16249 W Tapatio Dr · Surprise, AZ 85374

$349,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,278 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market

Built 1998 6,600 sqft lot $273/sqft · 14% below area Est $406k · 14% under $160/mo HOA · 6% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +13.8/15.0
• Cash flow +9.2/30.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• DSCR +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Extensively updated & truly move-in ready, this desirable Kiva floor plan offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 walk-in closets, & a bay window in the spacious primary suite. The interior showcases stainless kitchen appliances, granite countertops, French door refrigerator, 2024 dishwasher and 2025 range. Additional enhancements include a touch-control kitchen faucet, new fan & lighting, silhouette shade, new carpet in the primary bedroom, updated LED lighting, new mirrors & lighting in both baths & hot water recirculation pump for added efficiency. The extended garage features a new wi-fi enabled door opener, LED lighting & a built-in workbench. Major improvements include a 2019 AC, 2019 Furnace & 2023 roof underlayment. The backyard offers a private setting, creating an ideal space for relaxing.

Key facts

• Kiva floor plan
• Granite countertops
• 6,600 sq ft lot

Tags

• KIVA FLOOR PLAN
• STAINLESS KITCHEN APPLIANCES
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• TOUCH-CONTROL KITCHEN FAUCET
• NEW FANS AND LIGHTING
• NEW CARPET IN PRIMARY BEDROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $349k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-264 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (13.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (26.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $255k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in Surprise — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in AZ, #4,616 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities D-, commute F.
• Dysart Unified District (4243) (suburban): math 34% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #73 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 404 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($328k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $255,328 (26.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.73% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.39%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.24%
• DSCR: 0.86
• GRM: 11.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $405,991
• List price: $349,000
• Delta: -14.04%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
16049 W Quail Creek Ln	0.30mi	2/2.0	1,255 (-2%)	0mo	$344,000	$274	83
15996 W Mesquite Ct	0.57mi	2/2.0	1,278 (0%)	1mo	$399,900	$313	72
16412 W Peppertree Ct	0.53mi	2/2.0	1,310 (+2%)	3mo	$350,000	$267	69
20026 N Siesta Rock Dr	0.60mi	2/2.0	1,300 (+2%)	2mo	$331,000	$255	68
16023 W Wildflower Dr	0.39mi	2/2.0	1,414 (+11%)	1mo	$340,000	$240	63
16004 W Verbena Ln	0.67mi	2/2.0	1,183 (-7%)	0mo	$360,000	$304	56
16462 W Chuparosa Ln	0.66mi	2/2.0	1,178 (-8%)	2mo	$345,000	$293	54
16100 W Eagle Ridge Dr	0.75mi	2/2.0	1,183 (-7%)	3mo	$335,000	$283	50
16917 W Cortaro Point Dr	0.73mi	2/2.0	1,435 (+12%)	1mo	$411,887	$287	44
21067 N Sequoia Crest Dr	0.73mi	2/2.0	1,435 (+12%)	2mo	$370,000	$258	44
16838 W Cortaro Point Dr	0.66mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,427 (+12%)	2mo	$370,000	$259	43
16115 W Acacia Ct	0.60mi	1/2.0 (-1)	1,099 (-14%)	2mo	$284,000	$258	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -24.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.18×
• Total profit: $-80,547
• Equity at exit: $52,037

10-year hold

• IRR: -31.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.22×
• Total profit: $-119,636
• Equity at exit: $30,175

Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85374

• Home prices YoY: -18.3%
• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 404
• Price-to-rent: 11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,553 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,830
• Tax from tax record: −$145 /mo · $1,745/yr
• Insurance: −$145
• HOA: −$160
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$536
• Net cashflow: $-264

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,887

Max offer price $302,378

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-66	-5% $-165	+0% $-264	+5% $-363	+10% $-461
Rent	-10% $-466	-5% $-365	+0% $-264	+5% $-163	+10% $-62
Rate	-1.0pp $-88	-0.5pp $-175	base $-264	+0.5pp $-354	+1.0pp $-446

