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10 Charles St Duplex
C Composite 57.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$309,000

10 Charles St · Poughkeepsie, NY 12601
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1900 2,614 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

2 Family within walking distance to Metro North, the Main Street Restaurant District and the waterfront. Solid rental history with very low turnover. This home features separate utilities and a driveway for off street parking. Perfect for the investor or a live in one unit and rent out the other unit type situation.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Waterfront
  • 2,614 sq ft lot

Tags

WATERFRONTSEPARATE UTILITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $309k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $254/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $309k).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.4% in Poughkeepsie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#165 in NY, #2,577 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Poughkeepsie City School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #559 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,907/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 2891% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $309k implies a 1112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $290,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
8.27%
Cash-on-cash
7.05%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$720,945
List price
$309,000
Delta
-57.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 Taylor Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,236 (-1%) 21mo $355,000 $287 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-14,726
Equity at exit
$46,073
10-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$41,224
Equity at exit
$26,717

Cash invested: $86,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12601

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,907 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,620
Tax from tax record
$829 /mo · $9,951/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$820
Net cashflow
$508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,264
Max offer price $309,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $683 -5% $596 +0% $508 +5% $421 +10% $333
Rent -10% $199 -5% $354 +0% $508 +5% $662 +10% $817
Rate -1.0pp $664 -0.5pp $587 base $508 +0.5pp $428 +1.0pp $347

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,907

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,250
Closing costs
$9,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
40 N Clover St Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,175 $2.17 44d 1 0.11mi
6mt Carmel PL Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,500 $2.00 24d 1 0.29mi
61 Delafield St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,600 $1.86 14d 1 0.30mi
32 Balding Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1226 $2,500 $2.04 44d 1 0.36mi
77 Marshall St Unit 1F Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $2,350 $2.24 44d 1 0.39mi
77 Marshall St Fl 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $2,250 $2.14 24d 1 0.39mi
77 Marshall St Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $2,250 $2.14 44d 1 0.39mi
40 Parker Ave Apt 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 44d 1 0.39mi
50 Parker Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,150 $1.65 24d 1 0.43mi
50 Parker Ave Unit 3 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 44d 1 0.43mi
43 High St Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 4.0 1.0 1250 $2,300 $1.84 24d 1 0.59mi
1 Grove St Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 44d 1 0.62mi
1 S Hamilton St Unit 3 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 44d 1 0.64mi
36 Pine St Unit Three Bedroom Waitlist Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 2.0 1299 $3,300 $2.54 44d 1 0.67mi
139 N Hamilton St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 4.0 1.0 955 $1,900 $1.99 14d 1 0.67mi
49 S Hamilton St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 44d 1 0.71mi
2 Park Pl Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1380 $1,900 $1.38 24d 1 0.74mi
156 N Clinton St Apt 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 24d 1 0.75mi
197 N Hamilton St #2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1056 $2,200 $2.08 24d 1 0.76mi
49 Carroll St Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1039 $2,200 $2.12 14d 1 0.85mi
151 Cannon St Unit 3 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 864 $2,100 $2.43 24d 1 0.87mi
25 Lent St #2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,200 $2.18 44d 1 0.89mi
25 Virginia Ave Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $2,200 $1.91 44d 1 0.96mi
94 Winnikee Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 14d 1 0.98mi
104 Winnikee Ave #3 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 44d 1 1.00mi
148 Winnikee Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,900 $1.59 44d 1 1.06mi
197 Winnikee Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1344 $2,600 $1.93 44d 1 1.06mi
8 Fox Ter Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1450 $2,200 $1.52 44d 1 1.11mi
174 South Ave #2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 864 $1,950 $2.26 14d 1 1.12mi
9 Bartlett St Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1080 $2,000 $1.85 24d 1 1.12mi
37 Roosevelt Ave Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 21d 1 1.39mi
18 Innis Ave Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1344 $2,500 $1.86 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $309,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $309,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $309,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $309,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $309,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $309,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $309,000 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $309,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $309,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $309,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $309,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $309,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $309,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $309,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $309,000 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    price $309,000 320-char remark
    Show marketing remark (320 chars)

    2 Family within walking distance to Metro North, the Main Street Restaurant District and the waterfront. Solid rental history with very low turnover. This home features separate utilities and a driveway for off street parking. Perfect for the investor or a live in one unit and rent out the other unit type situation.

  17. 2026-05-04
    price $319,900 320-char remark
    Show marketing remark (320 chars)

    2 Family within walking distance to Metro North, the Main Street Restaurant District and the waterfront. Solid rental history with very low turnover. This home features separate utilities and a driveway for off street parking. Perfect for the investor or a live in one unit and rent out the other unit type situation.

  18. 2026-04-18
    price $330,000 320-char remark
    Show marketing remark (320 chars)

    2 Family within walking distance to Metro North, the Main Street Restaurant District and the waterfront. Solid rental history with very low turnover. This home features separate utilities and a driveway for off street parking. Perfect for the investor or a live in one unit and rent out the other unit type situation.

  19. 2026-03-31
    listed $349,900 Active 320-char remark
    Show marketing remark (320 chars)

    2 Family within walking distance to Metro North, the Main Street Restaurant District and the waterfront. Solid rental history with very low turnover. This home features separate utilities and a driveway for off street parking. Perfect for the investor or a live in one unit and rent out the other unit type situation.

  20. 2010-03-23
    soldstatus $25,500
  21. 2006-07-20
    soldstatus $216,000
  22. 2003-04-17
    soldstatus $126,000
  23. 1984-06-22
    soldstatus $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,951 · $829/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,951 · $829/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,884
− Mortgage interest
−$17,309
− Property taxes
−$9,951
− Insurance
−$1,545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,751
− Management
−$3,751
− Depreciation
−$8,989
Taxable income
$1,589
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$381
After-tax cash flow
$5,716/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Poughkeepsie City School District
NCES district ID
3623760
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$39,159
Composite
29.68/100
National rank
#6459
State rank
#559 of 590 in NY

Livability — Poughkeepsie

Score
78/100
State rank
#165
US rank
#2577

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime F Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poughkeepsie, NY
County
Dutchess County · 188,048 people
City population
86,468
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
Population (ZIP)
44,164
Household income
$63,652
Rent vs Own
56.8% rent · 43.2% own
Severe rent burden
2891.0

Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
291,768 people
By 2030
287,131 · -1.6%
By 2040
274,881 · -5.8%
By 2050
259,971 · -10.9%
By 2075
235,366 · -19.3%
By 2100
208,786 · -28.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.62%
Current HPI
293.9789
Rent YoY
▲ 3.67%
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2107.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $309,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $319,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $330,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $349,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
  • 2006-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $216,000 Public Records
  • 2003-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
  • 1984-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,951 · +54.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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