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1590 Superior Shrs #107
B Composite 71.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

1590 Superior Shrs #107 · Silver Creek, MN 55616
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · Condo · 108 Days on market
Built 1989 Good condition $61/sqft · at area comps Est $71k · at est. $118/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Interval ownership of a two-bedroom, two-bath lakehome at Superior Shores. This spectacular single level unit features a fireplace, oversize whirlpool, walk-in shower, newer flooring and appliances and much, much more. This corner unit features two bedrooms, two full baths, a full kitchen, deck and one of the best views on the property. Housekeeping, laundry and interior maintenance services provided by management company. All exterior maintenance services provided by property manager. Enjoy six plus weeks each year on the North Shore without the hassle of mowing, shoveling, painting, cleaning, etc. This property is situated on 46 wooded acres with over a half-mile of shoreline. Association amenities include hiking trails, tennis and pickleball courts, seasonal outdoor pool and spa. Approximate monthly expenses of $240 include association dues, utilities, cable, phone, Internet, insurance, amenity supplies and management.

Key facts

  • Newer flooring
  • Wooded acres
  • Oversize whirlpool

Tags

FIREPLACEOVERSIZE WHIRLPOOLWALK-IN SHOWERNEWER FLOORINGDECKWOODED ACRES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 2.1% in Silver Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#582 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Lake Superior Public School District (rural): math 34% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #191 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $63,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
13.16%
Cash-on-cash
24.54%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,749
List price
$69,900
Delta
-1.20%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$14,252
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$45,602
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55616

Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,267 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$118
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $761
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$118 · $1,416/yr
Likely covers
internetcableexterior maint.pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 99 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 98 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-03-02
    listed $69,900 Active 936-char remark
    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Interval ownership of a two-bedroom, two-bath lakehome at Superior Shores. This spectacular single level unit features a fireplace, oversize whirlpool, walk-in shower, newer flooring and appliances and much, much more. This corner unit features two bedrooms, two full baths, a full kitchen, deck and one of the best views on the property. Housekeeping, laundry and interior maintenance services provided by management company. All exterior maintenance services provided by property manager. Enjoy six plus weeks each year on the North Shore without the hassle of mowing, shoveling, painting, cleaning, etc. This property is situated on 46 wooded acres with over a half-mile of shoreline. Association amenities include hiking trails, tennis and pickleball courts, seasonal outdoor pool and spa. Approximate monthly expenses of $240 include association dues, utilities, cable, phone, Internet, insurance, amenity supplies and management.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,209
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,217
− Management
−$1,217
− HOA
−$1,416
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$4,012
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$963
After-tax cash flow
$3,839/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This two-bedroom, two-bath lakefront condo is in good condition with modern amenities and a scenic view. It is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates that could significantly increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update flooring in kitchen and living room — newer flooring would enhance both resale and rental value
  • Both paint interior walls — neutral paint is fine, but a fresh coat could improve curb appeal
  • Both landscape front yard — improved landscaping would enhance curb appeal and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update flooring in kitchen and living room — newer flooring would enhance both resale and rental value
  • Both paint interior walls — neutral paint is fine, but a fresh coat could improve curb appeal
  • Both landscape front yard — improved landscaping would enhance curb appeal and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Superior Public School District
NCES district ID
2740740
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$51,958
Composite
37.51/100
National rank
#4399
State rank
#191 of 301 in MN

Livability — Silver Creek

Score
64/100
State rank
#582
US rank
#13955

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B- Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,277

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,943 people
By 2030
9,437 · -5.1%
By 2040
8,326 · -16.3%
By 2050
7,365 · -25.9%
By 2075
6,008 · -39.6%
By 2100
5,038 · -49.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 18% Scottish 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 3.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+2.2 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+22.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.94%
Current HPI
182.619
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $69,900 LSAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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