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3121 N Johnson St
C- Composite 51.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

3121 N Johnson St · New Orleans, LA 70117
6 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,111 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 285 Days on market
Built 1940 5,100 sqft lot $206/sqft · 91% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into this stunning renovation featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a spacious primary en suite with a custom walk-in closet. Designed for both comfort and style, this home boasts vinyl waterproof plank flooring, recessed lighting, and an open floor plan nice for modern living, comfort and entertaining. The gourmet kitchen is equipped with marble countertops, an abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances. Bonus room can be a walk-in pantry or office space--sweet for today's lifestyle. A laundry room with washer and dryer included adds extra convenience. Enjoy the outdoors on an oversized deep lot with a privacy fence, offering plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, or relaxation. Additional updates include a new roof, beautiful esthetics and thoughtful storage solutions throughout and more. This move-in ready home combines quality finishes, functional spaces, and timeless style--a true must see! LEASE PURCHASE OPTIONS AVAILABLE!

Key facts

  • Marble countertops
  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Privacy fence

Tags

CUSTOM WALK-IN CLOSETGOURMET KITCHENMARBLE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESOVERSIZED DEEP LOTPRIVACY FENCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $229k).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
  • Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,407/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1988% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 285 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $229k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 285 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.96%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,441
List price
$229,000
Delta
61.90%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-22,197
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-3,324
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70117

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
581
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,407 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax est. 1.5%
$286 /mo · $3,435/yr
Insurance
$95
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$505
Net cashflow
$252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,087
Max offer price $229,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $410 -5% $331 +0% $252 +5% $173 +10% $94
Rent -10% $62 -5% $157 +0% $252 +5% $347 +10% $442
Rate -1.0pp $368 -0.5pp $310 base $252 +0.5pp $193 +1.0pp $132

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2317 N Rampart St Unit 1272378P New Orleans, LA 3.0–6.0 2.0–4.0 1581 $8,133 $5.14 4d 2 1.05mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,000 Active 285 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,000 Active 283 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $229,000 Active 280 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,000 Active 279 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,000 Active 278 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,000 Active 277 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $229,000 Active 274 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,000 Active 273 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Active 272 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,000 Active 271 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,000 Active 270 DOM
  12. 2026-03-11
    price $229,500 970-char remark
    Show marketing remark (986 chars)

    Step into this stunning renovation featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a spacious primary en suite with a custom walk-in closet. Designed for both comfort and style, this home boasts vinyl waterproof plank flooring, recessed lighting, and an open floor plan nice for modern living, comfort and entertaining. The gourmet kitchen is equipped with marble countertops, an abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances. Bonus room can be a walk-in pantry or office space—sweet for today’s lifestyle. A laundry room with washer and dryer included adds extra convenience. Enjoy the outdoors on an oversized deep lot with a privacy fence, offering plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, or relaxation. Additional updates include a new roof, beautiful esthetics and thoughtful storage solutions throughout and more. This move-in ready home combines quality finishes, functional spaces, and timeless style—a true must see! LEASE PURCHASE OPTIONS AVAILABLE!

  13. 2026-03-11
    price $229,500 986-char remark
    Show marketing remark (986 chars)

    Step into this stunning renovation featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a spacious primary en suite with a custom walk-in closet. Designed for both comfort and style, this home boasts vinyl waterproof plank flooring, recessed lighting, and an open floor plan nice for modern living, comfort and entertaining. The gourmet kitchen is equipped with marble countertops, an abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances. Bonus room can be a walk-in pantry or office space—sweet for today’s lifestyle. A laundry room with washer and dryer included adds extra convenience. Enjoy the outdoors on an oversized deep lot with a privacy fence, offering plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, or relaxation. Additional updates include a new roof, beautiful esthetics and thoughtful storage solutions throughout and more. This move-in ready home combines quality finishes, functional spaces, and timeless style—a true must see! LEASE PURCHASE OPTIONS AVAILABLE!

  14. 2025-10-08
    price $239,900 970-char remark
    Show marketing remark (986 chars)

    Step into this stunning renovation featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a spacious primary en suite with a custom walk-in closet. Designed for both comfort and style, this home boasts vinyl waterproof plank flooring, recessed lighting, and an open floor plan nice for modern living, comfort and entertaining. The gourmet kitchen is equipped with marble countertops, an abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances. Bonus room can be a walk-in pantry or office space—sweet for today’s lifestyle. A laundry room with washer and dryer included adds extra convenience. Enjoy the outdoors on an oversized deep lot with a privacy fence, offering plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, or relaxation. Additional updates include a new roof, beautiful esthetics and thoughtful storage solutions throughout and more. This move-in ready home combines quality finishes, functional spaces, and timeless style—a true must see! LEASE PURCHASE OPTIONS AVAILABLE!

