🏷️ Likely Rental
2621 N Locust St · Denton, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +0.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 3 bedroom home on Locust St with circle drive in front. Lots of parking. Giant windows. Huge back yard. Quarter Acre Lot. Underground Tornado Shelter. 1 Year Old Central Heat and Air. Close to UNT and TWU. LEASED. Lease ends 1-31-27. Currently paying $1400 per month. Stock Photos. Investor purchasers ONLY. Must provide Proof of Funds prior to showing. Owner will NOT accept Creative financing nor owner financing. No Assignment or assignable offers. No Lowball offers. Being Sold ASIS.
Key facts
- Quarter acre lot
- Central heat and air
- Circle drive
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-126 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (11.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $157k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.4% in Denton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#2 in TX, #210 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Denton ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #383 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-6.9%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 433 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 12934% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 433 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.85%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $240,745
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -21.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2704 Bolivar St | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-3%) | 4mo | $229,900 | $230 | 77 |
| 2601 N Locust St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (+3%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $235 | 76 |
| 2327 Bolivar St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-1%) | 16mo | $300,000 | $294 | 66 |
| 2203 Fowler Dr | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,142 (+10%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $175 | 61 |
| 2108 Denison St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 947 (-8%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $275 | 56 |
| 2505 Denison St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 917 (-11%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $289 | 56 |
| 2625 Bolivar St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,178 (+14%) | 15mo | $295,000 | $250 | 53 |
| 321 Sunset St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,107 (+7%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $212 | 46 |
| 237 E Windsor Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 930 (-10%) | 17mo | $239,900 | $258 | 42 |
| 700 Windswept Ct | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,184 (+14%) | 2mo | $251,800 | $213 | 37 |
| 625 Windswept Ct | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,184 (+14%) | 5mo | $249,000 | $210 | 33 |
| 1324 Windstream St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,174 (+14%) | 16mo | $255,000 | $217 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-43,169
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -33.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.24×
- Total profit
- $-65,403
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76209
- Rents YoY
- -6.9%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,566 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$293 /mo · $3,513/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $-126
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2620 N Elm St Denton, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,650 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 113 Coronado Dr Denton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 937 | $1,645 | $1.75 | 2d | 16 | 0.07mi |
| 2331 N Elm St Unit 2 Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,449 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 201 Coronado Dr Denton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 727 | $1,318 | $1.81 | 1d | 12 | 0.18mi |
| 119 Owens Ln Denton, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1154 | $1,495 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 114 Owens Ln Denton, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,625 | $2.10 | 20d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2421 N Bell Ave Denton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2212 Bolivar St Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2114 N Elm St Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,000 | $1.74 | 12d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2211 N Bell Ave Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $845 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2211 N Bell Ave Denton, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 875 | $895 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2215 N Bell Ave Unit 121 Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $845 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2202 Bolivar St Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2208 N Carroll Blvd Unit 2 Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1139 | $1,650 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 453 Strata Dr Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,525 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 520 Strata Dr Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,400 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3008 N Bell Ave Unit 3012 Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,650 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3008 N Bell Ave Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 305 Casie Ct Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,299 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3012 N Bell Ave Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,650 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3117 Inglewood St Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1163 | $1,790 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3024 N Bell Ave Unit 3028 Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,700 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3028 N Bell Ave Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,700 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3232 N Locust St Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,851 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3232 N Locust St Denton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,485 | $1.60 | 12d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3132 Cedar Hill St Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $1,850 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1717 N Locust St Denton, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,425 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 521 E Windsor Dr Denton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,086 | $1.53 | 11d | 9 | 0.63mi |
| 3001 Gray Wolf Cir Unit 121 Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3001 Gray Wolf Cir Unit 2 Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 624 Wolftrap Dr Unit 626 Denton, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,475 | $1.44 | 10d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 701 Wolftrap Dr Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1505 N Locust St Unit 7 Denton, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1518 N Carroll Blvd Unit 1520 Denton, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,499 | $1.76 | 10d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3337 Evers Pkwy Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,871 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 609 Meadow View Ct Unit 102 Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,475 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3401 Joyce Ln Denton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,100 | $1.55 | 24d | 11 | 0.78mi |
| 604 Meadow View Ct #3 Denton, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3345 Evers Pkwy Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,950 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3345 Evers Pkwy Denton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,950 | $1.34 | 1d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,000 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,000 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $189,000 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom home on Locust St with circle drive in front. Lots of parking. Giant windows. Huge back yard. Quarter Acre Lot. Underground Tornado Shelter. 1 Year Old Central Heat and Air. Close to UNT and TWU. LEASED. Lease ends 1-31-27. Currently paying $1400 per month. Stock Photos. Investor purchasers ONLY. Must provide Proof of Funds prior to showing. Owner will NOT accept Creative financing nor owner financing. No Assignment or assignable offers. No Lowball offers. Being Sold ASIS.
