4826 Homerlee Ave · East Chicago, IN
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1.5-story home with a functional layout and flexible living space. The main level features a spacious living room. The kitchen offers cabinet and counter space with an adjoining dining area for everyday use. The finished basement provides additional living space along with a laundry area and added cabinetry for storage. . A home with good space and potential, ready for its next owner.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1919
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with approximately 2.5 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: One and one-half story; Built in 1919
- Construction: Finished basement
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-In Gas Range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central air
- Interior features: Finished basement; Bonus room; Family room; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#371 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- School City Of East Chicago (suburban): math 7% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #293 of 301 in IN (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $504 of equity ($899 loan paydown + $-395 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.73%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4856 Wegg Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (-6%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $100 | 78 |
| 4855 Indianapolis Blvd | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,689 (-4%) | 3mo | $198,000 | $117 | 75 |
| 4805 Baring Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,657 (-6%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $151 | 72 |
| 1206 W 151st St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,722 (-2%) | 18mo | $206,000 | $120 | 66 |
| 4945 Northcote Ave Apt 2F | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,582 (-10%) | 13mo | $176,000 | $111 | 57 |
| 5016 Magoun Ave | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+2%) | 16mo | $100,000 | $56 | 54 |
| 5019 Homerlee Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 2,016 (+14%) | 10mo | $162,500 | $81 | 50 |
| 4220 Homerlee Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,706 (-3%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $79 | 50 |
| 4736 Tod Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,888 (+7%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $101 | 49 |
| 4402 Northcote Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,580 (-10%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $104 | 48 |
| 1241 Hoffman St | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,730 (-2%) | 16mo | $195,000 | $113 | 43 |
| 4330 Olcott Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-15%) | 0mo | $179,000 | $119 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.3% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $18,360
- Equity at exit
- $35,787
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $85,210
- Equity at exit
- $41,483
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46312
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,357 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $857/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-26$130,000 Active
-
2012-12-01historical
-
2006-05-24historical
-
2005-11-23$124,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $857 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $981 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$124/yr (+$10/mo · 14.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,286
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$857
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,303
- − Management
- −$1,303
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $1,110
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$266
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- School City Of East Chicago
- NCES district ID
- 1802880
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,423
- Composite
- 8.36/100
- National rank
- #9909
- State rank
- #293 of 301 in IN
Livability — East Chicago
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #371
- US rank
- #13869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Chicago, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 26,022
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,022
- Household income
- $42,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1227.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% Black 36% Two or more races 11% White 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 40%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.30%
- Current HPI
- 267.9232
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+4.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-26 Listed $130,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-12-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-24 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-23 Listed $124,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2024): $857 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…