801 Pampa St · Sulphur Springs, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-2-2 Brick on large corner lot, near school and churches that sports a wood burning fireplace, walk-in shower, CHA CGAS Heat), ceiling fans, roof replaced a few years ago, gas water heater replaced in 2024 and foundation work in 2021 (P&B) House needs some updating and priced accordingly. Come take a look and us an offer!!!
Key facts
- Foundation work
- Walk-in shower
- 0.5 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $173k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.3% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Sulphur Springs ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.30%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,469
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -16.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 633 Pampa St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 2,109 (+6%) | 19mo | $219,000 | $104 | 65 |
| 612 Plano St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 2,187 (+10%) | 9mo | $255,000 | $117 | 64 |
| 716 Lee St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,688 (-15%) | 14mo | $239,900 | $142 | 61 |
| 619 Texas St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,752 (-12%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $163 | 41 |
| 304 Lee St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,732 (-12%) | 22mo | $254,900 | $147 | 35 |
| 328 League St S | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,152 (+9%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $63 | 34 |
| 242 Parkins St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 2,167 (+9%) | 19mo | $262,500 | $121 | 33 |
| 1438 Southland St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (-13%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $145 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-12,904
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $11,998
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75482
- Active inventory
- 378
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,117 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$318 /mo · $3,821/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $279
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1699 Arbala Rd Sulphur Springs, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,874 | $1.90 | 43d | 10 | 0.83mi |
| 302 Kelli Cir Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2218 | $2,700 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $189,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $189,000 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
3-2-2 Brick on large corner lot, near school and churches that sports a wood burning fireplace, walk-in shower, CHA CGAS Heat), ceiling fans, roof replaced a few years ago, gas water heater replaced in 2024 and foundation work in 2021 (P&B) House needs some updating and priced accordingly. Come take a look and us an offer!!!
-
2026-03-04$210,000 Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
3-2-2 Brick on large corner lot, near school and churches that sports a wood burning fireplace, walk-in shower, CHA CGAS Heat), ceiling fans, roof replaced a few years ago, gas water heater replaced in 2024 and foundation work in 2021 (P&B) House needs some updating and priced accordingly. Come take a look and us an offer!!!
-
2026-02-19historical
-
2025-12-06price $259,500
-
2025-10-01$265,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,821 · $318/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,821 · $318/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,407
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$3,821
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,033
- − Management
- −$2,033
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $410
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$98
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sulphur Springs ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841820
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,871
- Composite
- 36.33/100
- National rank
- #4692
- State rank
- #323 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sulphur Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #7665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- County
- Hopkins County · 26,483 people
- City population
- 26,483
- Metro
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,483
- Household income
- $69,970
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 543.0
Population outlook (Hopkins County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,107 people
- By 2030
- 38,867 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 40,009 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 40,448 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 40,669 · +6.7%
- By 2100
- 37,234 · -2.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hopkins
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.4% · R 82.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -44.7pp · 2024: -64.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+44.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.79%
- Current HPI
- 156.0526
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-28.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $189,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $210,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-19 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $259,500 NTREIS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $265,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,821 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…