688 Prospect Ave · Rumford, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully occupied duplex in Rumford offering stable tenancy with below-market rents. Both units are leased, creating a reliable income stream with clear opportunity for upside as rents are brought to market. A solid addition for investors seeking long-term growth potential.
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1890
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.5% in Rumford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#39 in ME, #4,030 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D, schools F, amenities F.
- RSU 10 (rural): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #107 of 112 in ME (top 96%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 329 units permitted in Oxford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oxford County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.65%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,357
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- 5.37%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 14 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $116,597
- Equity at exit
- $135,132
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.52×
- Total profit
- $315,937
- Equity at exit
- $291,417
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04276
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,964 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,856/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $548
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-14status Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Fully occupied duplex in Rumford offering stable tenancy with below-market rents. Both units are leased, creating a reliable income stream with clear opportunity for upside as rents are brought to market. A solid addition for investors seeking long-term growth potential.
-
2026-03-06status Pending 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Fully occupied duplex in Rumford offering stable tenancy with below-market rents. Both units are leased, creating a reliable income stream with clear opportunity for upside as rents are brought to market. A solid addition for investors seeking long-term growth potential.
-
2026-02-25$150,000 Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Fully occupied duplex in Rumford offering stable tenancy with below-market rents. Both units are leased, creating a reliable income stream with clear opportunity for upside as rents are brought to market. A solid addition for investors seeking long-term growth potential.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,856 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,948 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- +$92/yr (+$8/mo · 5.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,856
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,886
- − Management
- −$1,886
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $4,426
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,512/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 10
- NCES district ID
- 2314795
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▲ 50.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▲ 34.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,647
- Composite
- 62.72/100
- National rank
- #671
- State rank
- #107 of 112 in ME
Livability — Rumford
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #4030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rumford, ME
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,918
Population outlook (Oxford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,853 people
- By 2030
- 54,190 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 49,484 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 43,958 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 32,308 · -42.2%
- By 2100
- 21,858 · -60.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 27% Slovak 5% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oxford
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.7% · R 55.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.9pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+8.8 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.73%
- Current HPI
- 301.2786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — MREIS
- 2026-03-06 Pending — MREIS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $150,000 MREIS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,856 · +12.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…