10 Cricketown Rd · Stony Point, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$649,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this expanded brick Cape Cod-style home set on a beautiful and private 0.67-acre lot. With plenty of space inside and out, this home is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The main level features a bright kitchen equipped with a stainless steel refrigerator, wall oven, and gas cooktop, along with a dining area and a spacious living room. An added extension offers a private primary suite complete with a large walk-in closet, full bathroom with a walk-in shower, and direct access to the 3 season room. This level also includes two additional generously sized bedrooms, a full hallway bathroom with a soaking tub, and convenient laundry in a hallway closet. Upstairs, you
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Large walk-in closet
- 0.67 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected (Orange & Rockland); Natural gas connected; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Gas oven; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Pantry; Storage; Walk-in closet(s); 12 total rooms; Dormer attic; Unfinished walk-out basement (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $649k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $600k (7.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $600k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in Stony Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#450 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Haverstraw-Stony Point CSD (North Rockland) (suburban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #427 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Stony Point Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 725 students, 17% FRL); Fieldstone Middle School (math 18% / reading 46%, grade F, #511 of 729 statewide, top 71%, 1,247 students, 0% FRL); North Rockland High School (math 86% / reading 67%, grade A-, #612 of 1,100 statewide, top 56%, 2,687 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 6% FRL vs 40% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($639k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.57%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $758,056
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Cricketown Rd | 0.00mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,561 (0%) | 1mo | $675,000 | $264 | 94 |
| 7 Florus Crom Ct | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 | 2,500 (-2%) | 8mo | $794,000 | $318 | 72 |
| 50 Cricketown Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,745 (+7%) | 10mo | $705,000 | $257 | 64 |
| 8 Autumn Ln | 0.26mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,866 (+12%) | 0mo | $799,000 | $279 | 63 |
| 253 W Main St | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 | 2,688 (+5%) | 7mo | $740,000 | $275 | 62 |
| 99 N Liberty Dr | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 | 2,269 (-11%) | 8mo | $605,000 | $267 | 50 |
| 122 Jay St | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 | 2,199 (-14%) | 3mo | $685,000 | $312 | 49 |
| 161 Washburns Ln | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 | 2,240 (-12%) | 1mo | $663,000 | $296 | 46 |
| 89 Jay St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,197 (-14%) | 5mo | $550,000 | $250 | 45 |
| 5 Lewis Dr | 0.63mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,280 (-11%) | 4mo | $725,000 | $318 | 44 |
| 4 Adams Dr | 0.62mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,220 (-13%) | 2mo | $750,000 | $338 | 38 |
| 62 Walter Dr | 0.73mi | 4/3.5 | 2,214 (-14%) | 4mo | $699,000 | $316 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-99,427
- Equity at exit
- $96,768
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-78,652
- Equity at exit
- $56,114
Cash invested: $181,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10980
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,403
- Tax from tax record
- −$979 /mo · $11,749/yr
- Insurance
- −$270
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,260
- Net cashflow
- $87
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $454 | -5% $271 | +0% $87 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-387 | -5% $-150 | +0% $87 | +5% $324 | +10% $561 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $414 | -0.5pp $252 | base $87 | +0.5pp $-81 | +1.0pp $-252 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,250
- Closing costs
- $19,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 Wilderness Dr Stony Point, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3339 | $6,000 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-03-28$649,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,749 · $979/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,749 · $979/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,354
- − Property taxes
- −$11,749
- − Insurance
- −$3,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,760
- − Management
- −$5,760
- − Depreciation
- −$18,880
- Taxable loss
- −$9,748
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,340
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Haverstraw-Stony Point CSD (North Rockland)
- NCES district ID
- 3614010
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,218
- Composite
- 40.68/100
- National rank
- #3672
- State rank
- #427 of 590 in NY
Livability — Stony Point
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #450
- US rank
- #7882
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stony Point, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,793
Population outlook (Rockland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 339,642 people
- By 2030
- 345,987 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 357,178 · +5.2%
- By 2050
- 362,456 · +6.7%
- By 2075
- 367,281 · +8.1%
- By 2100
- 328,211 · -3.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockland
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -11.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.8 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -459.52%
- Current HPI
- 243.4467
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Listed $649,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $11,749 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…