CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
None
D Composite 42.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

None · Cool Valley, MO 63121
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1955 8,102 sqft lot Est $111k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! 3 bedroom 2 full bath brick ranch home, less than 2 miles from UMSL. Would make a great college rental. Spacious living room with huge family room addition in the back. Larger inside than it looks from the road. 1 car garage. Basement is partially finished with a full bath. Newer furnace. Don't wait on this one!

Key facts

  • 8,102 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private ownership; No pool
  • Financial info: Seller may consider concessions; Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity, natural gas, and water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Private ownership; One-story house; Basement entry level; Above-grade finished living area: 1,404 (per public records)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Basement (concrete)
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Back yard and front yard; Some trees; Adjoins government land

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included; Basement with concrete construction
  • Laundry & utility: Utilities connected: electricity, natural gas, water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#116 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 23 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $135k implies a 325% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.49%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$110,916
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1312 Willingham Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,404 (0%) 0mo $135,000 $96 98
8445 Hawkesbury Dr 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,311 (-7%) 5mo $88,650 $68 67
8408 Hawkesbury Dr 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,227 (-13%) 2mo $149,900 $122 64
8307 Edna Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,259 (-10%) 4mo $59,900 $48 56
5533 Donbar Dr 0.54mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,282 (-9%) 2mo $180,000 $140 54
1213 Haley Ave 0.30mi 3/2.5 1,196 (-15%) 5mo $95,000 $79 53
5515 Holborn Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,320 (-6%) 3mo $115,000 $87 53
7832 Dartmoor Dr 0.56mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (-8%) 3mo $78,900 $61 52
337 Wiegel Dr 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,220 (-13%) 7mo $59,900 $49 47
223 Wiegel Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-14%) 3mo $95,000 $79 46
6009 Bermuda Dr 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 1mo $110,000 $70 42
230 Randolph Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,243 (-12%) 4mo $85,000 $68 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-7,751
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$20,813
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63121

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,370 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,742/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,151
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $249 -5% $211 +0% $173 +5% $135 +10% $96
Rent -10% $65 -5% $119 +0% $173 +5% $227 +10% $281
Rate -1.0pp $241 -0.5pp $207 base $173 +0.5pp $138 +1.0pp $102

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8408 Hill Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,550 $1.49 25d 1 0.20mi
846 Elsworth Pl Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1352 $1,600 $1.18 6d 1 0.43mi
5925 Brand Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 951 $1,200 $1.26 45d 1 0.48mi
617 Tesmore Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 877 $1,200 $1.37 45d 1 0.60mi
709 Suburban Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 975 $1,400 $1.44 45d 1 0.60mi
7816 Dartmoor Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 950 $1,195 $1.26 45d 1 0.62mi
450 S Dade Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 25d 1 0.64mi
7808 Winward Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1434 $1,425 $0.99 24d 1 0.67mi
519 Graf Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 887 $1,297 $1.46 22d 1 0.69mi
360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 45d 1 0.69mi
222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 964 $1,400 $1.45 9d 1 0.71mi
5830 Bermuda Dr Unit 30B St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 25d 1 0.76mi
246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,600 $1.54 45d 1 0.76mi
419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 0.77mi
265 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1240 $1,350 $1.09 45d 1 0.80mi
110 Paul Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 875 $1,025 $1.17 0d 1 0.81mi
6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,500 $1.17 16d 1 0.86mi
6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,425 $1.11 4d 1 0.86mi
338 Saint Louis Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 45d 1 0.92mi
6188 Dupree Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 972 $1,300 $1.34 45d 1 0.92mi
224 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 936 $995 $1.06 0d 1 0.93mi
249 S Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,220 $1.27 25d 1 1.19mi
296 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 16d 1 1.20mi
324 Emmett Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,650 $1.22 25d 1 1.20mi
227 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 45d 1 1.29mi
35 S Barat Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 984 $1,150 $1.17 0d 1 1.34mi
910 Disco Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 924 $1,235 $1.34 0d 1 1.35mi
60 Mayme Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 0d 1 1.38mi
945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,575 $1.42 45d 1 1.39mi
13 N Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,400 $1.23 12d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $135,000 Pending 54 DOM
  2. 2026-04-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-07
    listed $135,000 Active
  4. 2026-04-03
    historical $135,000
  5. 2019-02-26
    soldstatus $31,760
  6. 2019-02-22
    soldstatus Closed 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! 3 bedroom 2 full bath brick ranch home, less than 2 miles from UMSL. Would make a great college rental. Spacious living room with huge family room addition in the back. Larger inside than it looks from the road. 1 car garage. Basement is partially finished with a full bath. Newer furnace. Don't wait on this one!

  7. 2019-02-02
    status Pending 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! 3 bedroom 2 full bath brick ranch home, less than 2 miles from UMSL. Would make a great college rental. Spacious living room with huge family room addition in the back. Larger inside than it looks from the road. 1 car garage. Basement is partially finished with a full bath. Newer furnace. Don't wait on this one!

  8. 2019-01-31
    listed $24,900 Active 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! 3 bedroom 2 full bath brick ranch home, less than 2 miles from UMSL. Would make a great college rental. Spacious living room with huge family room addition in the back. Larger inside than it looks from the road. 1 car garage. Basement is partially finished with a full bath. Newer furnace. Don't wait on this one!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,742 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,742 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,438
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,742
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,315
− Management
−$1,315
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$98
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$24
After-tax cash flow
$2,097/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Cool Valley

Score
71/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#7242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cool Valley, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
25,008
Household income
$42,701
Rent vs Own
48.4% rent · 51.6% own
Severe rent burden
1611.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 80% White 14% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -177.84%
Current HPI
100.4494
Rent YoY
▲ 5.21%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+442.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Coming Soon $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $31,760 Public Records
  • 2019-02-22 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-02 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-01-31 Listed $24,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,742 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…