1100 Aaron · Leesville, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity generating income. 3 bedroom brick home on a corner lot with fenced in back yard. Close to all the amenities and 15 minutes to Fort Polk.
Key facts
- Fenced in back yard
- Close to amenities
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 7.3% in Leesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#30 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.6%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $788 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $114k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.58%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,743
- List price
- $114,000
- Delta
- -19.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 907 Dennis Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,449 (-2%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $48 | 71 |
| 2001 Ginger St | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+5%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $112 | 67 |
| 1002 Aaron Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+8%) | 20mo | $185,000 | $116 | 65 |
| 2026 Ruth St | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,649 (+11%) | 16mo | $139,900 | $85 | 53 |
| 2006 Allison St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,495 (+1%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $80 | 53 |
| 913 Dennis Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,557 (+5%) | 22mo | $157,500 | $101 | 50 |
| 1032 Hood Ln | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,660 (+12%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $45 | 47 |
| 2000 Allison St | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,509 (+2%) | 23mo | $117,000 | $78 | 42 |
| 1001 Pinckney Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,274 (-14%) | 21mo | $115,000 | $90 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $20,889
- Equity at exit
- $16,998
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.96×
- Total profit
- $94,617
- Equity at exit
- $9,857
Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71446
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.6%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,499 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$598
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $531/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $527 | +0% $494 | +5% $462 | +10% $430 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $376 | -5% $435 | +0% $494 | +5% $553 | +10% $613 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $552 | -0.5pp $523 | base $494 | +0.5pp $465 | +1.0pp $435 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,500
- Closing costs
- $3,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1403 Aaron St Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1219 Port Arthur Ter Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-19days on market $114,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $114,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $114,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $114,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $114,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $114,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $114,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $114,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $114,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $114,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $114,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $114,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $114,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $114,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $114,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $114,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-04-17$114,000 Active 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Investment opportunity generating income. 3 bedroom brick home on a corner lot with fenced in back yard. Close to all the amenities and 15 minutes to Fort Polk.
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2021-06-09soldstatus 52-char remark
Show marketing remark (52 chars)
For Comps only, Home was sold from rental department
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2021-06-09$49,500 52-char remark
Show marketing remark (52 chars)
For Comps only, Home was sold from rental department
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2021-06-07soldstatus $49,500
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2005-02-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $531 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $627 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 18.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,983
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,386
- − Property taxes
- −$531
- − Insurance
- −$570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,439
- − Management
- −$1,439
- − Depreciation
- −$3,316
- Taxable income
- $4,302
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,033
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,899/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,822
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4674
- State rank
- #18 of 98 in LA
Livability — Leesville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #5046
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leesville, LA
- County
- Vernon Parish · 21,275 people
- City population
- 21,275
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,275
- Household income
- $55,925
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,401 people
- By 2030
- 43,015 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 38,171 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 34,087 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 28,267 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 25,486 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.06%
- Current HPI
- 128.8849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.60%
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+130.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $114,000 GFPAR
- 2021-06-09 Listed $49,500 GFPAR
- 2021-06-09 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
- 2021-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2005-02-28 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $531 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…