9609 Stout St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a great starter home with 3 BR's and appliances included (stove, refrigerator, washer & dryer) - great curb appeal and much more!! C/A too!
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 65 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.84%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $54,188
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9634 Evergreen Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+4%) | 3mo | $23,000 | $25 | 80 |
| 9534 Heyden St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $104 | 76 |
| 9072 Burt Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 906 (+4%) | 2mo | $57,000 | $63 | 69 |
| 9012 Pierson St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 910 (+4%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $66 | 69 |
| 9252 Fielding St | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 807 (-8%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $62 | 67 |
| 9244 Heyden | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 801 (-8%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $44 | 67 |
| 12219 Stout St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 846 (-3%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $30 | 60 |
| 11419 Braile St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 969 (+11%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $46 | 58 |
| 9221 Grandville Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 971 (+11%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $139 | 52 |
| 8854 Stout St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 989 (+13%) | 2mo | $66,250 | $67 | 51 |
| 11700 Auburn St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 964 (+10%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $57 | 50 |
| 9317 Artesian St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 994 (+14%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $25 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-4,719
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,357
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 367
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,101 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,372/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $272 | -5% $245 | +0% $218 | +5% $191 | +10% $164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $131 | -5% $175 | +0% $218 | +5% $262 | +10% $305 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $266 | -0.5pp $242 | base $218 | +0.5pp $193 | +1.0pp $168 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20522 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 20550 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 20529 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 9401 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 20541 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 20545 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 20547 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 9410 Patton St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 9404 Patton St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 20619 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 20921 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 20935 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 20937 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 20945 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 9416 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 11652 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,386 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 9059 Burt Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,400 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 12084 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,294 | $1.22 | 6d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8270 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,528 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 0d | 15 | 0.96mi |
| 11704 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 18d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 19d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7411 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,428 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 12880 Dolson St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 45d | 6 | 1.38mi |
| 19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,200 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 12850 Dolphin St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $999 | $1.34 | 6d | 4 | 1.46mi |
| 13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-01-22status Pending 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
This is a great starter home with 3 BR's and appliances included (stove, refrigerator, washer & dryer) - great curb appeal and much more!! C/A too!
-
2026-01-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
This is a great starter home with 3 BR's and appliances included (stove, refrigerator, washer & dryer) - great curb appeal and much more!! C/A too!
-
2025-11-13$95,000 Active 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
This is a great starter home with 3 BR's and appliances included (stove, refrigerator, washer & dryer) - great curb appeal and much more!! C/A too!
-
2025-11-13$95,000 Active
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
This is a great starter home with 3 BR's and appliances included (stove, refrigerator, washer & dryer) - great curb appeal and much more!! C/A too!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,372 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,417 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$46/yr (+$4/mo · 3.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,218
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,372
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,057
- − Management
- −$1,057
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,171
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$281
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,336/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-11-13 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-13 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,372 · -23.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…