45 Collins Ave · Uniontown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.9/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment opportunity with four single units included. Unit #1 3 Bedroom/1 Bath Unit #2 1 Bedroom/1 Bath, Unit #3 2 Bedroom/1 Bath, Unit #4 1 Bedroom/1 Bath partially fenced yard and all conveniently located.
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 37 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($137/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($712 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#750 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
- Uniontown Area SD (suburban): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #392 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lafayette El Sch (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,323 of 1,518 statewide, top 89%, 259 students, 89% FRL); Lafayette Ms (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #487 of 512 statewide, top 95%, 149 students, 95% FRL); Uniontown Area Shs (math 77%, 668 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 56% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Uniontown Area SD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.75%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,840
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 Crossland Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (+7%) | 3mo | $89,000 | $95 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-9,716
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-7,225
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15401
- Home prices YoY
- -3.8%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $712 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$149
- Net cashflow
- $11
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $48 | -5% $30 | +0% $11 | +5% $-7 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-45 | -5% $-17 | +0% $11 | +5% $40 | +10% $68 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $44 | -0.5pp $28 | base $11 | +0.5pp $-5 | +1.0pp $-23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Locust St Uniontown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $720 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 203 Pittsburgh St Uniontown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $700 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-03-15status Pending
-
2026-02-06$64,900 Active
-
2022-01-31$79,000 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great Investment opportunity with four single units included. Unit #1 3 Bedroom/1 Bath Unit #2 1 Bedroom/1 Bath, Unit #3 2 Bedroom/1 Bath, Unit #4 1 Bedroom/1 Bath partially fenced yard and all conveniently located.
-
2020-01-31soldstatus $49,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,200 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,200 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$2,200
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$683
- − Management
- −$683
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable loss
- −$875
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$210
- After-tax cash flow
- $347/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Uniontown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224150
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,744
- Composite
- 31.48/100
- National rank
- #5977
- State rank
- #392 of 539 in PA
Livability — Uniontown
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #750
- US rank
- #7482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Uniontown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,230
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,561 people
- By 2030
- 123,206 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 113,232 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 103,468 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 83,185 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 62,384 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.29%
- Current HPI
- 210.1257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+31.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-15 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $64,900 West Penn MLS
- 2022-01-31 Listed $79,000 West Penn MLS
- 2020-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,200 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…