401 Chateau La Salle #401 · San Jose, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-kept 2 bed, 2 bath home with a bonus 3rd Room that can be used as a Sun Room, or making it likes a 3 bed, 2 bath. Features laminate flooring, spacious living areas, bright bedrooms, and a primary suite with a private bath. New AC, all appliances, washer/dryer, and shed included. Community amenities and nearby shopping and dining.
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Clubhouse
- Private bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $389k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $385k (1.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $342k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- East Side Union High (urban): math 53% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #69 of 517 in CA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Shirakawa (George Sr.) Elementary (633 students, 49% FRL); Bridges Academy (287 students, 72% FRL); Evergreen Valley High (math 76% / reading 83%, grade A-, #45 of 1,170 statewide, top 4%, 2,767 students, 13% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 62% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Side Union High average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,853/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 1808% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($342k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $292k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.92%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $444,147
- List price
- $389,000
- Delta
- -12.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 Chateau La Salle #401 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $370,000 | $257 | 99 |
| 472 Chateau La Salle Dr #472 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $445,000 | $309 | 91 |
| 434 Chateau La Salle #434 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,449 (+1%) | 1mo | $538,000 | $371 | 90 |
| 393 Chateau La Salle Dr #393 | 0.03mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+3%) | 2mo | $492,000 | $331 | 83 |
| 403 Chateau La Salle #403 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (+7%) | 1mo | $400,000 | $260 | 80 |
| 337 Mill Pond Dr #337 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $153 | 74 |
| 485 Millpond Dr #485 | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $339,000 | $235 | 64 |
| 2784 Monterey Rd #1 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $208 | 62 |
| 499 Millpond Dr #499 | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (0%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $264 | 60 |
| 375 S Millpond Dr #375 | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+5%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $185 | 57 |
| 242 Mountain Springs Dr #242 | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+3%) | 3mo | $444,950 | $299 | 54 |
| 486 Millpond Dr #486 | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,559 (+8%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $225 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-47,932
- Equity at exit
- $58,001
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-42,308
- Equity at exit
- $33,634
Cash invested: $108,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Jose
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+24
ZIP-level market 95111
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,853 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,040
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$486 /mo · $5,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$809
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $624 | -5% $490 | +0% $356 | +5% $221 | +10% $87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $51 | -5% $203 | +0% $356 | +5% $508 | +10% $660 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $551 | -0.5pp $455 | base $356 | +0.5pp $255 | +1.0pp $152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,250
- Closing costs
- $11,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Esfahan Dr San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1794 | $4,395 | $2.45 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2070 Mary Helen Ln San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1781 | $4,495 | $2.52 | 0d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2986 Lina St #7 San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1813 | $5,500 | $3.03 | 17d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2988 Grassina St #309 San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $3,600 | $3.44 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 200 Lewis Rd San Jose, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $2,551 | $2.94 | 0d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3157 Regency Ave #612 San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1282 | $4,195 | $3.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3158 Regency Ave San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1257 | $3,695 | $2.94 | 0d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 262 Azevedo Cir #1603 San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1620 | $3,720 | $2.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 334 Olive Hill Dr San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1368 | $4,150 | $3.03 | 0d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3129 Kenland Dr San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $3,450 | $3.15 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 287 Kenbrook Cir San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $2,795 | $2.76 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 318 Araglin Ct San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $3,300 | $2.83 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3601 Copperfield Dr San Jose, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1088 | $3,750 | $3.45 | 0d | 24 | 1.07mi |
| 1277 Babb Ct San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $3,550 | $3.16 | 0d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 2212 Almaden Rd Unit B San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,195 | $2.66 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3200 Rubino Dr San Jose, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $3,725 | $4.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 167 Rancho Manor Ct San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 950 | $3,150 | $3.32 | 0d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 590 Almaden Walk Loop San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $3,995 | $2.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3024 Goodacre Pl San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1431 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4000 Ellmar Oaks Dr San Jose, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $3,816 | $4.36 | 0d | 31 | 1.40mi |
| 818 Foxworthy Ave San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1589 | $4,700 | $2.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 818 Foxworthy Ave San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1589 | $4,700 | $2.96 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 553 Balance Dr San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $3,600 | $3.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3115 Tuscolana Way #1595 San Jose, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $4,430 | $2.80 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $389,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $389,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $389,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $389,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $389,000 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Well-kept 2 bed, 2 bath home with a bonus 3rd Room that can be used as a Sun Room, or making it likes a 3 bed, 2 bath. Features laminate flooring, spacious living areas, bright bedrooms, and a primary suite with a private bath. New AC, all appliances, washer/dryer, and shed included. Community amenities and nearby shopping and dining.
