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116 Downes St
C Composite 57.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,500

116 Downes St · Hampton, VA 23663
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,015 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1976 6,969 sqft lot $183/sqft · 10% below area Est $206k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced at City assessment! Bring all offers! Cash only sale! Property being sold as-is, where-is! Seller to make no repairs! Great location in Phoebus! A little work will make this one a good flip or rental!

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1976
  • Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.16 acre (lot front 40', depth 210'); Seven total rooms (living room, great room, dining room, family room, kitchen, breakfast area, foyer, porch, attic listed among spaces)
  • HOA & community: No HOA fees indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Driveway parking spaces; Street parking
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric power (standard)
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Bungalow / Cottage / Ranch style; One story; One living level; Entry level rooms on main floor
  • Construction: Aluminum and brick siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawlspace and slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Wooded lot; Back partial fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast area; Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: First-floor master bedroom; Additional bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Master bedroom with full bathroom on first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced hot air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Scuttle access
  • Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry; Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $186k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Captain John Smith Elementary (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 393 students, 82% FRL); Phoebus High (math 57% / reading 76%, grade B, #195 of 319 statewide, top 62%, 1,365 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 49% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 80 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $186k implies a 485% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,935 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.70%
Cash-on-cash
5.01%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$205,930
List price
$185,500
Delta
-9.92%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
44 Booker St 0.42mi 3/1.5 977 (-4%) 5mo $215,000 $220 68
75 W Virginia Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,025 (+1%) 1mo $140,000 $137 63
605 E Mercury Blvd 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,013 (-0%) 8mo $219,000 $216 63
37 N Mallory St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,113 (+10%) 4mo $161,000 $145 62
10 Booker St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 911 (-10%) 2mo $126,454 $139 60
26 Woodland Rd 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,009 (-1%) 6mo $75,000 $74 59
12 N Hope St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,120 (+10%) 7mo $249,800 $223 59
112 W Kelly Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 947 (-7%) 2mo $205,000 $216 54
41 W Virginia Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 944 (-7%) 10mo $185,000 $196 47
111 E Cummings Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-11%) 8mo $205,900 $229 44
202 Clay St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,152 (+14%) 4mo $203,500 $177 41
21 W Kelly Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (-12%) 9mo $210,000 $236 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-16,000
Equity at exit
$27,659
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$4,850
Equity at exit
$16,039

Cash invested: $51,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23663

Home prices YoY
-4.3%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,839 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$973
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,229/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,564
Max offer price $185,500
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,375
Closing costs
$5,565
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25 Bainbridge Ave Hampton, VA 2.0 1.5 1306 $1,600 $1.23 1d 1 0.36mi
4 Bainbridge Ave Unit B Hampton, VA 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,550 $1.48 43d 1 0.41mi
150 Ingalls Rd Unit 204 Fort Monroe, VA 2.0 1.0 872 $2,060 $2.36 17d 1 0.60mi
221 W Kelly Ave Hampton, VA 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,350 $1.96 43d 1 0.72mi
949 N Mallory St Hampton, VA 2.0 1.5 1054 $1,250 $1.19 1d 1 0.95mi
305 Old Point Ave Hampton, VA 3.0 1.0 1186 $1,750 $1.48 43d 1 1.23mi
1210 Pansy St Hampton, VA 2.0 2.0 1409 $2,000 $1.42 43d 1 1.24mi
19 Magnolia Pl Hampton, VA 3.0 1.5 1405 $2,100 $1.49 14d 1 1.34mi
1115 E Pembroke Ave Hampton, VA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,275 $1.50 1d 1 1.39mi
234 Washington St Hampton, VA 2.0 1.0 1111 $2,000 $1.80 10d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,500 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,500 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,500 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $185,500 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,500 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,500 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,500 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,500 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,500 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,500 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,500 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,500 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,500 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-09
    listed $195,500 Active 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Priced at City assessment! Bring all offers! Cash only sale! Property being sold as-is, where-is! Seller to make no repairs! Great location in Phoebus! A little work will make this one a good flip or rental!

  15. 2026-05-09
    listed $195,500 Active 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Priced at City assessment! Bring all offers! Cash only sale! Property being sold as-is, where-is! Seller to make no repairs! Great location in Phoebus! A little work will make this one a good flip or rental!

  16. 2026-05-09
    listed $195,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    Priced at City assessment! Bring all offers! Cash only sale! Property being sold as-is, where-is! Seller to make no repairs! Great location in Phoebus! A little work will make this one a good flip or rental!

  17. 1985-02-01
    soldstatus $31,710

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,229 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,229 · $186/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,067
− Mortgage interest
−$10,391
− Property taxes
−$2,229
− Insurance
−$928
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,765
− Management
−$1,765
− Depreciation
−$5,396
Taxable loss
−$407
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$98
After-tax cash flow
$2,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hampton City Public School District
NCES district ID
5101800
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,089
Composite
55.19/100
National rank
#1272
State rank
#40 of 131 in VA

Livability — Hampton

Score
75/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#4302

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hampton, VA
County
Hampton City · 132,421 people
City population
132,421
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
14,656
Household income
$54,336
Rent vs Own
47.4% rent · 52.6% own
Severe rent burden
803.0

Population outlook (Hampton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
134,055 people
By 2030
131,753 · -1.7%
By 2040
125,017 · -6.7%
By 2050
116,825 · -12.9%
By 2075
97,033 · -27.6%
By 2100
76,188 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 37% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hampton

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.9) · D 69.2% · R 29.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.0pp no change · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 39.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.9 2020: D+42.2 2016: D+37.8 2012: D+45.4 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.71%
Current HPI
328.8386
Rent YoY
▲ 3.13%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+485.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Price Changed $185,500 REINMLS
  • 2026-06-14 Price Changed $185,500 CBRAR
  • 2026-06-14 Price Changed $185,500 WMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $195,500 WMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $195,900 CBRAR
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $195,500 REINMLS
  • 1985-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,710 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,229 · +19.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…