3129 Roger Williams Dr Unit A · Bridgeton, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level
Key facts
- Tranquil green space
- Quality updates
- Private laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 951 (from public records)
- HOA & community: Bridgecrest Estates No 2 HOA; Monthly HOA fee ($350) covering grounds maintenance, parking/road maintenance, common area maintenance, exterior maintenance, management, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water; Outside management; Community includes common ground and a lake; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Additional unassigned parking spaces in parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (Single phase, Ameren)
- Home design: Attached condominium; One level; Apartment-building style; Private ownership; Accessible entrance
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Adjoins common ground; Common ground and lake access via association; Concrete road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range; Refrigerator; Laminate counters; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; Patio
- Laundry & utility: Stacked washer and dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 5.3% in Bridgeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#691 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pattonville R-III (suburban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #147 of 324 in MO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bridgeway Elem. (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #805 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 456 students, 42% FRL); Pattonville Sr. High (math 33% / reading 64%, grade D, #147 of 521 statewide, top 29%, 1,893 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $90k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.31%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,535
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -5.90%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $20,807
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $64,280
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63044
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,879 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $887/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $552
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $603 | -5% $577 | +0% $552 | +5% $527 | +10% $501 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $478 | +0% $552 | +5% $626 | +10% $700 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $597 | -0.5pp $575 | base $552 | +0.5pp $529 | +1.0pp $505 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11091 Saxonhall Dr Bridgeton, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,706 | $1.65 | 18d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3253 Greenbridge Dr Bridgeton, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1066 | $2,561 | $2.40 | 11d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 11120 Graben Dr St Ann, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 2d | 14 | 0.76mi |
| 11042 Florence Ave Saint Ann, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 7 Edgeworth Ave Maryland Heights, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 988 | $1,995 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 11918 Brookmont Dr Maryland Heights, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,800 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-15$89,900 Active 975-char remark
-
2017-02-06soldstatus Closed 1027-char remark
Show marketing remark (1027 chars)
Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level
-
2017-02-03status Pending 1027-char remark
Show marketing remark (1027 chars)
Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level
-
2017-01-18historical Option 1027-char remark
Show marketing remark (1027 chars)
Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level
-
2016-11-21price $30,000 1027-char remark
Show marketing remark (1027 chars)
Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level
-
2016-10-26$33,000 Active 1027-char remark
Show marketing remark (1027 chars)
Great new price for ground level condo w/private laundry in unit offers convenient location, reasonable fees, manicured grounds, lots of green space, handsome brick bldg, many quality updates incl thermal windows, HWH 2014, A/C 2010. Renovated kitchen boasting ample white cabinets, granite-look counters, laminate wood flr, large stainless sink, pantry, updated appliances incl smooth-top stove, built-in micro, dishwshr, disposal. Nice & clean, warm classic decor, built-in bookshelves, plush neutral carpet, streams of natural light, move-in ready condition! Extra long vanity w/sitting area in bath, good closet space, superb Complex w/park-like setting, lovely walking areas/private lake. All elec unit/low utility costs. Sr. community, 1 owner must be 52 yrs minimum. Fantastic Bridgeton City amenities, events, programs, day trips plus reimbursement for City utility tax, senior transportation van program. Level entrance to unit/no stairs from living rm entrance. Appliances incl. No Rentals. Location: Ground Level
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2013-07-02soldstatus $36,000
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2006-06-29soldstatus $68,000
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2002-09-10soldstatus $54,900
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1985-09-01soldstatus
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1984-05-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,554
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$887
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,804
- − Management
- −$1,804
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $5,758
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,382
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pattonville R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2923700
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,786
- Composite
- 33.69/100
- National rank
- #5383
- State rank
- #147 of 324 in MO
Livability — Bridgeton
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #691
- US rank
- #22610
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bridgeton, MO
- City population
- 10,510
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,510
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -254.60%
- Current HPI
- 207.5311
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+63.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-06 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-03 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-18 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-21 Price Changed $30,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-26 Listed $33,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
- 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1984-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2022): $887 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…