🏷️ Likely Rental
285 Ashland Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$449,777
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
A turnkey, cash-flowing investment opportunity. Well-maintained 5-unit property located on prime Ashland Avenue just off Lexington. The building consists of four 1-bedroom units and one spacious 2-bedroom unit, offering a strong and flexible unit mix. Four of the five units are currently on month-to-month leases, presenting immediate upside potential for rent adjustments or repositioning. The property sits on a generous lot with a sizable backyard, adding additional appeal for tenants. Interior features include beautiful original woodwork and stained glass windows, preserving the character and charm throughout. The roof is less than 10 years old.
Key facts
- Sizable backyard
- Original woodwork
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4×1bd/1ba + 1×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $450k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $499/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $450k).
- Recommended offer: $423k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 7.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($423k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $450k implies a 512% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.79%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $793,605
- List price
- $449,777
- Delta
- -43.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $85,961
- Equity at exit
- $67,063
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $278,951
- Equity at exit
- $38,888
Cash invested: $125,938 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $249,000 ($70/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 19 d
- This list price
- 100% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +174.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 14222
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 30.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,565 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,359
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,379
- Net cashflow
- $2,496
5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | 1 | $5,000 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,250 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,250 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,250 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $1,250 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,565 |
| Total (5 units) | $6,565 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,751 | -5% $2,624 | +0% $2,496 | +5% $2,369 | +10% $2,242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,978 | -5% $2,237 | +0% $2,496 | +5% $2,756 | +10% $3,015 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,723 | -0.5pp $2,611 | base $2,496 | +0.5pp $2,380 | +1.0pp $2,261 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,444
- Closing costs
- $13,493
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 Anderson Pl Buffalo, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4059 | $1,250 | $0.31 | 61d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 619 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4395 | $1,300 | $0.30 | 93d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 212 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3167 | $1,650 | $0.52 | 28d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 83 Norwood Ave Unit 3rd Floor Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3486 | $1,350 | $0.39 | 93d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 530 Linwood Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3443 | $1,200 | $0.35 | 93d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 157 14th St Unit Upper front Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2924 | $1,200 | $0.41 | 52d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 157 14th St Unit Upper Rear Buffalo, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2924 | $1,150 | $0.39 | 52d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 37 Inwood Pl Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5696 | $1,600 | $0.28 | 35d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 877 Prospect Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5136 | $1,200 | $0.23 | 61d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- 5-unit multifamily building
- Financial info
- Operating expenses include insurance and water/sewer (see remarks)Owner pays water (see remarks)Rent includes water (see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking
- No drivewayNo garage
- Utilities
- Public water connectedSewer connected
- Home design
- 3-story buildingResale propertyVinyl siding exterior
- Construction
- Asphalt roofVinyl siding
- Exterior features
- Near public transitRectangular residential lotCity street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas ovenGas rangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Multi-unit property with 5 total units
- Flooring
- CarpetHardwoodVinylVaries
- Heating & cooling
- Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features
- Carpet, Hardwood, Vinyl, and varied flooring throughoutFull basement
- Laundry & utility
- Gas water heater
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $449,777 Active 62 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $449,777 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $449,777 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $449,777 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $449,777 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $449,777 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $449,777 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $449,777 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $449,777 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-28remarks 699-char remark
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2026-07-28days on market $449,777 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-26statusdays on market $449,777 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $449,777 Pending 47 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $449,777 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $449,777 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $449,777 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $449,777 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $449,777 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $449,777 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $449,777 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $449,777 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $449,777 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $449,777 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $449,777 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $449,777 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $449,777 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$449,777 Active 1036-char remark
-
1995-10-27soldstatus $73,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,725 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,663 · $389/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,938/yr (+$245/mo · 170.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $78,780
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,195
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$2,249
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,302
- − Management
- −$6,302
- − Depreciation
- −$13,084
- Taxable income
- $23,922
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,741
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,216/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This 5-unit property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, siding, and painting, as well as landscaping and HVAC service. Immediate value can be added by addressing these issues, which would improve its resale and rental potential.
Deferred maintenance Est. $30,000–$90,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage and missing shingles.
- Major Windows (windows) — The windows show signs of wear and potential rot, indicating a need for replacement.
- Major Exterior (exterior) — The siding appears to be peeling and in need of repair or replacement.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of wear and discoloration suggest significant damage.
- Major siding — The siding is old and shows significant wear.
- Major flooring — Given the overall condition, it is likely in need of replacement.
- Major interior walls/paint — The paint is faded and uneven, indicating a need for freshening up.
- Major windows — The windows show signs of wear and may need replacement or caulking.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No systems are visible, but given the overall condition, they may need servicing or replacement.
- Major landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance.
- Major fence — The fence is in poor condition and may need repair or replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both siding replacement — New siding would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Both painting — Fresh paint would improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Both HVAC service — Servicing the HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its value. ↑
- Both window replacement — New windows would improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both fence repair/replacement — A repaired or replaced fence would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 933,037 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,311
- Household income
- $81,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -205.10%
- Current HPI
- 448.3711
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+511.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $449,777 WNYREIS
- 1995-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $73,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,725 · +14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…