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2109 Willard Ave SE
D- Composite 35.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

2109 Willard Ave SE · Grand Rapids, MI 49507
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,172 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 122 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition 3,785 sqft lot $213/sqft · 28% above area Est $278k · 10% under $70/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Own a home for less in Grand Rapids. This brand-new, thoughtfully designed home offers modern finishes, energy-efficient construction, and a rare opportunity to buy below market value (typically ~25% less). Offered through the Dwelling Place Community Land Trust (CLT):You own the homeYou build equityYou can sell in the futureThe difference? The land is leased from a nonprofit (~$50/month), keeping your purchase price significantly lower. Low down payment options available, with monthly payments often comparable to rent. When you sell, you keep your equity plus a portion of the appreciation--creating a smart, stable path to homeownership. Income-qualified buyers only. Multiple homes available. Visit www. dpclt.org for details. Photos are of a similar model. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information.

Key facts

  • 3,785 sq ft lot
  • Built 2023
  • Listed 121 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-370 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (21.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (27.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in MI, #939 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Grand Rapids Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #451 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Brookside Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 280 students, 85% FRL); Alger Middle School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #481 of 493 statewide, top 98%, 342 students, 95% FRL); City Middlehigh (math 65% / reading 88%, grade A-, #16 of 713 statewide, top 2%, 908 students, 40% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 76% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $180,765 (27.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.52%
Cash-on-cash
-6.34%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$278,206
List price
$250,000
Delta
-10.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
318 Wesley St SE 1.24mi 3/2.0 1,234 (+5%) 6mo $300,000 $243 49
2909 Union Ave SE 0.99mi 3/1.0 1,268 (+8%) 0mo $218,500 $172 49
133 Wesley St SE 1.28mi 3/1.0 1,228 (+5%) 9mo $252,350 $205 48
464 Van Allen St SE 1.21mi 3/1.0 1,222 (+4%) 10mo $277,000 $227 48
116 Honeoye St SW 1.26mi 3/1.0 1,068 (-9%) 3mo $235,000 $220 46
511 Mae-thy 1.11mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,048 (-11%) 5mo $255,000 $243 36
2924 Union Ave SE 1.01mi 3/1.5 958 (-18%) 6mo $250,000 $261 35
12 Celia St SW 1.33mi 3/2.0 1,006 (-14%) 8mo $173,000 $172 33
116 32nd St SE 1.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 882 (-25%) 2mo $237,500 $269 31
118 Canterbury St SW 1.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 966 (-18%) 4mo $258,000 $267 30
104 Canterbury St SW 1.29mi 3/1.0 1,395 (+19%) 12mo $262,500 $188 28
426 Mae-thy St SE 1.15mi 3/1.0 1,349 (+15%) 13mo $259,250 $192 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.2%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-60,764
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.01×
Total profit
$-69,253
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
25 active · 52 under contract
Months of supply
150.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$250,000 ($207/sqft)
Median days on market
38 d
This list price
48% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+14.5% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 49507

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,808 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$70
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$-370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,276
Max offer price $196,511
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-197 -5% $-283 +0% $-370 +5% $-456 +10% $-542
Rent -10% $-512 -5% $-441 +0% $-370 +5% $-298 +10% $-227
Rate -1.0pp $-244 -0.5pp $-306 base $-370 +0.5pp $-434 +1.0pp $-500

