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5252 SW 163rd Ave
B+ Composite 76.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

5252 SW 163rd Ave · Rainbow Park, FL 34481
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 798 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1983 1.31 ac lot $69/sqft · 41% below area Est $93k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

On over an acre in Ocala! This 2 bed / 2 bath mobile home offers approximately 798 sq ft of living space and sits on a spacious 1.31± acre lot in the desirable Westwood Acres South subdivision. Property is being sold AS-IS and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for land value with a livable structure already in place. Seller states the home is in move-in condition with functional utilities, including well and septic, electric service, and included appliances. Recent updates include a metal insulated roof system (approx. 25 years old) reported to be leak-free. Interior features include carpet and vinyl flooring, functional kitchen, and no known structural issues per s

Key facts

  • Metal insulated roof
  • Move-in condition
  • Acre lot

Tags

ACRE LOTMOVE-IN CONDITIONMETAL INSULATED ROOFNO HOACONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 1.31 acres lot (1 to less than 2 acres)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Faces southwest
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on grade (single-wide manufactured)
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; No built-in laundry room (none listed)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 5.4% in Rainbow Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1151 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $55k implies a 831% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.51%
Cap rate
21.06%
Cash-on-cash
52.72%
DSCR
3.35
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,092
List price
$54,900
Delta
-41.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.8%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$34,163
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
56.2%
Equity multiple
6.55×
Total profit
$85,311
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34481

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Active inventory
1151
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,379 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,243/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $54,900 Active 962-char remark
  2. 1987-06-01
    soldstatus $5,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,243 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,243 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,553
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$1,243
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,324
− Management
−$1,324
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$7,715
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,852
After-tax cash flow
$6,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Rainbow Park

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,782
Household income
$57,324
Rent vs Own
9.8% rent · 90.2% own
Severe rent burden
313.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.48%
Current HPI
199.986
Rent YoY
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+830.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $54,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,243 · +311.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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