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13383 Great Plains Dr
D Composite 41.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0

$330,000

13383 Great Plains Dr · Riverview, FL 33579
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,540 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 6,000 sqft lot $8/mo HOA ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.

Key facts

  • 6,000 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2022

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: CDD present; Homestead exemption indicated
  • HOA & community: Member of Triple Creek HOA; HOA dues required (approximately $100.34 annually / $8.36 monthly); Association approval required; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Faces north; Living area reported as 1,555 sq ft
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Total building area reported as 1,955 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (13.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $289k (12.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $284k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#134 in FL, #2,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Warren Hope Dawson Elementary (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 948 students, 41% FRL); East Bay High School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,995 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $284,221 (13.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.37%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.42% appreciation · 1.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-52,561
Equity at exit
$73,040
10-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-66,143
Equity at exit
$71,192

Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33579

Home prices YoY
-0.6%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
461
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,885 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,731
Tax from tax record
$662 /mo · $7,950/yr
Insurance
$138
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$606
Net cashflow
$-259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,213
Max offer price $284,221
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-72 -5% $-166 +0% $-259 +5% $-353 +10% $-446
Rent -10% $-487 -5% $-373 +0% $-259 +5% $-145 +10% $-31
Rate -1.0pp $-93 -0.5pp $-175 base $-259 +0.5pp $-345 +1.0pp $-432

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,500
Closing costs
$9,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12767 Weston Oaks Ln Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1935 $3,450 $1.78 0d 1 0.19mi
13204 Great Plains Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1935 $2,990 $1.55 6d 1 0.24mi
13337 Woodworth Way Riverview, FL 4.0 2.5 1920 $2,850 $1.48 18d 1 0.28mi
12544 Shining Willow St Riverview, FL 4.0 3.0 2035 $3,000 $1.47 4d 1 0.33mi
12544 Shining Willow St Riverview, FL 4.0 2.5 2045 $3,000 $1.47 0d 1 0.33mi
12643 Maple Bonsai Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1451 $2,700 $1.86 0d 1 0.37mi
13144 Peachleaf Ave Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1850 $2,995 $1.62 6d 1 0.42mi
12525 Lovers Ln Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1344 $1,650 $1.23 25d 1 0.51mi
12967 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1935 $2,400 $1.24 25d 1 0.58mi
12964 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1935 $2,300 $1.19 21d 1 0.61mi
12964 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1935 $2,300 $1.19 6d 1 0.61mi
13009 Majestic Garden Ln Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1561 $2,800 $1.79 25d 1 0.68mi
12401 Streambed Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1458 $2,600 $1.78 0d 1 0.99mi
12111 Anderson Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1298 $2,400 $1.85 25d 1 1.05mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $330,000 Pending 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $330,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $330,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $330,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $330,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $330,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $330,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $330,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $330,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $330,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $330,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $345,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $345,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $345,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $345,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $345,000 Active 1296-char remark
  17. 2023-01-10
    soldstatus $329,990 Closed 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.

  18. 2022-10-31
    status Pending 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.

  19. 2022-10-26
    price $329,990 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.

  20. 2022-10-21
    status Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.

  21. 2022-10-21
    price $372,650 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.

  22. 2022-09-19
    status Pending 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.

  23. 2022-09-15
    price $349,990 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.

  24. 2022-09-09
    listed $372,650 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,950 · $662/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,950 · $662/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,624
− Mortgage interest
−$18,485
− Property taxes
−$7,950
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,770
− Management
−$2,770
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$9,600
Taxable loss
−$8,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,087
After-tax cash flow
$-1,022/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, good-condition home in a sought-after community is ready for a new owner. Minor updates to the exterior and kitchen would significantly enhance its resale value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and adds a fresh look
  • Resale Update kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale Replace window treatments — Freshens the look and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and adds a fresh look
  • Resale Update kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale Replace window treatments — Freshens the look and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Riverview

Score
79/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#2000

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living B+ Crime B Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riverview, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
137,988
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
49,470
Household income
$116,134
Rent vs Own
16.5% rent · 83.5% own
Severe rent burden
258.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 24% Two or more races 19% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% British 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.42%
Current HPI
240.5825
Rent YoY
▲ 1.18%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $330,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $345,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-10 Sold (MLS) $329,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-31 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-26 Price Changed $329,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-21 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-21 Price Changed $372,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-19 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-15 Price Changed $349,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-09 Listed $372,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,950 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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