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $87,250
• Closing costs: $10,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 22 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
16149 W Quail Creek Ln Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1255	$2,000	$1.59	44d	1	0.30mi
15913 W Clearwater Way Surprise, AZ	2.0	1.5	1546	$3,000	$1.94	44d	1	0.40mi
16171 W Wildflower Dr Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1278	$3,200	$2.50	19d	1	0.43mi
16215 W Desert Winds Dr Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1183	$2,800	$2.37	44d	1	0.59mi
16115 W Acacia Ct Surprise, AZ	1.0	1.5	1099	$1,700	$1.55	44d	1	0.62mi
20054 N Painted Sky Dr Surprise, AZ	2.0	1.5	1598	$3,200	$2.00	25d	1	0.62mi
16426 W Boulder Vista Dr Unit 1546454P Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1625	$4,436	$2.73	16d	1	0.66mi
15628 W Hidden Creek Ln Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1627	$3,600	$2.21	44d	1	0.76mi
15619 W Vista Grande Ln Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1370	$3,500	$2.55	44d	1	0.77mi
15707 W Cimarron Dr Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1183	$1,745	$1.48	22d	1	0.92mi
21531 N Black Bear Lodge Dr Surprise, AZ	3.0	2.0	1852	$1,595	$0.86	18d	1	1.02mi
19352 N Vista Montana Ct Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1262	$1,895	$1.50	13d	1	1.03mi
15448 W Moonlight Way Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1262	$4,200	$3.33	44d	1	1.03mi
18277 N Estrella Vista Dr Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1870	$3,500	$1.87	44d	1	1.09mi
16270 W Cactus Valley Ln Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1338	$1,875	$1.40	44d	1	1.11mi
16344 W Crater Ln Surprise, AZ	2.0	1.5	1495	$3,200	$2.14	44d	1	1.35mi
15866 W Cisa Rio Ln Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1414	$3,200	$2.26	44d	1	1.39mi
18651 N Salerno Ct Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1178	$1,650	$1.40	44d	1	1.41mi
15883 W Cisa Rio Ln Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1414	$2,200	$1.56	44d	1	1.42mi
17783 N El Dorado Way Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1647	$2,100	$1.28	44d	1	1.44mi
17200 W Bell Rd #1185 Surprise, AZ	2.0	2.0	1026	$1,400	$1.36	44d	1	1.49mi
15104 W Cactus Ridge Way Surprise, AZ	3.0	2.0	1512	$3,850	$2.55	44d	1	1.50mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $160 · $1,920/yr
• Likely covers: waterinternet

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-05-18
   status Pending 828-char remark

   Show marketing remark (828 chars)

   Extensively updated & truly move-in ready, this desirable Kiva floor plan offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 walk-in closets, & a bay window in the spacious primary suite. The interior showcases stainless kitchen appliances, granite countertops, French door refrigerator, 2024 dishwasher and 2025 range. Additional enhancements include a touch-control kitchen faucet, new fan & lighting, silhouette shade, new carpet in the primary bedroom, updated LED lighting, new mirrors & lighting in both baths & hot water recirculation pump for added efficiency. The extended garage features a new wi-fi enabled door opener, LED lighting & a built-in workbench. Major improvements include a 2019 AC, 2019 Furnace & 2023 roof underlayment. The backyard offers a private setting, creating an ideal space for relaxing.

2. 2026-05-09
   price $349,000 828-char remark

   Show marketing remark (828 chars)

   Extensively updated & truly move-in ready, this desirable Kiva floor plan offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 walk-in closets, & a bay window in the spacious primary suite. The interior showcases stainless kitchen appliances, granite countertops, French door refrigerator, 2024 dishwasher and 2025 range. Additional enhancements include a touch-control kitchen faucet, new fan & lighting, silhouette shade, new carpet in the primary bedroom, updated LED lighting, new mirrors & lighting in both baths & hot water recirculation pump for added efficiency. The extended garage features a new wi-fi enabled door opener, LED lighting & a built-in workbench. Major improvements include a 2019 AC, 2019 Furnace & 2023 roof underlayment. The backyard offers a private setting, creating an ideal space for relaxing.

3. 2026-02-18
   listed $375,000 Active 828-char remark

   Show marketing remark (828 chars)

   Extensively updated & truly move-in ready, this desirable Kiva floor plan offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 walk-in closets, & a bay window in the spacious primary suite. The interior showcases stainless kitchen appliances, granite countertops, French door refrigerator, 2024 dishwasher and 2025 range. Additional enhancements include a touch-control kitchen faucet, new fan & lighting, silhouette shade, new carpet in the primary bedroom, updated LED lighting, new mirrors & lighting in both baths & hot water recirculation pump for added efficiency. The extended garage features a new wi-fi enabled door opener, LED lighting & a built-in workbench. Major improvements include a 2019 AC, 2019 Furnace & 2023 roof underlayment. The backyard offers a private setting, creating an ideal space for relaxing.

