2310 Tallahassee Dr · Tallahassee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.
Key facts
- Storage shed
- Fenced backyard
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Has cooling (wall/window units)
- Home design: 2-story home
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (12x14)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (10x11); Bedroom 3 (12x11); Bedroom 4 (11x11); Primary bedroom located on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Upper-level primary bedroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-232/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (1.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
- Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Gilchrist Elementary School (math 79% / reading 83%, grade A+, #95 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 864 students, 20% FRL); William J Montford Iii Middle School (math 72% / reading 69%, grade A, #63 of 571 statewide, top 11%, 921 students, 22% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 37% / reading 54%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,861 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 45% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Leon average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $187k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.38%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $318,240
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3620 Barbary Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,539 (-1%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $195 | 74 |
| 2377 Tallahassee Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,448 (-7%) | 14mo | $306,000 | $211 | 73 |
| 4012 Yardley Cir | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,561 (+0%) | 3mo | $345,000 | $221 | 63 |
| 3640 Barbary Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,744 (+12%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $189 | 59 |
| 2323 Meath Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,653 (+6%) | 23mo | $329,000 | $199 | 52 |
| 3762 Suffolk Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,541 (-1%) | 19mo | $350,000 | $227 | 52 |
| 3716 Suffolk Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,783 (+14%) | 1mo | $422,300 | $237 | 50 |
| 2305 Carrick Ct | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,662 (+6%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $174 | 50 |
| 3517 E Kilkenny Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,742 (+12%) | 21mo | $350,000 | $201 | 41 |
| 2508 Debden Ct | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,502 (-4%) | 16mo | $365,000 | $243 | 40 |
| 2271 Hampshire Way | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+12%) | 24mo | $355,000 | $204 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-26,282
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $23,000
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32309
- Rents YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,963 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$330 /mo · $3,962/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $105 | -5% $43 | +0% $-19 | +5% $-81 | +10% $-143 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-174 | -5% $-97 | +0% $-19 | +5% $58 | +10% $136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $91 | -0.5pp $36 | base $-19 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3251 Varnell Dr Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,150 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1655 Eagles Landing Blvd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1205 | $1,679 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4843 Anhinga Ln Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $219,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $219,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $219,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-02-10status Active
-
2026-02-08historical
-
2025-10-10$219,000 Active
-
2024-05-30soldstatus $187,000
-
2024-04-04soldstatus $187,000 Closed 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.
-
2024-03-10historical Active Under Contract 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.
-
2024-02-21historical
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.
-
2024-02-21$210,000 Active 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Awesome Opportunity to own a single family home in a great NE location at an attractive price. Home needs new owner to put their finishing touches to bring it back to its full potential. 4 bedrooms, 1.5 bath home with large bedrooms, living spaces and open kitchen. Large corner lot with big front yard, large backyard with a big storage shed.
-
2024-02-14status Active
-
2024-02-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-11-27historical
-
2023-11-27$230,000 Active
-
2023-11-17price $230,000
-
2023-10-26price $249,000
-
2023-10-04status Active
-
2023-09-19historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-09-18$259,000 Active
-
2023-03-27soldstatus $160,000
-
2023-03-22soldstatus $160,000 Closed
-
2023-03-13$155,000 Active
-
2022-10-25historical
-
2022-09-24$200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,962 · $330/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,962 · $330/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,553
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,962
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,884
- − Management
- −$1,884
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$3,911
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$939
- After-tax cash flow
- $707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leon
- NCES district ID
- 1201110
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,339
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3131
- State rank
- #33 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tallahassee
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tallahassee, FL
- County
- Leon County · 294,472 people
- City population
- 294,472
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,544
- Household income
- $113,412
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 789.0
Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,507 people
- By 2030
- 330,677 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 358,465 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 386,804 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 465,480 · +47.5%
- By 2100
- 519,959 · +64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 9% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Leon
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.85%
- Current HPI
- 247.4336
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.06%
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+9.5% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-10 Relisted — CATRS
- 2026-02-08 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2025-10-10 Listed $219,000 CATRS
- 2024-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $187,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-04 Sold (MLS) $187,000 CATRS
- 2024-03-10 Contingent — CATRS
- 2024-02-21 Listed $210,000 CATRS
- 2024-02-21 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2024-02-14 Relisted — CATRS
- 2024-02-06 Contingent — CATRS
- 2023-11-27 Listed $230,000 CATRS
- 2023-11-27 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2023-11-17 Price Changed $230,000 CATRS
- 2023-10-26 Price Changed $249,000 CATRS
- 2023-10-04 Relisted — CATRS
- 2023-09-19 Contingent — CATRS
- 2023-09-18 Listed $259,000 CATRS
- 2023-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-22 Sold (MLS) $160,000 CATRS
- 2023-03-13 Listed $155,000 CATRS
- 2022-10-25 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2022-09-24 Listed $200,000 CATRS
Property tax history
+17.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,962 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…