-
2026-04-01price $389,000 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Well-kept 2 bed, 2 bath home with a bonus 3rd Room that can be used as a Sun Room, or making it likes a 3 bed, 2 bath. Features laminate flooring, spacious living areas, bright bedrooms, and a primary suite with a private bath. New AC, all appliances, washer/dryer, and shed included. Community amenities and nearby shopping and dining.
-
2026-02-02$399,999 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Well-kept 2 bed, 2 bath home with a bonus 3rd Room that can be used as a Sun Room, or making it likes a 3 bed, 2 bath. Features laminate flooring, spacious living areas, bright bedrooms, and a primary suite with a private bath. New AC, all appliances, washer/dryer, and shed included. Community amenities and nearby shopping and dining.
-
2026-02-02$399,999 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Well-kept 2 bed, 2 bath home with a bonus 3rd Room that can be used as a Sun Room, or making it likes a 3 bed, 2 bath. Features laminate flooring, spacious living areas, bright bedrooms, and a primary suite with a private bath. New AC, all appliances, washer/dryer, and shed included. Community amenities and nearby shopping and dining.
-
2025-06-22historical
-
2025-05-01Active
-
2021-09-03soldstatus $292,000 Sold
-
2021-08-27historical Contingent
-
2021-07-30status Pending (Do Not Show)
-
2021-05-18historical Contingent
-
2021-05-08$299,000 Active
-
2019-03-18soldstatus $265,000 Sold
-
2019-01-15status Pending (Do Not Show)
-
2018-12-24price $269,900
-
2018-10-29$289,900 Active
-
2005-07-19historical
-
2005-06-15soldstatus $78,000
-
2005-04-04$89,500
-
2002-03-21soldstatus $120,000
-
2002-03-19historical
-
2002-03-18$120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,236
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,790
- − Property taxes
- −$5,835
- − Insurance
- −$1,945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,699
- − Management
- −$3,699
- − Depreciation
- −$11,316
- Taxable loss
- −$2,048
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$492
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,759/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Side Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0611820
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▲ 12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,293
- Composite
- 55.15/100
- National rank
- #1278
- State rank
- #69 of 517 in CA
Livability — San Jose
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #2559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Jose, CA
- County
- Santa Clara County · 1,806,974 people
- City population
- 954,479
- Metro
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,202
- Household income
- $101,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1808.0
Population outlook (Santa Clara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,179,074 people
- By 2030
- 2,301,297 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 2,528,195 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 2,712,135 · +24.5%
- By 2075
- 2,998,701 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 2,931,429 · +34.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% Asian 36% Two or more races 22% White 7% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 46%
- Foreign-born
- 45% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 40% Vietnamese 24% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Clara
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+40.0) · D 68.1% · R 28.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: 40.9pp · 2024: 40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+40.0 2020: D+47.4 2016: D+52.5 2012: D+42.1 2008: D+40.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1144.74%
- Current HPI
- 339.7949
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+224.2% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $389,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $389,000 MLSListings
- 2026-02-02 Listed $399,999 MLSListings
- 2026-02-02 Listed $399,999 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-06-22 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-05-01 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2021-09-03 Sold (MLS) $292,000 MLSListings
- 2021-08-27 Contingent — MLSListings
- 2021-07-30 Pending — MLSListings
- 2021-05-18 Contingent — MLSListings
- 2021-05-08 Listed $299,000 MLSListings
- 2019-03-18 Sold (MLS) $265,000 MLSListings
- 2019-01-15 Pending — MLSListings
- 2018-12-24 Price Changed $269,900 MLSListings
- 2018-10-29 Listed $289,900 MLSListings
- 2005-07-19 Listing Removed — MLSListings
- 2005-06-15 Sold (MLS) $78,000 MLSListings
- 2005-04-04 Listed $89,500 MLSListings
- 2002-03-21 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MLSListings
- 2002-03-19 Listing Removed — MLSListings
- 2002-03-18 Listed $120,000 MLSListings
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…