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10025 El Camino Real #68
D+ Composite 45.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

10025 El Camino Real #68 · Atascadero, CA 93422
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 387 Days on market
Built 2021 $228/sqft · 90% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come take a look! Yes, check out this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom newer model 2021 manufactured home in the well-established 55+Rancho Del Bordo Mobile Home Estates. The park is beautifully maintained and beautifully landscaped. Features include community clubhouse, pool, spa, library, pool tables, sauna and more. An attached carport offers both stairs and a ramp for easy access to the back entrance, which opens into a convenient indoor laundry room. There is also a storage shed. Space rent includes water, trash, and sewer services. Conveniently located in the vibrant community of Atascadero, you’ll enjoy nearby wine tasting, golf, shopping, hiking, parks, concerts, and quick access to the coast and San Luis Obispo.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 2021

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $247k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.2% in Atascadero — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#369 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, amenities F.
  • Atascadero Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #508 of 1,400 in CA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,104 units permitted in San Luis Obispo County in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Luis Obispo County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 387 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $285k implies a 883% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $246,544 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 387 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.16%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,675
List price
$285,000
Delta
90.41%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10025 El Camino Real #81 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (0%) 2mo $120,000 $96 94
10025 El Camino Real #125 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,272 (+2%) 8mo $115,000 $90 85
10025 El Camino Real #91 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (0%) 18mo $164,000 $131 80
10025 El Camino Real #85 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,104 (-12%) 2mo $100,000 $91 80
10025 El Camino Real #60 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-4%) 20mo $269,000 $224 72
9200 Pinewood Ct 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,187 (-5%) 1mo $529,000 $446 72
9199 Willow Ct 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 14mo $440,000 $327 61
10976 Las Casitas #57 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,306 (+5%) 6mo $330,000 $253 56
10951 Las Casitas 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,361 (+9%) 5mo $325,000 $239 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-38,900
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-29,697
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93422

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,465 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,285/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$518
Net cashflow
$144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,283
Max offer price $285,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $305 -5% $225 +0% $144 +5% $63 +10% $-17
Rent -10% $-51 -5% $47 +0% $144 +5% $241 +10% $339
Rate -1.0pp $287 -0.5pp $216 base $144 +0.5pp $70 +1.0pp $-5

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9333 Musselman Dr Unit 9333-12 Atascadero, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,795 $2.24 15d 1 0.21mi
10310 El Camino Real Unit 2 Atascadero, CA 2.0 1.5 850 $1,875 $2.21 22d 1 0.35mi
941 Buena Fortuna Cir Unit 210 Atascadero, CA 2.0 1.5 924 $2,500 $2.71 22d 1 0.53mi
932 Calle Cynthia Atascadero, CA 3.0 2.0 1208 $3,100 $2.57 22d 1 0.62mi
8700 Arcade Rd Apt B Atascadero, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,875 $2.34 45d 1 0.80mi
7505 Santa Ysabel Ave Atascadero, CA 3.0 2.0 1190 $3,100 $2.61 22d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $285,000 Active 387 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $285,000 Active 384 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $285,000 Active 383 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $285,000 Active 382 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 381 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $285,000 Active 379 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 378 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $285,000 Active 376 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $285,000 Active 375 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $285,000 Active 374 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $285,000 Active 373 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $285,000 Active 370 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 369 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $285,000 Active 368 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $285,000 Active 367 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $285,000 Active 366 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $285,000 Active 365 DOM
  18. 2025-07-17
    price $285,000 726-char remark
    Show marketing remark (726 chars)

    Come take a look! Yes, check out this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom newer model 2021 manufactured home in the well-established 55+Rancho Del Bordo Mobile Home Estates. The park is beautifully maintained and beautifully landscaped. Features include community clubhouse, pool, spa, library, pool tables, sauna and more. An attached carport offers both stairs and a ramp for easy access to the back entrance, which opens into a convenient indoor laundry room. There is also a storage shed. Space rent includes water, trash, and sewer services. Conveniently located in the vibrant community of Atascadero, you’ll enjoy nearby wine tasting, golf, shopping, hiking, parks, concerts, and quick access to the coast and San Luis Obispo.

  19. 2025-05-30
    listed $300,000 Active 726-char remark
    Show marketing remark (726 chars)

    Come take a look! Yes, check out this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom newer model 2021 manufactured home in the well-established 55+Rancho Del Bordo Mobile Home Estates. The park is beautifully maintained and beautifully landscaped. Features include community clubhouse, pool, spa, library, pool tables, sauna and more. An attached carport offers both stairs and a ramp for easy access to the back entrance, which opens into a convenient indoor laundry room. There is also a storage shed. Space rent includes water, trash, and sewer services. Conveniently located in the vibrant community of Atascadero, you’ll enjoy nearby wine tasting, golf, shopping, hiking, parks, concerts, and quick access to the coast and San Luis Obispo.

  20. 2025-05-14
    historical $300,000 726-char remark
    Show marketing remark (726 chars)

    Come take a look! Yes, check out this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom newer model 2021 manufactured home in the well-established 55+Rancho Del Bordo Mobile Home Estates. The park is beautifully maintained and beautifully landscaped. Features include community clubhouse, pool, spa, library, pool tables, sauna and more. An attached carport offers both stairs and a ramp for easy access to the back entrance, which opens into a convenient indoor laundry room. There is also a storage shed. Space rent includes water, trash, and sewer services. Conveniently located in the vibrant community of Atascadero, you’ll enjoy nearby wine tasting, golf, shopping, hiking, parks, concerts, and quick access to the coast and San Luis Obispo.

  21. 2025-01-01
    historical
  22. 2024-10-30
    price $296,000
  23. 2024-06-24
    price $300,000
  24. 2024-05-08
    listed $308,000 Active
  25. 2008-03-28
    soldstatus $29,000
  26. 2008-03-28
    historical
  27. 2007-08-24
    listed $38,000
  28. 2007-08-24
    listed $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,285 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,285 · $190/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,585
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$2,285
− Insurance
−$1,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,367
− Management
−$2,367
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable loss
−$3,114
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$747
After-tax cash flow
$2,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atascadero Unified
NCES district ID
0603300
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$66,562
Composite
42.81/100
National rank
#6748
State rank
#508 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Atascadero

Score
65/100
State rank
#369
US rank
#12594

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Atascadero, CA
County
San Luis Obispo County · 224,651 people
City population
33,002
Metro
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,002
Household income
$91,780
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
858.0

Population outlook (San Luis Obispo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
306,977 people
By 2030
320,378 · +4.4%
By 2040
343,933 · +12.0%
By 2050
366,853 · +19.5%
By 2075
428,329 · +39.5%
By 2100
460,687 · +50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Luis Obispo

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 5.4pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+8.3 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+5.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -632.04%
Current HPI
380.1972
Rent YoY
▲ 2.26%
Metro
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+650.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $285,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Listed $300,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-14 Coming Soon $300,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-01-01 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-10-30 Price Changed $296,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-06-24 Price Changed $300,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2024-05-08 Listed $308,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2008-03-28 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2008-03-28 Sold (MLS) $29,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-08-24 Listed $38,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2007-08-24 Listed $38,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+32.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,285 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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