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2310 Tallahassee Dr
C- Composite 51.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,000

2310 Tallahassee Dr · Tallahassee, FL 32309
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 243 Days on market
Built 1967 0.42 ac lot Est $318k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Fenced backyard
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED BACKYARDSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Has cooling (wall/window units)
  • Home design: 2-story home
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (12x14)
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (10x11); Bedroom 3 (12x11); Bedroom 4 (11x11); Primary bedroom located on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring; Upper-level primary bedroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-232/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (1.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (10.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
  • Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Gilchrist Elementary School (math 79% / reading 83%, grade A+, #95 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 864 students, 20% FRL); William J Montford Iii Middle School (math 72% / reading 69%, grade A, #63 of 571 statewide, top 11%, 921 students, 22% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 37% / reading 54%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,861 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 45% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Leon average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $187k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $192,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.38%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$318,240
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3620 Barbary Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,539 (-1%) 9mo $300,000 $195 74
2377 Tallahassee Dr 0.04mi 4/2.0 1,448 (-7%) 14mo $306,000 $211 73
4012 Yardley Cir 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,561 (+0%) 3mo $345,000 $221 63
3640 Barbary Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,744 (+12%) 3mo $330,000 $189 59
2323 Meath Dr 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,653 (+6%) 23mo $329,000 $199 52
3762 Suffolk Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,541 (-1%) 19mo $350,000 $227 52
3716 Suffolk Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,783 (+14%) 1mo $422,300 $237 50
2305 Carrick Ct 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,662 (+6%) 10mo $290,000 $174 50
3517 E Kilkenny Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,742 (+12%) 21mo $350,000 $201 41
2508 Debden Ct 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,502 (-4%) 16mo $365,000 $243 40
2271 Hampshire Way 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,740 (+12%) 24mo $355,000 $204 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-26,282
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$23,000
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32309

Rents YoY
9.1%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,963 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax from tax record
$330 /mo · $3,962/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$-19

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,987
Max offer price $215,585
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $105 -5% $43 +0% $-19 +5% $-81 +10% $-143
Rent -10% $-174 -5% $-97 +0% $-19 +5% $58 +10% $136
Rate -1.0pp $91 -0.5pp $36 base $-19 +0.5pp $-76 +1.0pp $-134

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3251 Varnell Dr Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.0 1120 $2,150 $1.92 23d 1 1.05mi
1655 Eagles Landing Blvd Tallahassee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1205 $1,679 $1.39 23d 1 1.41mi
4843 Anhinga Ln Tallahassee, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $219,000 Active 243 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 240 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 239 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,000 Active 236 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 235 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 234 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 233 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 232 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $219,000 Active 231 DOM
  10. 2026-02-10
    status Active
  11. 2026-02-08
    historical
  12. 2025-10-10
    listed $219,000 Active
  13. 2024-05-30
    soldstatus $187,000
  14. 2024-04-04
    soldstatus $187,000 Closed 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.

  15. 2024-03-10
    historical Active Under Contract 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.

  16. 2024-02-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.

  17. 2024-02-21
    listed $210,000 Active 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.

  18. 2024-02-14
    status Active
  19. 2024-02-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2023-11-27
    historical
  21. 2023-11-27
    listed $230,000 Active
  22. 2023-11-17
    price $230,000
  23. 2023-10-26
    price $249,000
  24. 2023-10-04
    status Active
  25. 2023-09-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  26. 2023-09-18
    listed $259,000 Active
  27. 2023-03-27
    soldstatus $160,000
  28. 2023-03-22
    soldstatus $160,000 Closed
  29. 2023-03-13
    listed $155,000 Active
  30. 2022-10-25
    historical
  31. 2022-09-24
    listed $200,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,962 · $330/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,962 · $330/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,553
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$3,962
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,884
− Management
−$1,884
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable loss
−$3,911
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$939
After-tax cash flow
$707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Leon
NCES district ID
1201110
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,339
Composite
42.84/100
National rank
#3131
State rank
#33 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tallahassee

Score
86/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#429

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tallahassee, FL
County
Leon County · 294,472 people
City population
294,472
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,544
Household income
$113,412
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
789.0

Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,507 people
By 2030
330,677 · +4.8%
By 2040
358,465 · +13.6%
By 2050
386,804 · +22.6%
By 2075
465,480 · +47.5%
By 2100
519,959 · +64.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 9% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Leon

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.85%
Current HPI
247.4336
Rent YoY
▲ 9.06%
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.5% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted CATRS
  • 2026-02-08 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $219,000 CATRS
  • 2024-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $187,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-04 Sold (MLS) $187,000 CATRS
  • 2024-03-10 Contingent CATRS
  • 2024-02-21 Listed $210,000 CATRS
  • 2024-02-21 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2024-02-14 Relisted CATRS
  • 2024-02-06 Contingent CATRS
  • 2023-11-27 Listed $230,000 CATRS
  • 2023-11-27 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2023-11-17 Price Changed $230,000 CATRS
  • 2023-10-26 Price Changed $249,000 CATRS
  • 2023-10-04 Relisted CATRS
  • 2023-09-19 Contingent CATRS
  • 2023-09-18 Listed $259,000 CATRS
  • 2023-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-22 Sold (MLS) $160,000 CATRS
  • 2023-03-13 Listed $155,000 CATRS
  • 2022-10-25 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2022-09-24 Listed $200,000 CATRS

Property tax history

+17.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,962 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…