4. 2023-10-11
   soldstatus $360,000 Closed 670-char remark

   Show marketing remark (670 chars)

   Cute KIVA home has 2 bedroom and 1.75 baths! Nice curb appeal! Open floor plan! Here are just a few upgrades: NEW ROOF with warranty (2023), Termite Warranty, Interior Painted (2023), Kitchen and Bath updated (2012), Exterior Painted (2017), Appliances (GE Stainless Steel Fridge) including Electric Oven/Stove Top (2012), Granite Counter Top with Back Splash, Full-House Water System, Bay Window in the primary bedroom, Tile and Laminate Wood Look Flooring, Toto Comfort Toilets, HVAC (2019) 16 seer, Air Cleaner attached to the furnace, Hot Water Heater (2023), PVC Irrigation! Extended Garage with Golf Cart area. You will want to see this one! Don't miss out!

5. 2023-10-11
   soldstatus $360,000

   Show marketing remark (670 chars)

   Cute KIVA home has 2 bedroom and 1.75 baths! Nice curb appeal! Open floor plan! Here are just a few upgrades: NEW ROOF with warranty (2023), Termite Warranty, Interior Painted (2023), Kitchen and Bath updated (2012), Exterior Painted (2017), Appliances (GE Stainless Steel Fridge) including Electric Oven/Stove Top (2012), Granite Counter Top with Back Splash, Full-House Water System, Bay Window in the primary bedroom, Tile and Laminate Wood Look Flooring, Toto Comfort Toilets, HVAC (2019) 16 seer, Air Cleaner attached to the furnace, Hot Water Heater (2023), PVC Irrigation! Extended Garage with Golf Cart area. You will want to see this one! Don't miss out!

6. 2023-09-07
   status Pending 670-char remark

   Show marketing remark (670 chars)

   Cute KIVA home has 2 bedroom and 1.75 baths! Nice curb appeal! Open floor plan! Here are just a few upgrades: NEW ROOF with warranty (2023), Termite Warranty, Interior Painted (2023), Kitchen and Bath updated (2012), Exterior Painted (2017), Appliances (GE Stainless Steel Fridge) including Electric Oven/Stove Top (2012), Granite Counter Top with Back Splash, Full-House Water System, Bay Window in the primary bedroom, Tile and Laminate Wood Look Flooring, Toto Comfort Toilets, HVAC (2019) 16 seer, Air Cleaner attached to the furnace, Hot Water Heater (2023), PVC Irrigation! Extended Garage with Golf Cart area. You will want to see this one! Don't miss out!

7. 2023-08-10
   historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 670-char remark

   Show marketing remark (670 chars)

   Cute KIVA home has 2 bedroom and 1.75 baths! Nice curb appeal! Open floor plan! Here are just a few upgrades: NEW ROOF with warranty (2023), Termite Warranty, Interior Painted (2023), Kitchen and Bath updated (2012), Exterior Painted (2017), Appliances (GE Stainless Steel Fridge) including Electric Oven/Stove Top (2012), Granite Counter Top with Back Splash, Full-House Water System, Bay Window in the primary bedroom, Tile and Laminate Wood Look Flooring, Toto Comfort Toilets, HVAC (2019) 16 seer, Air Cleaner attached to the furnace, Hot Water Heater (2023), PVC Irrigation! Extended Garage with Golf Cart area. You will want to see this one! Don't miss out!

8. 2023-07-27
   status Active 670-char remark

   Show marketing remark (670 chars)

   Cute KIVA home has 2 bedroom and 1.75 baths! Nice curb appeal! Open floor plan! Here are just a few upgrades: NEW ROOF with warranty (2023), Termite Warranty, Interior Painted (2023), Kitchen and Bath updated (2012), Exterior Painted (2017), Appliances (GE Stainless Steel Fridge) including Electric Oven/Stove Top (2012), Granite Counter Top with Back Splash, Full-House Water System, Bay Window in the primary bedroom, Tile and Laminate Wood Look Flooring, Toto Comfort Toilets, HVAC (2019) 16 seer, Air Cleaner attached to the furnace, Hot Water Heater (2023), PVC Irrigation! Extended Garage with Golf Cart area. You will want to see this one! Don't miss out!

