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4826 Homerlee Ave
B- Composite 68.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0

$130,000

4826 Homerlee Ave · East Chicago, IN 46312
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1919 3,484 sqft lot Est $195k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1.5-story home with a functional layout and flexible living space. The main level features a spacious living room. The kitchen offers cabinet and counter space with an adjoining dining area for everyday use. The finished basement provides additional living space along with a laundry area and added cabinetry for storage. . A home with good space and potential, ready for its next owner.

Key facts

  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1919

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with approximately 2.5 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One and one-half story; Built in 1919
  • Construction: Finished basement
  • Exterior features: Neighborhood view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-In Gas Range; Range hood
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Bonus room; Family room; Living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#371 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
  • School City Of East Chicago (suburban): math 7% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #293 of 301 in IN (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $504 of equity ($899 loan paydown + $-395 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.74%
Cash-on-cash
8.73%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4856 Wegg Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,650 (-6%) 3mo $165,000 $100 78
4855 Indianapolis Blvd 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,689 (-4%) 3mo $198,000 $117 75
4805 Baring Ave 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,657 (-6%) 10mo $250,000 $151 72
1206 W 151st St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,722 (-2%) 18mo $206,000 $120 66
4945 Northcote Ave Apt 2F 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,582 (-10%) 13mo $176,000 $111 57
5016 Magoun Ave 0.34mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,800 (+2%) 16mo $100,000 $56 54
5019 Homerlee Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 2,016 (+14%) 10mo $162,500 $81 50
4220 Homerlee Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,706 (-3%) 13mo $135,000 $79 50
4736 Tod Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,888 (+7%) 11mo $190,000 $101 49
4402 Northcote Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,580 (-10%) 11mo $165,000 $104 48
1241 Hoffman St 0.60mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,730 (-2%) 16mo $195,000 $113 43
4330 Olcott Ave 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-15%) 0mo $179,000 $119 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.3% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$18,360
Equity at exit
$35,787
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$85,210
Equity at exit
$41,483

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46312

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,357 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $857/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,022
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-26
    listed $130,000 Active
  3. 2012-12-01
    historical
  4. 2006-05-24
    historical
  5. 2005-11-23
    listed $124,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$857 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$981 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$124/yr (+$10/mo · 14.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,286
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$857
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,303
− Management
−$1,303
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$1,110
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$266
After-tax cash flow
$2,912/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
School City Of East Chicago
NCES district ID
1802880
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$28,423
Composite
8.36/100
National rank
#9909
State rank
#293 of 301 in IN

Livability — East Chicago

Score
64/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#13869

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Chicago, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
26,022
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
26,022
Household income
$42,125
Rent vs Own
57.1% rent · 42.9% own
Severe rent burden
1227.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% Black 36% Two or more races 11% White 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 45% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 40%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.30%
Current HPI
267.9232
Rent YoY
▲ 8.06%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $130,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-12-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-05-24 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-11-23 Listed $124,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $857 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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