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3129 Roger Williams Dr Unit A
B Composite 71.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

3129 Roger Williams Dr Unit A · Bridgeton, MO 63044
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 951 sqft · Condo public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1969 $95/sqft · 6% below area Est $96k · 6% under $350/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level

Key facts

  • Tranquil green space
  • Quality updates
  • Private laundry

Tags

PRIVATE LAUNDRYQUALITY UPDATESMANICURED GROUNDSTRANQUIL GREEN SPACEEFFICIENT KITCHENPLENTY OF CABINET SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 951 (from public records)
  • HOA & community: Bridgecrest Estates No 2 HOA; Monthly HOA fee ($350) covering grounds maintenance, parking/road maintenance, common area maintenance, exterior maintenance, management, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water; Outside management; Community includes common ground and a lake; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional unassigned parking spaces in parking lot
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (Single phase, Ameren)
  • Home design: Attached condominium; One level; Apartment-building style; Private ownership; Accessible entrance
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Adjoins common ground; Common ground and lake access via association; Concrete road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range; Refrigerator; Laminate counters; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; Patio
  • Laundry & utility: Stacked washer and dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 5.3% in Bridgeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#691 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pattonville R-III (suburban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #147 of 324 in MO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bridgeway Elem. (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #805 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 456 students, 42% FRL); Pattonville Sr. High (math 33% / reading 64%, grade D, #147 of 521 statewide, top 29%, 1,893 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $90k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
13.66%
Cash-on-cash
26.31%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,535
List price
$89,900
Delta
-5.90%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$20,807
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$64,280
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63044

Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,879 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $887/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$350
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$552

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $603 -5% $577 +0% $552 +5% $527 +10% $501
Rent -10% $403 -5% $478 +0% $552 +5% $626 +10% $700
Rate -1.0pp $597 -0.5pp $575 base $552 +0.5pp $529 +1.0pp $505

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11091 Saxonhall Dr Bridgeton, MO 3.0 1.0 1034 $1,706 $1.65 18d 1 0.27mi
3253 Greenbridge Dr Bridgeton, MO 3.0 1.5 1066 $2,561 $2.40 11d 1 0.32mi
11120 Graben Dr St Ann, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 850 $1,250 $1.47 2d 14 0.76mi
11042 Florence Ave Saint Ann, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 13d 1 0.87mi
7 Edgeworth Ave Maryland Heights, MO 3.0 1.5 988 $1,995 $2.02 24d 1 1.01mi
11918 Brookmont Dr Maryland Heights, MO 3.0 1.0 980 $1,800 $1.84 44d 1 1.17mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$350 · $4,200/yr
Likely covers
landscaping
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    listed $89,900 Active 975-char remark
  15. 2017-02-06
    soldstatus Closed 1027-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1027 chars)

    Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level

  16. 2017-02-03
    status Pending 1027-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1027 chars)

    Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level

  17. 2017-01-18
    historical Option 1027-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1027 chars)

    Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level

  18. 2016-11-21
    price $30,000 1027-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1027 chars)

    Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level

  19. 2016-10-26
    listed $33,000 Active 1027-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1027 chars)

    Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level

  20. 2013-07-02
    soldstatus $36,000
  21. 2006-06-29
    soldstatus $68,000
  22. 2002-09-10
    soldstatus $54,900
  23. 1985-09-01
    soldstatus
  24. 1984-05-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$887 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$887 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,554
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$887
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,804
− Management
−$1,804
− HOA
−$4,200
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$5,758
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,382
After-tax cash flow
$5,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pattonville R-III
NCES district ID
2923700
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,786
Composite
33.69/100
National rank
#5383
State rank
#147 of 324 in MO

Livability — Bridgeton

Score
56/100
State rank
#691
US rank
#22610

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeton, MO
City population
10,510
Population (ZIP)
10,510

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Swedish 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -254.60%
Current HPI
207.5311
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-06 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-03 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-18 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-21 Price Changed $30,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-26 Listed $33,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 2002-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
  • 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1984-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2022): $887 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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