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2700 Shimmons Rd #161
D Composite 41.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

2700 Shimmons Rd #161 · Auburn Hills, MI 48326
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market
Built 1992 Fair condition 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your next investment opportunity or the perfect starter home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home offers a functional layout with plenty of potential. Step through the front door into a welcoming living room, providing a comfortable space for relaxing or entertaining guests. The kitchen features an open layout with ample cabinet and counter space, creating a bright and inviting area for everyday living. The primary suite includes a large walk-in closet and a private bathroom complete with a tub. Two additional bedrooms and one additional full bathroom provide convenience and flexibility for family members or guests. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, investor, or someone looking for a property you can personalize and make your own, this home is full of opportunity and potential. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1992
  • Listed 29 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry at ground level with steps
  • Construction: Steel siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Above-grade finished area about 1,200 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.1 acres (50 x 100)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s); No central cooling
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Ground-level entry with steps

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 42.0% vs local median 4.3% in Auburn Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#151 in MI, #3,766 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $39,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.64%
Cap rate
42.01%
Cash-on-cash
127.58%
DSCR
6.68
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$237,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2515 James Rd 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-8%) 6mo $218,100 $198 60
2848 Edna Jane Dr 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,228 (+2%) 9mo $210,000 $171 58
2682 Genes Dr 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,094 (-9%) 11mo $239,000 $218 51
2925 James Rd 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,320 (+10%) 13mo $280,000 $212 51
2526 Genes Dr 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,318 (+10%) 11mo $249,000 $189 48
2633 Genes Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-8%) 18mo $192,000 $175 47
2738 E Walton Blvd 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,098 (-8%) 16mo $228,000 $208 46
2659 Hatton Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+6%) 12mo $280,000 $220 46
2835 Genes Dr 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,378 (+15%) 8mo $275,000 $200 40
2896 James Rd 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,063 (-11%) 22mo $200,000 $188 39
2436 Richwood Rd 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,085 (-10%) 8mo $202,500 $187 36
2365 Walnut Rd 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+8%) 16mo $191,000 $147 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.71×
Total profit
$63,941
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.82×
Total profit
$132,411
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48326

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,857 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $600/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$1,191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $350
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,218 -5% $1,205 +0% $1,191 +5% $1,177 +10% $1,163
Rent -10% $1,044 -5% $1,117 +0% $1,191 +5% $1,264 +10% $1,337
Rate -1.0pp $1,211 -0.5pp $1,201 base $1,191 +0.5pp $1,180 +1.0pp $1,170

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2830 Davison Ave Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1137 $1,600 $1.41 44d 1 0.14mi
2891 Olden Oak Ln Auburn Hills, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 2d 9 0.29mi
2610 Davison Ave Unit *22-2598 Auburn Hills, MI 3.0 2.0 1200 $3,150 $2.62 44d 1 0.35mi
2610 Davison Ave Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,675 $1.60 22d 1 0.35mi
2610 Davison Ave Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 3d 1 0.35mi
2610 Davison Ave Unit *17-2763 Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,725 $1.57 44d 1 0.35mi
2610 Davison Ave Unit *17-2773 Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,475 $1.40 44d 1 0.35mi
2610 Davison Ave Unit 14-2718 Auburn Hills, MI 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,150 $1.79 24d 1 0.35mi
2610 Davison Ave Unit *22-2582 Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,050 $1.86 22d 1 0.35mi
2610 Davison Ave Unit 22956 Auburn Hills, MI 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,175 $1.81 44d 1 0.35mi
2610 Davison Ave Unit 20-2628 Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,650 $1.57 44d 1 0.35mi
2040 Taylor Rd Auburn Hills, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 782 $1,675 $2.14 18d 6 0.42mi
3131 N Squirrel Rd Unit 1-126 Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,317 $1.65 24d 1 0.64mi
3474 Brookshear Cir Auburn Hills, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 800 $1,600 $2.00 2d 1 0.75mi
2748 Barrington Sq Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1178 $2,150 $1.83 2d 1 0.91mi
2688 Barrington Sq Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1193 $1,995 $1.67 10d 1 0.92mi
2676 Barrington Sq Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1209 $1,895 $1.57 2d 1 0.95mi
1221 Colony Ln Pontiac, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 950 $1,250 $1.32 2d 3 1.06mi
3300 5 Points Dr Auburn Hills, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1095 $2,369 $2.16 2d 16 1.09mi
2651 Greenstone Blvd Auburn Hills, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $1,660 $1.64 2d 3 1.26mi
505 Old Oak Ct Unit 7 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,279 $1.35 44d 1 1.27mi
505 Old Oak Ct Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,299 $1.18 44d 1 1.32mi
2605 Greenstone Blvd Auburn Hills, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 792 $1,575 $1.99 4d 3 1.34mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $40,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $40,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $40,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $40,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $40,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    listed $40,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (841 chars)

    Welcome to your next investment opportunity or the perfect starter home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home offers a functional layout with plenty of potential. Step through the front door into a welcoming living room, providing a comfortable space for relaxing or entertaining guests. The kitchen features an open layout with ample cabinet and counter space, creating a bright and inviting area for everyday living. The primary suite includes a large walk-in closet and a private bathroom complete with a tub. Two additional bedrooms and one additional full bathroom provide convenience and flexibility for family members or guests. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, investor, or someone looking for a property you can personalize and make your own, this home is full of opportunity and potential. Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $40,000 Active 841-char remark
    Show marketing remark (841 chars)

    Welcome to your next investment opportunity or the perfect starter home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home offers a functional layout with plenty of potential. Step through the front door into a welcoming living room, providing a comfortable space for relaxing or entertaining guests. The kitchen features an open layout with ample cabinet and counter space, creating a bright and inviting area for everyday living. The primary suite includes a large walk-in closet and a private bathroom complete with a tub. Two additional bedrooms and one additional full bathroom provide convenience and flexibility for family members or guests. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, investor, or someone looking for a property you can personalize and make your own, this home is full of opportunity and potential. Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,286
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$600
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,783
− Management
−$1,783
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$14,516
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,484
After-tax cash flow
$10,805/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its value for resale or rental.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — standard fixtures
  • Minor exterior siding — some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace carpeting — improves living space
  • Resale repair exterior siding — enhances curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · standard fixtures Minor $500–3,000
exterior siding · some wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace carpeting — improves living space
  • Resale repair exterior siding — enhances curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Auburn Hills

Score
76/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#3766

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn Hills, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
24,514
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,514
Household income
$85,190
Rent vs Own
48.3% rent · 51.7% own
Severe rent burden
986.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Asian 15% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.32%
Current HPI
178.7685
Rent YoY
▼ -2.27%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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