016-04-08$30,000
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2014-11-19historical
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2014-05-19$37,500
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2006-11-27soldstatus $71,722
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2006-11-27soldstatus $71,722
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1998-12-07soldstatus $32,000
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1986-05-07soldstatus $7,000
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1977-12-28soldstatus $5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,036 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,083 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$47/yr (+$4/mo · 4.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,036
- − Insurance
- −$660
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$3,842
- Taxable loss
- −$666
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,026
- Household income
- $51,290
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 345.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Greek 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.00%
- Current HPI
- 223.42
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+2541.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $132,055 MLSRV
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $134,750 MLSRV
- 2025-11-13 Listed $137,500 MLSRV
- 2020-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $3,113,580 Public Records
- 2017-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
- 2017-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-26 Sold (MLS) $22,500 MLSRV
- 2017-03-03 Listed $30,000 MLSRV
- 2016-07-14 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2016-04-08 Listed $30,000 MLSRV
- 2014-11-19 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2014-05-19 Listed $37,500 MLSRV
- 2006-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $71,722 Public Records
- 2006-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $71,722 Public Records
- 1998-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 1986-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
- 1977-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,036 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…