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801 Pampa St
C+ Composite 61.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

801 Pampa St · Sulphur Springs, TX 75482
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1978 0.50 ac lot $96/sqft · 17% below area Est $228k · 17% under ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3-2-2 Brick on large corner lot, near school and churches that sports a wood burning fireplace, walk-in shower, CHA CGAS Heat), ceiling fans, roof replaced a few years ago, gas water heater replaced in 2024 and foundation work in 2021 (P&B) House needs some updating and priced accordingly. Come take a look and us an offer!!!

Key facts

  • Foundation work
  • Walk-in shower
  • 0.5 acre lot

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACEWALK-IN SHOWERGAS WATER HEATER REPLACEDFOUNDATION WORK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.3% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Sulphur Springs ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,809 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.06%
Cash-on-cash
6.30%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$228,469
List price
$189,900
Delta
-16.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
633 Pampa St 0.18mi 3/2.0 2,109 (+6%) 19mo $219,000 $104 65
612 Plano St 0.24mi 3/2.0 2,187 (+10%) 9mo $255,000 $117 64
716 Lee St 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,688 (-15%) 14mo $239,900 $142 61
619 Texas St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,752 (-12%) 9mo $285,000 $163 41
304 Lee St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,732 (-12%) 22mo $254,900 $147 35
328 League St S 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,152 (+9%) 20mo $135,000 $63 34
242 Parkins St 0.75mi 3/2.0 2,167 (+9%) 19mo $262,500 $121 33
1438 Southland St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,730 (-13%) 17mo $250,000 $145 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-12,904
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$11,998
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75482

Active inventory
378
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,117 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$318 /mo · $3,821/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$445
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,764
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1699 Arbala Rd Sulphur Springs, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 985 $1,874 $1.90 43d 10 0.83mi
302 Kelli Cir Sulphur Springs, TX 3.0 2.5 2218 $2,700 $1.22 43d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,900 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,900 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,900 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,900 Active 87 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    price $189,000 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    3-2-2 Brick on large corner lot, near school and churches that sports a wood burning fireplace, walk-in shower, CHA CGAS Heat), ceiling fans, roof replaced a few years ago, gas water heater replaced in 2024 and foundation work in 2021 (P&B) House needs some updating and priced accordingly. Come take a look and us an offer!!!

  18. 2026-03-04
    listed $210,000 Active 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    3-2-2 Brick on large corner lot, near school and churches that sports a wood burning fireplace, walk-in shower, CHA CGAS Heat), ceiling fans, roof replaced a few years ago, gas water heater replaced in 2024 and foundation work in 2021 (P&B) House needs some updating and priced accordingly. Come take a look and us an offer!!!

  19. 2026-02-19
    historical
  20. 2025-12-06
    price $259,500
  21. 2025-10-01
    listed $265,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,821 · $318/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,821 · $318/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,407
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$3,821
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,033
− Management
−$2,033
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$410
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$98
After-tax cash flow
$3,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sulphur Springs ISD
NCES district ID
4841820
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,871
Composite
36.33/100
National rank
#4692
State rank
#323 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sulphur Springs

Score
70/100
State rank
#350
US rank
#7665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sulphur Springs, TX
County
Hopkins County · 26,483 people
City population
26,483
Metro
Sulphur Springs, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,483
Household income
$69,970
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
543.0

Population outlook (Hopkins County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,107 people
By 2030
38,867 · +2.0%
By 2040
40,009 · +5.0%
By 2050
40,448 · +6.1%
By 2075
40,669 · +6.7%
By 2100
37,234 · -2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hopkins

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.4% · R 82.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -44.7pp · 2024: -64.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+44.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.79%
Current HPI
156.0526
Rent YoY
Metro
Sulphur Springs, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $189,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $210,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-19 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-12-06 Price Changed $259,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $265,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,821 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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