  15. 2025-10-08
    price $239,900 986-char remark
    Show marketing remark (986 chars)

    Step into this stunning renovation featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a spacious primary en suite with a custom walk-in closet. Designed for both comfort and style, this home boasts vinyl waterproof plank flooring, recessed lighting, and an open floor plan nice for modern living, comfort and entertaining. The gourmet kitchen is equipped with marble countertops, an abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances. Bonus room can be a walk-in pantry or office space—sweet for today’s lifestyle. A laundry room with washer and dryer included adds extra convenience. Enjoy the outdoors on an oversized deep lot with a privacy fence, offering plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, or relaxation. Additional updates include a new roof, beautiful esthetics and thoughtful storage solutions throughout and more. This move-in ready home combines quality finishes, functional spaces, and timeless style—a true must see! LEASE PURCHASE OPTIONS AVAILABLE!

  16. 2025-09-03
    listed $249,000 Active 970-char remark
    Show marketing remark (986 chars)

    Step into this stunning renovation featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a spacious primary en suite with a custom walk-in closet. Designed for both comfort and style, this home boasts vinyl waterproof plank flooring, recessed lighting, and an open floor plan nice for modern living, comfort and entertaining. The gourmet kitchen is equipped with marble countertops, an abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances. Bonus room can be a walk-in pantry or office space—sweet for today’s lifestyle. A laundry room with washer and dryer included adds extra convenience. Enjoy the outdoors on an oversized deep lot with a privacy fence, offering plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, or relaxation. Additional updates include a new roof, beautiful esthetics and thoughtful storage solutions throughout and more. This move-in ready home combines quality finishes, functional spaces, and timeless style—a true must see! LEASE PURCHASE OPTIONS AVAILABLE!

  17. 2025-09-03
    listed $249,000 Active 986-char remark
    Show marketing remark (986 chars)

    Step into this stunning renovation featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a spacious primary en suite with a custom walk-in closet. Designed for both comfort and style, this home boasts vinyl waterproof plank flooring, recessed lighting, and an open floor plan nice for modern living, comfort and entertaining. The gourmet kitchen is equipped with marble countertops, an abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances. Bonus room can be a walk-in pantry or office space—sweet for today’s lifestyle. A laundry room with washer and dryer included adds extra convenience. Enjoy the outdoors on an oversized deep lot with a privacy fence, offering plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, or relaxation. Additional updates include a new roof, beautiful esthetics and thoughtful storage solutions throughout and more. This move-in ready home combines quality finishes, functional spaces, and timeless style—a true must see! LEASE PURCHASE OPTIONS AVAILABLE!

  18. 2025-09-03
    listed $249,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (986 chars)

    Step into this stunning renovation featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a spacious primary en suite with a custom walk-in closet. Designed for both comfort and style, this home boasts vinyl waterproof plank flooring, recessed lighting, and an open floor plan nice for modern living, comfort and entertaining. The gourmet kitchen is equipped with marble countertops, an abundance of cabinets, stainless steel appliances. Bonus room can be a walk-in pantry or office space—sweet for today’s lifestyle. A laundry room with washer and dryer included adds extra convenience. Enjoy the outdoors on an oversized deep lot with a privacy fence, offering plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, or relaxation. Additional updates include a new roof, beautiful esthetics and thoughtful storage solutions throughout and more. This move-in ready home combines quality finishes, functional spaces, and timeless style—a true must see! LEASE PURCHASE OPTIONS AVAILABLE!

  19. 2019-07-15
    soldstatus $38,175 Closed
  20. 2019-05-07
    status Pending
  21. 2019-05-05
    status Active
  22. 2019-04-26
    status Pending
  23. 2019-04-13
    status Active
  24. 2019-04-04
    status Pending
  25. 2019-03-25
    listed $44,900
  26. 2019-03-25
    listed $44,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,879
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$3,435
− Insurance
−$1,942
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,310
− Management
−$2,310
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable loss
−$608
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$146
After-tax cash flow
$3,172/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orleans Parish
NCES district ID
2201170
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -52.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -46.00%
Median HH income
$37,011
Composite
15.78/100
National rank
#9271
State rank
#69 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Orleans

Score
81/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Orleans, LA
County
Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
City population
338,817
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
25,652
Household income
$45,764
Rent vs Own
47.8% rent · 52.2% own
Severe rent burden
1988.0

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
513,025 people
By 2030
575,781 · +12.2%
By 2040
700,174 · +36.5%
By 2050
826,541 · +61.1%
By 2075
1,123,374 · +119.0%
By 2100
1,355,609 · +164.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 30% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

2024 margin
Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -177.22%
Current HPI
184.6061
Rent YoY
▲ 2.49%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+411.1% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $229,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $229,500 GSREIN
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $239,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $239,900 GSREIN
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $249,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $249,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $249,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2019-07-15 Sold (MLS) $38,175 GSREIN
  • 2019-05-07 Pending GSREIN
  • 2019-05-05 Relisted GSREIN
  • 2019-04-26 Pending GSREIN
  • 2019-04-13 Relisted GSREIN
  • 2019-04-04 Pending GSREIN
  • 2019-03-25 Listed $44,900 GSREIN
  • 2019-03-25 Listed $44,900 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $371 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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