508 18th St · Spirit Lake, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 1.5-story home has 982 sq ft and solid potential for the right buyer. Two bedrooms are located on the main floor, with a third upstairs. The home includes an unfinished basement & a compact kitchen featuring a vintage cast-iron sink, likely original to the 1920 era. This property needs significant updates but offers good bones & a great opportunity to build equity. Conveniently located near downtown Spirit Lake, just one block from a public park & splash pad, and only a minute or two from East Lake Okoboji. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special. Being sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- East lake okoboji
- Unfinished basement
- Splash pad
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $797 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 1.6% in Spirit Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#69 in IA, #1,522 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Spirit Lake Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #59 of 289 in IA (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 295 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dickinson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.16%
- DSCR
- 2.52
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,169
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -50.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2103 Denver Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-7%) | 10mo | $187,000 | $205 | 67 |
| 1302 Fargo Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,024 (+4%) | 8mo | $168,500 | $165 | 67 |
| 2403 Erie Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+8%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $218 | 66 |
| 1907 Denver Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,073 (+9%) | 17mo | $190,000 | $177 | 60 |
| 1301 Hill Ave Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (+8%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $202 | 58 |
| 1406 Ithaca Ave Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 834 (-15%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $102 | 46 |
| 907 9th St | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,092 (+11%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $228 | 39 |
| 712 10th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,119 (+14%) | 16mo | $195,000 | $174 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $34,556
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.41×
- Total profit
- $95,451
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51360
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,825 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $944/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $797
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2125 Royal Ave Spirit Lake, IA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 913 | $1,825 | $2.00 | 43d | 81 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-23$100,000 Active 634-char remark
Show marketing remark (634 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1.5-story home has 982 sq ft and solid potential for the right buyer. Two bedrooms are located on the main floor, with a third upstairs. The home includes an unfinished basement & a compact kitchen featuring a vintage cast-iron sink, likely original to the 1920 era. This property needs significant updates but offers good bones & a great opportunity to build equity. Conveniently located near downtown Spirit Lake, just one block from a public park & splash pad, and only a minute or two from East Lake Okoboji. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special. Being sold AS-IS.
-
2015-06-15soldstatus $500,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $944 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,257 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$313/yr (+$26/mo · 33.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$944
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,752
- − Management
- −$1,752
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $8,441
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,026
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,538/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spirit Lake Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1927000
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,797
- Composite
- 64.57/100
- National rank
- #535
- State rank
- #59 of 289 in IA
Livability — Spirit Lake
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #1522
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spirit Lake, IA
- City population
- 8,561
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,561
Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,133 people
- By 2030
- 18,610 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 19,456 · +7.3%
- By 2050
- 20,307 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 23,155 · +27.7%
- By 2100
- 24,449 · +34.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Iranian 8% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.0) · D 29.5% · R 69.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.4pp · 2024: -40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.0 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+18.0 2008: R+5.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.60%
- Current HPI
- 209.6205
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-80.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Listed $100,000 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2015-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $500,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $944 · -4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…