159 W Locust St · Canton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Cash flow +3.1/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 1.5-story home on a desirable corner lot! This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a spacious front porch perfect for relaxing. Step inside to a large living room featuring an open staircase. The main level provides comfortable living spaces, while the upper level adds additional bedrooms for flexibility. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car attached garage plus a carport for extra parking or storage. A wonderful opportunity to add your personal touch and make this home your own!
Key facts
- 6,200 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1916
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-337 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $71k (32.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $70k (33.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $70k (33.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 7.8% in Canton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Westview Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 398 students, 0% FRL); Ingersoll Middle School (math 18% / reading 24%, grade F, #405 of 665 statewide, top 61%, 645 students, 0% FRL); Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 7969% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $105k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.78%
- DSCR
- 0.39
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,603
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- -15.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -42.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.31×
- Total profit
- $-38,375
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- -69.9%
- Equity multiple
- -1.06×
- Total profit
- $-60,633
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61520
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $698 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$295 /mo · $3,540/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$147
- Net cashflow
- $-337
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-278 | -5% $-308 | +0% $-337 | +5% $-367 | +10% $-397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-393 | -5% $-365 | +0% $-337 | +5% $-310 | +10% $-282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-285 | -0.5pp $-311 | base $-337 | +0.5pp $-365 | +1.0pp $-392 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1100 W Locust St Unit 32 Canton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $698 | $0.73 | 15d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,900 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $104,900 Active 191 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $104,900 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $104,900 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 178 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $104,900 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 173 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 171 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 170 DOM
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2026-05-14price $1,295
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2026-05-01$1,300
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2026-01-28price $104,900 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Charming 1.5-story home on a desirable corner lot! This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a spacious front porch perfect for relaxing. Step inside to a large living room featuring an open staircase. The main level provides comfortable living spaces, while the upper level adds additional bedrooms for flexibility. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car attached garage plus a carport for extra parking or storage. A wonderful opportunity to add your personal touch and make this home your own!
-
2026-01-08price $114,900 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Charming 1.5-story home on a desirable corner lot! This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a spacious front porch perfect for relaxing. Step inside to a large living room featuring an open staircase. The main level provides comfortable living spaces, while the upper level adds additional bedrooms for flexibility. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car attached garage plus a carport for extra parking or storage. A wonderful opportunity to add your personal touch and make this home your own!
-
2025-12-10$125,000 Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Charming 1.5-story home on a desirable corner lot! This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a spacious front porch perfect for relaxing. Step inside to a large living room featuring an open staircase. The main level provides comfortable living spaces, while the upper level adds additional bedrooms for flexibility. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car attached garage plus a carport for extra parking or storage. A wonderful opportunity to add your personal touch and make this home your own!
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2023-07-19historical $1,200
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2023-07-13$1,200
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2021-11-22soldstatus $50,000
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2021-06-11soldstatus $35,777 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Home w/ Character and lots of Sqft! 13 x 25 FP Living Room w/Open Staircase; Formal Dining Rm; Main Floor Master w/1/2 Bath; Kitchen + Breakfast nook; 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath Upstairs + Laundry Chute; 5 Walk-in Closets + Walk-in Pantry; Large Front Porch; 1 Car Detached Garage + Carport; Close to town, shopping & Eateries; SOLD-AS-IS, See associated docs for property condition info.
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2020-12-18$59,940 393-char remark
Show marketing remark (393 chars)
Home w/ Character and lots of Sqft! 13 x 25 FP Living Room w/Open Staircase; Formal Dining Rm; Main Floor Master w/1/2 Bath; Kitchen + Breakfast nook; 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath Upstairs + Laundry Chute; 5 Walk-in Closets + Walk-in Pantry; Large Front Porch; 1 Car Detached Garage + Carport; Close to town, shopping & Eateries; SOLD-AS-IS, See associated docs for property condition info.
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2016-06-30soldstatus $94,500
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2016-06-29soldstatus $94,500
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2016-04-15$94,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,540 · $295/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,540 · $295/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$3,540
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$670
- − Management
- −$670
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable loss
- −$5,956
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,429
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton Union SD 66
- NCES district ID
- 1708280
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,657
- Composite
- 18.03/100
- National rank
- #8980
- State rank
- #417 of 620 in IL
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #6313
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canton, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,098
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,356 people
- By 2030
- 32,144 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 29,518 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 26,775 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 19,972 · -40.1%
- By 2100
- 13,580 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.00%
- Current HPI
- 123.8086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-98.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $1,295 RentEngineListings
- 2026-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,300 RentEngineListings
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $104,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $114,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-10 Listed $125,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-19 Rental Removed $1,200 BUILDIUM
- 2023-07-13 Listed for Rent $1,200 BUILDIUM
- 2021-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-11 Sold (MLS) $35,777 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-18 Listed $59,940 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records
- 2016-06-29 Sold (MLS) $94,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-15 Listed $94,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+19.5%/yrLatest (2024): $3,540 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…