-
2026-03-27price $199,000 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom home on Locust St with circle drive in front. Lots of parking. Giant windows. Huge back yard. Quarter Acre Lot. Underground Tornado Shelter. 1 Year Old Central Heat and Air. Close to UNT and TWU. LEASED. Lease ends 1-31-27. Currently paying $1400 per month. Stock Photos. Investor purchasers ONLY. Must provide Proof of Funds prior to showing. Owner will NOT accept Creative financing nor owner financing. No Assignment or assignable offers. No Lowball offers. Being Sold ASIS.
-
2026-01-05historical $1,450
-
2025-12-12price $220,000 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom home on Locust St with circle drive in front. Lots of parking. Giant windows. Huge back yard. Quarter Acre Lot. Underground Tornado Shelter. 1 Year Old Central Heat and Air. Close to UNT and TWU. LEASED. Lease ends 1-31-27. Currently paying $1400 per month. Stock Photos. Investor purchasers ONLY. Must provide Proof of Funds prior to showing. Owner will NOT accept Creative financing nor owner financing. No Assignment or assignable offers. No Lowball offers. Being Sold ASIS.
-
2025-12-05$1,450
-
2025-11-23historical $1,490
-
2025-10-28price $1,490
-
2025-09-10$1,600
-
2025-08-06price $225,000 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom home on Locust St with circle drive in front. Lots of parking. Giant windows. Huge back yard. Quarter Acre Lot. Underground Tornado Shelter. 1 Year Old Central Heat and Air. Close to UNT and TWU. LEASED. Lease ends 1-31-27. Currently paying $1400 per month. Stock Photos. Investor purchasers ONLY. Must provide Proof of Funds prior to showing. Owner will NOT accept Creative financing nor owner financing. No Assignment or assignable offers. No Lowball offers. Being Sold ASIS.
-
2025-05-27price $249,900 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom home on Locust St with circle drive in front. Lots of parking. Giant windows. Huge back yard. Quarter Acre Lot. Underground Tornado Shelter. 1 Year Old Central Heat and Air. Close to UNT and TWU. LEASED. Lease ends 1-31-27. Currently paying $1400 per month. Stock Photos. Investor purchasers ONLY. Must provide Proof of Funds prior to showing. Owner will NOT accept Creative financing nor owner financing. No Assignment or assignable offers. No Lowball offers. Being Sold ASIS.
-
2025-04-11$274,900 Active 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom home on Locust St with circle drive in front. Lots of parking. Giant windows. Huge back yard. Quarter Acre Lot. Underground Tornado Shelter. 1 Year Old Central Heat and Air. Close to UNT and TWU. LEASED. Lease ends 1-31-27. Currently paying $1400 per month. Stock Photos. Investor purchasers ONLY. Must provide Proof of Funds prior to showing. Owner will NOT accept Creative financing nor owner financing. No Assignment or assignable offers. No Lowball offers. Being Sold ASIS.