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
950 Merritt St SE Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,100 $2.10 93d 1 0.45mi
1031 Merrifield St SE Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,300 $1.86 63d 1 0.52mi
459 Dickinson St SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 731 $1,195 $1.63 93d 1 0.58mi
1057 Griggs St SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 93d 1 0.68mi
2040 Division Ave S Unit 207 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 768 $1,703 $2.22 25d 1 0.73mi
1220 Ottillia St SE Unit D Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 93d 1 0.80mi
1309 Madison Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $1,560 $2.01 51d 1 1.03mi
242 Elm St SW Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.5 1100 $3,200 $2.91 15d 1 1.15mi
1555 Margaret Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 63d 1 1.20mi
19 La Belle St SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 846 $1,045 $1.24 93d 1 1.21mi
2619 Kalamazoo Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,525 $2.18 15d 8 1.23mi
1400 Rossman Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,200 $1.57 93d 1 1.37mi
3202 Marshall Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,095 $1.29 93d 1 1.39mi
2944 Vineland Ave SE Unit 2944 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 1.40mi
2972 Vineland Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,500 $1.76 32d 1 1.41mi
143 Exchange St SE Unit D Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 920 $1,295 $1.41 93d 1 1.46mi
143 Exchange St SE Apt B Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 920 $1,195 $1.30 63d 1 1.46mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Association fee $70 monthlyHas association

Exterior

Utilities
Public waterNatural gas connectedHigh-speed internet
Home design
Traditional-style single family residence2023 construction
Construction
Vinyl sidingComposition shingle roofBuilt in 2023
Exterior features
Paved road accessSidewalkLeased landShed(s)

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherMicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
Bedrooms
Primary bedroom (11 x 11)Bedroom 2 (11 x 9)Bedroom 3 (13 x 11)
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Forced air heatingHas cooling
Interior features
Insulated windows8 total roomsFull basement
Laundry & utility
Electric water heater

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $250,000 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 117 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 114 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $250,000 Active 112 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $250,000 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $250,000 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $250,000 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $250,000 Active 107 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $250,000 Active 106 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $250,000 Active 105 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $250,000 Active 104 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 101 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 99 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 97 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    price $250,000 Active 96 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $261,000 Active 96 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $261,000 Active 95 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $261,000 Active 94 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $261,000 Active 93 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $261,000 Active 92 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $261,000 Active 90 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $261,000 Active 89 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $261,000 Active 88 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $261,000 Active 86 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $261,000 Active 85 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $261,000 Active 84 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $261,000 Active 83 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $261,000 Active 82 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $261,000 Active 81 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $261,000 Active 80 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $261,000 Active 79 DOM
  36. 2026-06-25
    days on market $261,000 Active 77 DOM
  37. 2026-06-23
    days on market $261,000 Active 75 DOM
  38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $261,000 Active 74 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $261,000 Active 71 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $261,000 Active 70 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $261,000 Active 69 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $261,000 Active 68 DOM
  43. 2026-06-14
    days on market $261,000 Active 66 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $261,000 Active 65 DOM
  45. 2026-06-10
    days on market $261,000 Active 63 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $261,000 Active 62 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $261,000 Active 61 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $261,000 Active 60 DOM
  49. 2026-06-05
    days on market $261,000 Active 57 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $261,000 Active 56 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,692
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,735
− Management
−$1,735
− HOA
−$840
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$8,896
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,135
After-tax cash flow
$-2,301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This brand-new, thoughtfully designed home offers modern finishes, energy-efficient construction, and a rare opportunity to buy below market value. The property is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value.
  • Both Add a small front porch or entryway — Enhances curb appeal and provides a welcoming entrance.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 7/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Brookside Elementary F MI #1,325/1,397 Nat'l #40,579/41,679 Middle Alger Middle School F MI #481/493 Nat'l #13,663/14,009 High Ottawa Hills High School F MI #659/713 Nat'l #15,975/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Rapids Public Schools
NCES district ID
2616440
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$40,612
Composite
18.62/100
National rank
#8899
State rank
#451 of 540 in MI
A Composite livability gradescore 83/100

Livability — Grand Rapids

Score
83/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#939

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grand Rapids, MI
County
Kent County · 712,484 people
City population
181,325
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
38,487
Household income
$61,461
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 31% Black 31% White 30% Two or more races 21%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 23% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $261,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $261,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $261,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-03-04 Listed $261,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-03 Listed $261,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-03-03 Listed $261,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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