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778 Route 100 B
B+ Composite 77.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$175,000

778 Route 100 B · Moretown, VT 05660
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 86 Days on market
Built 1900 1.07 ac lot $168/sqft · 22% below area Est $226k · 22% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom home in the heart of Moretown Village. The spacious primary bedroom features rustic exposed beams and direct access to the outdoors—an appealing starting point for future improvements. This property is best suited for buyers prepared to take on a renovation project. With its classic layout and village setting, it offers a solid framework for a full rehab or investment. Located in the Mad River Valley, with convenient access to Montpelier, Waitsfield, and Waterbury, this location offers year-round recreation and a balance of village living with access to nearby hubs. A strong opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity in a desirable setting.

Key facts

  • Rustic exposed beams
  • Classic layout
  • Mad river valley

Tags

RUSTIC EXPOSED BEAMSCLASSIC LAYOUTMAD RIVER VALLEYYEAR-ROUND RECREATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 185 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.75%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,696
List price
$175,000
Delta
-22.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.4%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$120,719
Equity at exit
$157,654
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
7.85×
Total profit
$335,650
Equity at exit
$339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05660

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,070 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$247 /mo · $2,961/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$435
Net cashflow
$398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,566
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $497 -5% $448 +0% $398 +5% $349 +10% $299
Rent -10% $235 -5% $316 +0% $398 +5% $480 +10% $562
Rate -1.0pp $486 -0.5pp $443 base $398 +0.5pp $353 +1.0pp $307

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-03-13
    status Active 712-char remark
    Show marketing remark (712 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom home in the heart of Moretown Village. The spacious primary bedroom features rustic exposed beams and direct access to the outdoors—an appealing starting point for future improvements. This property is best suited for buyers prepared to take on a renovation project. With its classic layout and village setting, it offers a solid framework for a full rehab or investment. Located in the Mad River Valley, with convenient access to Montpelier, Waitsfield, and Waterbury, this location offers year-round recreation and a balance of village living with access to nearby hubs. A strong opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity in a desirable setting.

  4. 2026-03-03
    historical 712-char remark
    Show marketing remark (712 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom home in the heart of Moretown Village. The spacious primary bedroom features rustic exposed beams and direct access to the outdoors—an appealing starting point for future improvements. This property is best suited for buyers prepared to take on a renovation project. With its classic layout and village setting, it offers a solid framework for a full rehab or investment. Located in the Mad River Valley, with convenient access to Montpelier, Waitsfield, and Waterbury, this location offers year-round recreation and a balance of village living with access to nearby hubs. A strong opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity in a desirable setting.

  5. 2026-02-27
    status Active 712-char remark
    Show marketing remark (712 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom home in the heart of Moretown Village. The spacious primary bedroom features rustic exposed beams and direct access to the outdoors—an appealing starting point for future improvements. This property is best suited for buyers prepared to take on a renovation project. With its classic layout and village setting, it offers a solid framework for a full rehab or investment. Located in the Mad River Valley, with convenient access to Montpelier, Waitsfield, and Waterbury, this location offers year-round recreation and a balance of village living with access to nearby hubs. A strong opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity in a desirable setting.

  6. 2025-10-12
    status Pending 712-char remark
    Show marketing remark (712 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom home in the heart of Moretown Village. The spacious primary bedroom features rustic exposed beams and direct access to the outdoors—an appealing starting point for future improvements. This property is best suited for buyers prepared to take on a renovation project. With its classic layout and village setting, it offers a solid framework for a full rehab or investment. Located in the Mad River Valley, with convenient access to Montpelier, Waitsfield, and Waterbury, this location offers year-round recreation and a balance of village living with access to nearby hubs. A strong opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity in a desirable setting.

  7. 2025-10-09
    listed $175,000 Active 712-char remark
    Show marketing remark (712 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom home in the heart of Moretown Village. The spacious primary bedroom features rustic exposed beams and direct access to the outdoors—an appealing starting point for future improvements. This property is best suited for buyers prepared to take on a renovation project. With its classic layout and village setting, it offers a solid framework for a full rehab or investment. Located in the Mad River Valley, with convenient access to Montpelier, Waitsfield, and Waterbury, this location offers year-round recreation and a balance of village living with access to nearby hubs. A strong opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity in a desirable setting.

  8. 2016-09-23
    price $179,500
  9. 2015-12-02
    price $184,500
  10. 2015-11-07
    price $185,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,961 · $247/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,143 · $262/mo
Expected delta
+$182/yr (+$15/mo · 6.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,845
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,961
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,988
− Management
−$1,988
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$2,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$513
After-tax cash flow
$4,265/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Moretown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,900

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,608 people
By 2030
54,731 · -3.3%
By 2040
50,227 · -11.3%
By 2050
45,893 · -18.9%
By 2075
36,818 · -35.0%
By 2100
28,143 · -50.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 9% Lithuanian 9% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.4) · D 70.0% · R 26.6% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+2.4pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 43.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.4 2020: D+46.1 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+42.2 2008: D+41.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.68%
Current HPI
394.5897
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-5.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Delisted PrimeMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2025-10-12 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $175,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2016-09-23 Price Changed $179,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-12-02 Price Changed $184,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-11-07 Price Changed $185,500 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+24.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,961 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…