201 Crescent Ave · Colonial Heights, VA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 42.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Cape Cod-style home located on a quiet cul-de-sac! Offering 4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, hardwood floors, a formal dining room, and a spacious living room with a beautiful fireplace. The main level features 2 bedrooms and a full bath, while upstairs offers 2 additional bedrooms and a half bath. Enjoy the enclosed side sunroom, plus an enclosed rear porch with laundry area, deep sink, and pantry. Situated on a large, level backyard with plenty of space to enjoy. A great opportunity for investors or first-time buyers looking to build equity. Home needs renovations and TLC and is being sold as-is
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street paved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: 2-story frame home; Vinyl siding and plaster exterior; Shingle roof; Entry level includes main-level primary; Zoned R2; Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Plaster; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built in (year built recorded as actual)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Porch; Awning(s); Storage shed; Paved driveway; Chain link partial fencing; Fenced (partial)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooking (oven/range/stove); Range hood
- Bedrooms: Main level primary
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Linoleum flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric baseboard heating
- Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Separate/formal dining room; Fireplace; Laminate counters; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Storm windows; Main level primary
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (2.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.2% in Colonial Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#146 in VA, #4,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, crime F.
- Colonial Heights City Public School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #67 of 131 in VA (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 17 units permitted in Colonial Heights city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colonial Heights County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 42% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.79%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $265,568
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Royal Oak Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,345 (-2%) | 7mo | $293,000 | $218 | 68 |
| 650 Battery Pl | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,324 (-4%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $193 | 68 |
| 656 Battery Pl | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,291 (-6%) | 3mo | $159,000 | $123 | 66 |
| 000 Hamilton Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (-4%) | 2mo | $356,000 | $270 | 65 |
| 322 Jackson Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,288 (-6%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $194 | 60 |
| 115 Suffolk Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,504 (+9%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $183 | 59 |
| 3403 South St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-1%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $190 | 55 |
| 807 Hamilton Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,552 (+13%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $232 | 46 |
| 306 Hamilton Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+13%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $141 | 43 |
| 212 Norfolk Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-14%) | 4mo | $162,500 | $138 | 42 |
| 407 Washington Ave | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,510 (+10%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $199 | 42 |
| 500 Floral Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-13%) | 4mo | $214,000 | $179 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-8,321
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $47,960
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23834
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,797 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,990/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $207
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Jefferson Ave Colonial Heights, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 1d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 500 Floral Ave Colonial Heights, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,895 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1014 Hamilton Ave Colonial Heights, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1615 | $1,891 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 815 Floral Ave Colonial Heights, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,500 | $1.65 | 20d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 147 Witten St Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,495 | $1.28 | 10d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 20304 Loyal Ave South Chesterfield, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,650 | $1.66 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 525 James Ave Colonial Heights, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,141 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3716 Totty St South Chesterfield, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 115 Pine St Unit 115 Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,462 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $185,000 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Coming Soon 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Coming Soon 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 603-char remark
-
2026-06-07$185,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,990 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,990 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 42% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,566
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,990
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,725
- − Management
- −$1,725
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$544
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$131
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,611/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colonial Heights City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100960
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,368
- Composite
- 49.41/100
- National rank
- #2011
- State rank
- #67 of 131 in VA
Livability — Colonial Heights
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #4726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Colonial Heights, VA
- County
- Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
- City population
- 26,628
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,628
- Household income
- $84,338
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 814.0
Population outlook (Colonial Heights County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,627 people
- By 2030
- 19,110 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 20,215 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 21,424 · +15.0%
- By 2075
- 24,692 · +32.6%
- By 2100
- 26,164 · +40.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Colonial Heights
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.5) · D 33.4% · R 65.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.2pp toward D · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -32.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.5 2020: R+33.2 2016: R+39.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.28%
- Current HPI
- 294.4478
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.50%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $185,000 CVRMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,990 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…