804 W Franklin St · Kenton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Central heating
- 60x120 lot
- 10x18 carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (1.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.0% in Kenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#339 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Kenton City (town): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #479 of 656 in OH (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hardin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.72%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,248
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 849 W Franklin St. St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (+7%) | 13mo | $144,000 | $173 | 74 |
| 110 Cleveland Ave Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-6%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $206 | 60 |
| 404 N Glendale St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+13%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $28 | 54 |
| 525 N Glendale St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-7%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $153 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-4,052
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $8,872
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43326
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $837 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $336/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $201 | -5% $177 | +0% $153 | +5% $129 | +10% $105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $87 | -5% $120 | +0% $153 | +5% $186 | +10% $219 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $196 | -0.5pp $175 | base $153 | +0.5pp $131 | +1.0pp $109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31$84,900 Active 59 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $336 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $830 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$494/yr (+$41/mo · 147.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$336
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$804
- − Management
- −$804
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $455
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$109
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,726/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kenton City
- NCES district ID
- 3910025
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,297
- Composite
- 40.19/100
- National rank
- #3786
- State rank
- #479 of 656 in OH
Livability — Kenton
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #5545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kenton, OH
- County
- Hardin · 33,287 people
- City population
- 12,594
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,594
- Household income
- $54,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4.8
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,000 people
- By 2030
- 30,031 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 27,500 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 25,265 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 20,485 · -33.9%
- By 2100
- 16,031 · -48.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 22.2% · R 76.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.8pp toward R · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.0 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.32%
- Current HPI
- 211.5705
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Property tax history
-4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $336 · -4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…