209 E Pine St · Batesville, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Stairs lead to spacious attic, great for extra storage
Key facts
- Extra storage
- Spacious attic
- Built 1968
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (3.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.3% in Batesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#33 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools D.
- Batesville School District (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #104 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 33 units permitted in Independence County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $79k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.20%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $113,652
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355 E Chestnut St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 915 (-1%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $71 | 86 |
| 515 Elsie St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+0%) | 5mo | $123,500 | $133 | 82 |
| 160 W Carter St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-2%) | 11mo | $77,000 | $85 | 81 |
| 1180 Arch St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 945 (+2%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $126 | 79 |
| 133 E Carter St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+1%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $128 | 76 |
| 160 E Pine St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+7%) | 14mo | $80,000 | $81 | 74 |
| 150 W Chestnut | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 923 (-0%) | 16mo | $155,200 | $168 | 72 |
| 403 Water St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 936 (+1%) | 16mo | $115,000 | $123 | 62 |
| 1995 N Heights Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 892 (-4%) | 9mo | $119,900 | $134 | 54 |
| 325 Broadwater Ln | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+6%) | 7mo | $114,900 | $117 | 51 |
| 479 N State St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,047 (+13%) | 20mo | $80,000 | $76 | 47 |
| 1701 Addie St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-13%) | 17mo | $68,500 | $86 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-5,546
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $8,776
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72501
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $968 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $371/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 W Main St Unit 4 Batesville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 507 Ferrell St Unit 1280 Agnes Batesville, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $695 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1520 E Boswell St Unit 12 Batesville, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $750 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 330 S 17th St Apt 11 Batesville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $875 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 54-char remark
-
2026-06-07$100,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $371 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $640 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$269/yr (+$22/mo · 72.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,620
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$371
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$930
- − Management
- −$930
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $380
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$91
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Batesville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500019
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,304
- Composite
- 30.79/100
- National rank
- #6147
- State rank
- #104 of 238 in AR
Livability — Batesville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #33
- US rank
- #6274
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Batesville, AR
- County
- Independence County · 26,218 people
- City population
- 26,218
- Metro
- Batesville, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,218
- Household income
- $52,829
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 553.0
Population outlook (Independence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,748 people
- By 2030
- 37,962 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 38,151 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 37,980 · +0.6%
- By 2075
- 36,622 · -3.0%
- By 2100
- 32,741 · -13.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Independence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.2% · R 78.7% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+58.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.0 2008: R+37.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.19%
- Current HPI
- 206.3787
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Batesville, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+143.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $100,000 FSBO.com
- 2024-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2015-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $47,250 Public Records
- 2006-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2023): $371 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…