-
2017-05-30soldstatus Sold 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Close to TWU and UNT - 2 bedroom and one bath home with utility area in the bath. Large open living area with wall of windows! Bedrooms are good sized with plenty of closet space. Small breakfast area with galley kitchen. Backyard has lots of trees and room for patio, fire pit, play yard the possibilities are endless. Carpets replaced in April. Buyer could not get financing!
-
2017-05-30soldstatus
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Close to TWU and UNT - 2 bedroom and one bath home with utility area in the bath. Large open living area with wall of windows! Bedrooms are good sized with plenty of closet space. Small breakfast area with galley kitchen. Backyard has lots of trees and room for patio, fire pit, play yard the possibilities are endless. Carpets replaced in April. Buyer could not get financing!
-
2017-05-28status Pending 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Close to TWU and UNT - 2 bedroom and one bath home with utility area in the bath. Large open living area with wall of windows! Bedrooms are good sized with plenty of closet space. Small breakfast area with galley kitchen. Backyard has lots of trees and room for patio, fire pit, play yard the possibilities are endless. Carpets replaced in April. Buyer could not get financing!
-
2017-05-13historical Active Option Contract 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Close to TWU and UNT - 2 bedroom and one bath home with utility area in the bath. Large open living area with wall of windows! Bedrooms are good sized with plenty of closet space. Small breakfast area with galley kitchen. Backyard has lots of trees and room for patio, fire pit, play yard the possibilities are endless. Carpets replaced in April. Buyer could not get financing!
-
2017-05-08status Active 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Close to TWU and UNT - 2 bedroom and one bath home with utility area in the bath. Large open living area with wall of windows! Bedrooms are good sized with plenty of closet space. Small breakfast area with galley kitchen. Backyard has lots of trees and room for patio, fire pit, play yard the possibilities are endless. Carpets replaced in April. Buyer could not get financing!
-
2017-04-14status Pending 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Close to TWU and UNT - 2 bedroom and one bath home with utility area in the bath. Large open living area with wall of windows! Bedrooms are good sized with plenty of closet space. Small breakfast area with galley kitchen. Backyard has lots of trees and room for patio, fire pit, play yard the possibilities are endless. Carpets replaced in April. Buyer could not get financing!
-
2017-04-05historical Active Option Contract 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Close to TWU and UNT - 2 bedroom and one bath home with utility area in the bath. Large open living area with wall of windows! Bedrooms are good sized with plenty of closet space. Small breakfast area with galley kitchen. Backyard has lots of trees and room for patio, fire pit, play yard the possibilities are endless. Carpets replaced in April. Buyer could not get financing!
-
2017-03-31$145,000 Active 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Close to TWU and UNT - 2 bedroom and one bath home with utility area in the bath. Large open living area with wall of windows! Bedrooms are good sized with plenty of closet space. Small breakfast area with galley kitchen. Backyard has lots of trees and room for patio, fire pit, play yard the possibilities are endless. Carpets replaced in April. Buyer could not get financing!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,513 · $293/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,513 · $293/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,788
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$3,513
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,503
- − Management
- −$1,503
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$4,762
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,143
- After-tax cash flow
- $-367/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Denton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816740
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,913
- Composite
- 34.91/100
- National rank
- #5075
- State rank
- #383 of 826 in TX
Livability — Denton
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #210
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Denton, TX
- County
- Denton County · 901,654 people
- City population
- 127,990
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,982
- Household income
- $75,069
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1815.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 23% Arabic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.53%
- Current HPI
- 310.6124
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -6.91%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+30.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $189,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-05 Rental Removed $1,450 NTREIS
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $220,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-05 Listed for Rent $1,450 NTREIS
- 2025-11-23 Rental Removed $1,490 NTREIS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $1,490 NTREIS
- 2025-09-10 Listed for Rent $1,600 NTREIS
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $249,900 NTREIS
- 2025-04-11 Listed $274,900 NTREIS
- 2017-05-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-05-30 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2017-05-28 Pending — NTREIS
- 2017-05-13 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2017-05-08 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2017-04-14 Pending — NTREIS
- 2017-04-05 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2017-03-31 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,513 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…