11736 Winthrop St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check it out ! Beautiful 3 bedroom 1 bath bungalow on Detroit's west side. Update recently. Move in ready great for first time home buyer or investor seeking a great ROI. Huge Corner Lot
Key facts
- Huge corner lot
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,390/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $68k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.62%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,472
- List price
- $67,900
- Delta
- 49.32%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12057 Forrer St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-5%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $45 | 83 |
| 9930 Whitcomb St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (+2%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $32 | 73 |
| 9599 Whitcomb St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,060 (+1%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $52 | 72 |
| 12699 Woodmont Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,054 (0%) | 1mo | $64,000 | $61 | 66 |
| 11375 Grandmont Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,083 (+3%) | 0mo | $104,000 | $96 | 66 |
| 9606 Sussex St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,060 (+1%) | 4mo | $76,000 | $72 | 65 |
| 9909 Asbury Park | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,095 (+4%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $87 | 63 |
| 9555 Montrose St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (-5%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $45 | 62 |
| 12660 Grandmont Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,019 (-3%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $83 | 60 |
| 11669 Strathmoor St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 974 (-8%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $31 | 58 |
| 12124 Asbury Park | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 919 (-13%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $141 | 54 |
| 13215 Prest St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+10%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $86 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $32,716
- Equity at exit
- $10,124
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.06×
- Total profit
- $96,139
- Equity at exit
- $5,871
Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,390 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$356
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,032/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $628
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,975
- Closing costs
- $2,037
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,373 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 11393 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 16d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,326 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 12014 Terry St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1361 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10015 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 10030 Abington Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,475 | $1.09 | 10d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,373 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 12840 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,430 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 9220 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1327 | $1,350 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 13717 Keal St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 13600 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,100 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11704 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 12944 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 12941 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 14375 Terry St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,425 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 12875 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $67,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $67,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $67,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $67,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $67,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $67,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $67,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $67,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $67,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $67,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $67,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $67,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-04-12price $67,900 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Check it out ! Beautiful 3 bedroom 1 bath bungalow on Detroit's west side. Update recently. Move in ready great for first time home buyer or investor seeking a great ROI. Huge Corner Lot
-
2026-04-12price $67,900 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Check it out ! Beautiful 3 bedroom 1 bath bungalow on Detroit's west side. Update recently. Move in ready great for first time home buyer or investor seeking a great ROI. Huge Corner Lot
-
2026-01-14price $72,000 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Check it out ! Beautiful 3 bedroom 1 bath bungalow on Detroit's west side. Update recently. Move in ready great for first time home buyer or investor seeking a great ROI. Huge Corner Lot
-
2026-01-13price $72,000 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Check it out ! Beautiful 3 bedroom 1 bath bungalow on Detroit's west side. Update recently. Move in ready great for first time home buyer or investor seeking a great ROI. Huge Corner Lot
-
2025-12-08price $75,999 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Check it out ! Beautiful 3 bedroom 1 bath bungalow on Detroit's west side. Update recently. Move in ready great for first time home buyer or investor seeking a great ROI. Huge Corner Lot
-
2025-12-08price $75,999 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Check it out ! Beautiful 3 bedroom 1 bath bungalow on Detroit's west side. Update recently. Move in ready great for first time home buyer or investor seeking a great ROI. Huge Corner Lot
-
2025-11-19$79,999 Active 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Check it out ! Beautiful 3 bedroom 1 bath bungalow on Detroit's west side. Update recently. Move in ready great for first time home buyer or investor seeking a great ROI. Huge Corner Lot
-
2025-11-19$79,999 Active 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Check it out ! Beautiful 3 bedroom 1 bath bungalow on Detroit's west side. Update recently. Move in ready great for first time home buyer or investor seeking a great ROI. Huge Corner Lot
-
2000-01-10soldstatus $44,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,032 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,039 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$7/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,032
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,334
- − Management
- −$1,334
- − Depreciation
- −$1,975
- Taxable income
- $6,861
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,647
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+52.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $67,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $67,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $72,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $75,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $75,999 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-19 Listed $79,999 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-19 Listed $79,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,032 · -11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…