9. 2023-07-18
   status Pending 670-char remark

   Show marketing remark (670 chars)

   Cute KIVA home has 2 bedroom and 1.75 baths! Nice curb appeal! Open floor plan! Here are just a few upgrades: NEW ROOF with warranty (2023), Termite Warranty, Interior Painted (2023), Kitchen and Bath updated (2012), Exterior Painted (2017), Appliances (GE Stainless Steel Fridge) including Electric Oven/Stove Top (2012), Granite Counter Top with Back Splash, Full-House Water System, Bay Window in the primary bedroom, Tile and Laminate Wood Look Flooring, Toto Comfort Toilets, HVAC (2019) 16 seer, Air Cleaner attached to the furnace, Hot Water Heater (2023), PVC Irrigation! Extended Garage with Golf Cart area. You will want to see this one! Don't miss out!

10. 2023-07-05
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 670-char remark

    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Cute KIVA home has 2 bedroom and 1.75 baths! Nice curb appeal! Open floor plan! Here are just a few upgrades: NEW ROOF with warranty (2023), Termite Warranty, Interior Painted (2023), Kitchen and Bath updated (2012), Exterior Painted (2017), Appliances (GE Stainless Steel Fridge) including Electric Oven/Stove Top (2012), Granite Counter Top with Back Splash, Full-House Water System, Bay Window in the primary bedroom, Tile and Laminate Wood Look Flooring, Toto Comfort Toilets, HVAC (2019) 16 seer, Air Cleaner attached to the furnace, Hot Water Heater (2023), PVC Irrigation! Extended Garage with Golf Cart area. You will want to see this one! Don't miss out!

11. 2023-06-28
    listed $368,000 Active 670-char remark

    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Cute KIVA home has 2 bedroom and 1.75 baths! Nice curb appeal! Open floor plan! Here are just a few upgrades: NEW ROOF with warranty (2023), Termite Warranty, Interior Painted (2023), Kitchen and Bath updated (2012), Exterior Painted (2017), Appliances (GE Stainless Steel Fridge) including Electric Oven/Stove Top (2012), Granite Counter Top with Back Splash, Full-House Water System, Bay Window in the primary bedroom, Tile and Laminate Wood Look Flooring, Toto Comfort Toilets, HVAC (2019) 16 seer, Air Cleaner attached to the furnace, Hot Water Heater (2023), PVC Irrigation! Extended Garage with Golf Cart area. You will want to see this one! Don't miss out!

12. 1998-07-01
    soldstatus $106,531

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,745 · $145/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,303 · $192/mo
• Expected delta: +$559/yr (+$47/mo · 32.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,639
• − Mortgage interest: −$19,549
• − Property taxes: −$1,745
• − Insurance: −$1,745
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,451
• − Management: −$2,451
• − HOA: −$1,920
• − Depreciation: −$10,153
• Taxable loss: −$9,375
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,250
• After-tax cash flow: $-917/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dysart Unified District (4243)
• NCES district ID: 0402690
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $58,033
• Composite: 32.76/100
• National rank: #5634
• State rank: #73 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Surprise

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #19
• US rank: #4616

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Surprise, AZ
• County: Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
• City population: 160,031
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 41,420
• Household income: $81,201
• Rent vs Own: 23.1% rent · 76.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 1120.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 4,979,203 people
• By 2030: 5,378,229 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 6,156,598 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 6,872,376 · +38.0%
• By 2075: 8,401,270 · +68.7%
• By 2100: 9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -56.93%
• Current HPI: 254.7782
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.14%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+227.6% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Pending — ARMLS
• 2026-05-09 Price Changed $349,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-18 Listed $375,000 ARMLS
• 2023-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
• 2023-10-11 Sold (MLS) $360,000 ARMLS
• 2023-09-07 Pending — ARMLS
• 2023-08-10 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2023-07-27 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2023-07-18 Pending — ARMLS
• 2023-07-05 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2023-06-28 Listed $368,000 ARMLS
• 1998-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $106,531 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,745 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.