13383 Great Plains Dr · Riverview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2022
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: CDD present; Homestead exemption indicated
- HOA & community: Member of Triple Creek HOA; HOA dues required (approximately $100.34 annually / $8.36 monthly); Association approval required; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Faces north; Living area reported as 1,555 sq ft
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Total building area reported as 1,955 sq ft
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (13.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $289k (12.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $284k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#134 in FL, #2,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Warren Hope Dawson Elementary (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 948 students, 41% FRL); East Bay High School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,995 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.37%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.42% appreciation · 1.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-52,561
- Equity at exit
- $73,040
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-66,143
- Equity at exit
- $71,192
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33579
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 461
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,885 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$662 /mo · $7,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$8
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$606
- Net cashflow
- $-259
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-72 | -5% $-166 | +0% $-259 | +5% $-353 | +10% $-446 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-487 | -5% $-373 | +0% $-259 | +5% $-145 | +10% $-31 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-93 | -0.5pp $-175 | base $-259 | +0.5pp $-345 | +1.0pp $-432 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12767 Weston Oaks Ln Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $3,450 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 13204 Great Plains Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,990 | $1.55 | 6d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 13337 Woodworth Way Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $2,850 | $1.48 | 18d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 12544 Shining Willow St Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2035 | $3,000 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 12544 Shining Willow St Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2045 | $3,000 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 12643 Maple Bonsai Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,700 | $1.86 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 13144 Peachleaf Ave Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,995 | $1.62 | 6d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 12525 Lovers Ln Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 12967 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,400 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 12964 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,300 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 12964 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,300 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 13009 Majestic Garden Ln Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $2,800 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 12401 Streambed Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $2,600 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 12111 Anderson Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,400 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $8 · $96/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $330,000 Pending 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $330,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $330,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $330,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $330,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $330,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $345,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $345,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $345,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $345,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$345,000 Active 1296-char remark
-
2023-01-10soldstatus $329,990 Closed 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.
-
2022-10-31status Pending 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.
-
2022-10-26price $329,990 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.
-
2022-10-21status Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.
-
2022-10-21price $372,650 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.
-
2022-09-19status Pending 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.
-
2022-09-15price $349,990 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.
-
2022-09-09$372,650 Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Under Construction. This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and nook as well as the kitchen with a center island. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby, the cozy owner’s suite includes a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Interior photos disclosed are different from the actual model being built.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,950 · $662/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,950 · $662/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$7,950
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,770
- − Management
- −$2,770
- − HOA
- −$96
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$8,697
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,087
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, good-condition home in a sought-after community is ready for a new owner. Minor updates to the exterior and kitchen would significantly enhance its resale value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and adds a fresh look
- Resale Update kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
- Resale Replace window treatments — Freshens the look and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and adds a fresh look ↑
- Resale Update kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
- Resale Replace window treatments — Freshens the look and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Riverview
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #2000
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverview, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 137,988
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,470
- Household income
- $116,134
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 258.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 24% Two or more races 19% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% British 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.42%
- Current HPI
- 240.5825
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.18%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-11.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $330,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listed $345,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-10 Sold (MLS) $329,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-31 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-26 Price Changed $329,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-21 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-21 Price Changed $372,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-15 Price Changed $349,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-09 Listed $372,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7,950 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…