5850 State Hwy 1943 West · Eddyville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!!! Enjoy the peaceful country setting in this beautiful BERM style home w/ 3 BD, 1 full bath home, the bathroom for the primary en-suite is roughed in and the materials will convey (commode is functional), living room with built in entertainment center with gas logs, kitchen with concrete countertops & the appliances, bar stools & desk will stay, utility room with washer, dryer & deep freezer to remain, a 52x30 post frame building with 12x10 and 16x 14 openings, an outbuilding with 14x30 lean to section and 16x30 main section, partially fenced yard for your fur-babies or children and sitting on 1.15 acres. Located approx less than 5 miles to town, LAKE BARKLEY, 1-24 access and much more!! Don't miss this one. .. REDUCED $184,500
Key facts
- 1.15 acres
- Berm style home
- Concrete countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $184k).
- Recommended offer: $162k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.7% in Eddyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#174 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lyon County (rural): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 165 in KY (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Lyon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lyon County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 489 days — a 12% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 489 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.38%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $28,692
- Equity at exit
- $27,510
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $100,362
- Equity at exit
- $15,952
Cash invested: $51,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42038
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,647 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$968
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,522/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $920
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,025 | -5% $972 | +0% $920 | +5% $868 | +10% $816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $711 | -5% $816 | +0% $920 | +5% $1,025 | +10% $1,129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,013 | -0.5pp $967 | base $920 | +0.5pp $872 | +1.0pp $824 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,125
- Closing costs
- $5,535
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $184,500 Active 489 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $184,500 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $184,500 Active 486 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $184,500 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $184,500 Active 484 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $184,500 Active 482 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $184,500 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $184,500 Active 478 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $184,500 Active 477 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $184,500 Active 476 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $184,500 Active 475 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $184,500 Active 472 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $184,500 Active 471 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $184,500 Active 470 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $184,500 Active 469 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $184,500 Active 468 DOM
-
2025-10-08price $184,500 785-char remark
Show marketing remark (785 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!!! Enjoy the peaceful country setting in this beautiful BERM style home w/ 3 BD, 1 full bath home, the bathroom for the primary en-suite is roughed in and the materials will convey (commode is functional), living room with built in entertainment center with gas logs, kitchen with concrete countertops & the appliances, bar stools & desk will stay, utility room with washer, dryer & deep freezer to remain, a 52x30 post frame building with 12x10 and 16x 14 openings, an outbuilding with 14x30 lean to section and 16x30 main section, partially fenced yard for your fur-babies or children and sitting on 1.15 acres. Located approx less than 5 miles to town, LAKE BARKLEY, 1-24 access and much more!! Don't miss this one. .. REDUCED $184,500
-
2025-08-18status Active 785-char remark
Show marketing remark (785 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!!! Enjoy the peaceful country setting in this beautiful BERM style home w/ 3 BD, 1 full bath home, the bathroom for the primary en-suite is roughed in and the materials will convey (commode is functional), living room with built in entertainment center with gas logs, kitchen with concrete countertops & the appliances, bar stools & desk will stay, utility room with washer, dryer & deep freezer to remain, a 52x30 post frame building with 12x10 and 16x 14 openings, an outbuilding with 14x30 lean to section and 16x30 main section, partially fenced yard for your fur-babies or children and sitting on 1.15 acres. Located approx less than 5 miles to town, LAKE BARKLEY, 1-24 access and much more!! Don't miss this one. .. REDUCED $184,500
-
2025-06-05price $189,000 785-char remark
Show marketing remark (785 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!!! Enjoy the peaceful country setting in this beautiful BERM style home w/ 3 BD, 1 full bath home, the bathroom for the primary en-suite is roughed in and the materials will convey (commode is functional), living room with built in entertainment center with gas logs, kitchen with concrete countertops & the appliances, bar stools & desk will stay, utility room with washer, dryer & deep freezer to remain, a 52x30 post frame building with 12x10 and 16x 14 openings, an outbuilding with 14x30 lean to section and 16x30 main section, partially fenced yard for your fur-babies or children and sitting on 1.15 acres. Located approx less than 5 miles to town, LAKE BARKLEY, 1-24 access and much more!! Don't miss this one. .. REDUCED $184,500
-
2025-02-14$199,000 Active 785-char remark
Show marketing remark (785 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!!! Enjoy the peaceful country setting in this beautiful BERM style home w/ 3 BD, 1 full bath home, the bathroom for the primary en-suite is roughed in and the materials will convey (commode is functional), living room with built in entertainment center with gas logs, kitchen with concrete countertops & the appliances, bar stools & desk will stay, utility room with washer, dryer & deep freezer to remain, a 52x30 post frame building with 12x10 and 16x 14 openings, an outbuilding with 14x30 lean to section and 16x30 main section, partially fenced yard for your fur-babies or children and sitting on 1.15 acres. Located approx less than 5 miles to town, LAKE BARKLEY, 1-24 access and much more!! Don't miss this one. .. REDUCED $184,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,522 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,587 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- +$65/yr (+$5/mo · 4.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,770
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,335
- − Property taxes
- −$1,522
- − Insurance
- −$922
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,542
- − Management
- −$2,542
- − Depreciation
- −$5,367
- Taxable income
- $8,540
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,050
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lyon County
- NCES district ID
- 2103690
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,899
- Composite
- 40.94/100
- National rank
- #3607
- State rank
- #13 of 165 in KY
Livability — Eddyville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #8755
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,045
Population outlook (Lyon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,330 people
- By 2030
- 8,308 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 8,196 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 8,069 · -3.1%
- By 2075
- 8,131 · -2.4%
- By 2100
- 6,856 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lyon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.7% · R 76.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -53.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.4 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+27.1 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.82%
- Current HPI
- 148.5677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-7.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $184,500 WKRMLS
- 2025-08-18 Relisted — WKRMLS
- 2025-06-05 Price Changed $189,000 WKRMLS
- 2025-02-14 Listed $199,000 WKRMLS
Property tax history
+23.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,522 · +87.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…