150 Steele Rd · Geneva, NY 13165

$99,999

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1998 0.90 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 150 Steele Road! Situated on nearly an acre of land, this well-maintained manufactured ranch offers comfortable one-floor living with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The spacious 0.9-acre lot provides plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors, while the detached 4-car garage offers exceptional storage, workshop space, or room for your vehicles and toys. Conveniently located with a peaceful country feel, this property combines space, functionality, and value all in one package. Schedule your showing today! --- Delayed Showings begin Friday 6/19 Delayed negotiations begin Friday 6/26 at noon ---

Key facts

• Nearly an acre
• Spacious lot
• 0.9 acre lot

Tags

• NEARLY AN ACRE
• DETACHED 4-CAR GARAGE
• SPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage; 4-car garage
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-story home; Existing/resale property
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation
• Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Leased propane tank; Rectangular, rural lot (approx. 0.9 acre, dimensions 120 x 327)

Interior

• Kitchen: Appliances negotiable; Propane water heater
• Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varied flooring
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (two on main level)
• Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Forced air heating; Has heating
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Main level primary; Primary suite; Crawl space basement
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.0% in Geneva — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in NY, #2,760 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D.
• Waterloo Central School District (town): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #525 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $99,999

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.56% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.23%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.21%
• DSCR: 1.94
• GRM: 5.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 13.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.55×
• Total profit: $15,372
• Equity at exit: $14,910

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.94×
• Total profit: $54,191
• Equity at exit: $8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13165

• Home prices YoY: -20.7%
• Active inventory: 38
• Price-to-rent: 5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,562 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$173 /mo · $2,073/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$328
• Net cashflow: $495

Break-even live

Break-even rent $935

Max offer price $99,999

Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $552	-5% $523	+0% $495	+5% $467	+10% $438
Rent	-10% $372	-5% $433	+0% $495	+5% $557	+10% $618
Rate	-1.0pp $545	-0.5pp $520	base $495	+0.5pp $469	+1.0pp $443

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $99,999 Active 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $99,999 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   remarks 610-char remark
4. 2026-06-18
   listed $99,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,073 · $173/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,073 · $173/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,740
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,601
• − Property taxes: −$2,073
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,499
• − Management: −$1,499
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $4,659
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,118
• After-tax cash flow: $4,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Waterloo Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3600014
• Math proficiency: 37% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▲ 11.00%
• Median HH income: $46,726
• Composite: 34.16/100
• National rank: #5278
• State rank: #525 of 590 in NY

Livability — Geneva

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #177
• US rank: #2760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 9,429

Population outlook (Seneca County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 33,457 people
• By 2030: 32,540 · -2.7%
• By 2040: 30,680 · -8.3%
• By 2050: 28,875 · -13.7%
• By 2075: 24,757 · -26.0%
• By 2100: 19,591 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Seneca

• 2024 margin: R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.4pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -11.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.8 2020: R+9.1 2016: R+12.1 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -67.17%
• Current HPI: 257.272
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-18 Listed $99,999 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,073 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.