108 S Ash St · Raymond, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Clean 2 bedroom home on 1.5 lots, 2 car Concrete block detached Garage, and 10x12 Utility Shed. Metal Roofs on all. Wooden Porch and ramp added on front of home. Furnace in 2016, 2 gal. water heater under sink for quicker hot water.
Key facts
- 10x12 utility shed
- Wooden porch
- Metal roofs
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1900
- Construction: Metal roof; Not new construction
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen and bath
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane; propane rented); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dryer; Refrigerator; Washer; Crawl space basement; High-efficiency heating
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level; Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($913 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#802 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Panhandle CUSD 2 (rural): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #374 of 620 in IL (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Raymond Grade School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 106 students, 0% FRL); Lincolnwood Jr High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #460 of 665 statewide, top 72%, 97 students, 0% FRL); Lincolnwood High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 141 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.76%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,492
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412 N Prairie St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,215 (+8%) | 22mo | $105,000 | $86 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $55,342
- Equity at exit
- $80,989
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.28×
- Total profit
- $157,993
- Equity at exit
- $174,656
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62560
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $913 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $131 | +0% $100 | +5% $69 | +10% $38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $28 | -5% $64 | +0% $100 | +5% $136 | +10% $172 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $145 | -0.5pp $123 | base $100 | +0.5pp $77 | +1.0pp $53 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$876
- − Management
- −$876
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable loss
- −$247
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$59
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,259/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Panhandle CUSD 2
- NCES district ID
- 1730660
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,721
- Composite
- 19.92/100
- National rank
- #8680
- State rank
- #374 of 620 in IL
Livability — Raymond
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #802
- US rank
- #15895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Raymond, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,489
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,471 people
- By 2030
- 26,410 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 24,233 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 21,948 · -20.1%
- By 2075
- 16,686 · -39.3%
- By 2100
- 11,369 · -58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.1% · R 71.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+14.2 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.97%
- Current HPI
- 197.9875
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…