1961 Country Ln · Nottawa, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits in the Coldwater Lake area! Situated on a spacious . 69-acre lot, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers tremendous potential for the right buyer. Located just steps from public lake access and Coldwater Lake Family park, the property is ideal for those seeking an affordable weekend getaway, seasonal retreat, or year-round residence. The large lot provides ample room for campers, boats, trailers, and other recreational equipment, while the garage offers additional storage space. The home is in need of significant updating and repairs and is being sold as-is, making it a great opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to add their own personal touch. Enjoy convenient access to boating, fishing, swimming, and all the outdoor recreation the Coldwater Lake area has to offer. Bring your vision and unlock the potential of this unique property!
Key facts
- Outdoor recreation
- Public lake access
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential zoning
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Wood stove; No central air
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Electric fireplace; Wood-burning stove
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Beal City Public Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #138 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Beal City Elementary School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #606 of 1,397 statewide, top 48%, 257 students, 40% FRL); Beal City High School (math 45% / reading 52%, grade D, #180 of 713 statewide, top 25%, 397 students, 32% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Isabella County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Isabella County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.64%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $417,984
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1871 N Littlefield Rd | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (+3%) | 22mo | $175,000 | $126 | 70 |
| 1361 N Hyslop St | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (+0%) | 0mo | $420,000 | $311 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $71,657
- Equity at exit
- $58,467
- IRR
- 46.9%
- Equity multiple
- 11.04×
- Total profit
- $182,479
- Equity at exit
- $126,086
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48893
- Home prices YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,262 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $711/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $570
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $607 | -5% $588 | +0% $570 | +5% $552 | +10% $533 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $470 | -5% $520 | +0% $570 | +5% $620 | +10% $670 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $603 | -0.5pp $587 | base $570 | +0.5pp $553 | +1.0pp $536 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $64,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $64,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-12$64,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $711 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $855 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$144/yr (+$12/mo · 20.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$711
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,211
- − Management
- −$1,211
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $6,158
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,478
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,362/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beal City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2604290
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,247
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4068
- State rank
- #138 of 540 in MI
Livability — Nottawa
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,660
Population outlook (Isabella County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,111 people
- By 2030
- 77,600 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 79,890 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 81,568 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 86,602 · +15.3%
- By 2100
- 92,201 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Isabella
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.5) · D 45.5% · R 53.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: -7.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.5 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.65%
- Current HPI
- 381.2
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2021): $711 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…