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3300 NE 191st St #1915
C- Composite 51.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$290,000

3300 NE 191st St #1915 · Aventura, FL 33180
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Condo public records · 102 Days on market
Built 1990 $964/mo HOA · 23% of rent ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious high-floor residence with open layout and breathtaking bay views, offering beautiful sunsets from a prime Aventura location. This one-bedroom, two-bath unit is in original condition with carpeted floors and an older kitchen, presenting a great opportunity to customize and add value. Features include a generous bedroom with walk-in closet and en-suite bath, washer and dryer in the unit, and bright living areas filled with natural light. Parc Central East offers 24-hour security, front desk service, and resort-style amenities including two pools, gym, fitness classes, sand volleyball, and more. Minutes to Aventura Mall, beaches, shops, and dining. Ideal for end users or investors.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Washer and dryer
  • Natural light

Tags

BAY VIEWSPRIME AVENTURA LOCATIONWALK-IN CLOSETEN-SUITE BATHWASHER AND DRYERNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Association-maintained pool
  • Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions; Annual tax amount available
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $964; Association amenities include bike storage, business center, clubhouse, elevators, and pool; Community has 175 units

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 covered space
  • Security: Doorman; Lobby secured; Security guard
  • Utilities: Cable not available; Association provides hot water
  • Home design: Condominium/high-rise (community with multiple units); 21 total stories; Unit entry on level 19; Property is attached; Has a view; Waterfront property (no fixed bridges)
  • Construction: Block construction; Resale unit
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (15.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $290k).
  • Recommended offer: $246k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 985 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,108/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $245,848 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.61%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.5%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-73,970
Equity at exit
$43,240
10-year hold
IRR
-70.2%
Equity multiple
-0.57×
Total profit
$-127,457
Equity at exit
$25,074

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33180

Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
985
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,108 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$463 /mo · $5,553/yr
Insurance
$121
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$964
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$863
Net cashflow
$-250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,424
Max offer price $245,848
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$964 · $11,568/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-01-22
    listed $290,000 Active
  4. 2025-12-22
    historical $2,250
  5. 2025-10-07
    listed $2,250
  6. 2025-08-19
    historical $2,250
  7. 2025-07-23
    listed $2,250
  8. 2025-06-19
    historical $2,250
  9. 2025-06-19
    listed $2,250
  10. 2024-01-29
    historical $2,200
  11. 2023-12-15
    price $2,200
  12. 2023-11-18
    listed $2,450
  13. 2005-10-06
    soldstatus $352,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,553 · $463/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,553 · $463/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,291
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$5,553
− Insurance
−$6,568
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,943
− Management
−$3,943
− HOA
−$11,568
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$6,966
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,672
After-tax cash flow
$-1,327/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Aventura

Score
80/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#1834

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aventura, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
34,147
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
34,147
Household income
$91,055
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 28% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 7% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 6%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
30% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -343.81%
Current HPI
234.7715
Rent YoY
▼ -1.51%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending MARMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $290,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Rental Removed $2,250 MARMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listed for Rent $2,250 MARMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Rental Removed $2,250 MARMLS
  • 2025-07-23 Listed for Rent $2,250 MARMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Rental Removed $2,250 MARMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Listed for Rent $2,250 MARMLS
  • 2024-01-29 Rental Removed $2,200 MARMLS
  • 2023-12-15 Price Changed $2,200 MARMLS
  • 2023-11-18 Listed for Rent $2,450 MARMLS
  • 2005-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $352,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,553 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…